Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$29

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

212

Trades

874

lifetime

Volume

$90.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-02-16

last 11-13 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 67% -$4,149

Other

32% 61% -$1,967

Sports

18% 0% -$4,473

Politics

10% 38% -$2,214

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-844	-$42	2¢	$-13	+$29	06-29 23:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	15	$8.5K	9,053	5,350	+3,703	No	-$1,802	07-11 14:58
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$7.7K	14,067	7,002	+7,065	No	-$2,671	07-13 21:24
bitcoin above 66k on february 25	4	$6.2K	4,959	4,959	+0	Yes	+$543	02-25 16:15
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$3.8K	12,475	12,475	+0	Yes	-$169	02-28 07:37
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	70	$2.5K	15,371	0	+15,371	No	-$2,532	03-23 11:35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	8	$2.5K	1,484	1,484	+0	Yes	+$289	10-10 21:37
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,424	1,424	+0	Yes	+$420	02-28 07:05
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	16	$2.3K	59,115	0	+59,115	No	-$2,263	07-02 21:11
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-15?	2	$2.0K	2,222	2,222	+0	No	-$22	10-15 12:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?	11	$1.9K	80	1,884	-1,804	No	+$40	07-01 07:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?	5	$1.9K	2,743	2,743	+0	Yes	-$342	10-15 14:56
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$1.7K	6,205	0	+6,205	No	-$1,742	02-17 15:04
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	5	$1.7K	2,513	0	+2,513	Yes	+$779	07-03 19:08
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	6	$1.4K	814	814	+0	Yes	+$183	10-17 18:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:00 UTC	7	$1.2K	688	688	+0	Up	+$32	10-17 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:25 UTC	11	$1.2K	1,243	265	+978	Up	+$179	10-17 18:28
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	4	$1.1K	1,506	0	+1,506	Yes	+$408	10-14 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	18	$1.0K	550	550	+0	Down	+$49	10-21 22:45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	6	$1.0K	662	662	+0	Yes	+$89	10-21 20:57
will dxy reach 103 in october 2026	7	$1.0K	701	701	+0	No	+$136	10-14 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	10	$1000	1,098	0	+1,098	Down	+$98	10-15 13:27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	3	$983	861	861	+0	Yes	+$67	10-10 15:40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	4	$943	984	984	+0	Yes	-$57	10-14 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	6	$893	545	545	+0	Up	+$83	10-01 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	17	$867	507	507	+0	Down	+$147	10-21 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:25 UTC	5	$823	744	744	+0	Up	+$23	10-14 21:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:40 UTC	5	$822	435	435	+0	Up	+$22	10-17 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	5	$822	650	650	+0	Up	+$153	10-15 12:28
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	2	$657	398	398	+0	Yes	+$92	06-18 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	9	$655	1,261	0	+1,261	Up	-$655	10-15 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 16:29:04	Will Switzerland win on 2026-11-13?	Yes	BUY	167	58¢	$97	0x1eb556…
11-12 22:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xeb7c90…
11-12 22:48:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-11-13?	Yes	SELL	79	61¢	$48	0xa7c0c3…
11-12 22:29:16	Will Argentina win on 2026-11-13?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x897fd8…
11-12 21:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xa5aede…
11-12 21:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x70af4b…
11-12 21:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xea9ecd…
11-12 21:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0x877281…
11-12 21:36:34	Will Italy win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x7def7b…
11-12 21:30:39	Will Italy win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4d27ab…
11-12 21:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x5de629…
11-12 21:29:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	69	72¢	$50	0x2d68b5…
11-12 21:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe8f156…
11-12 21:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x6a6764…
11-12 21:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x3a3b7d…
11-12 21:27:42	Will England win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	SELL	63	88¢	$56	0x501aaa…
11-12 21:23:19	Will England win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	63	87¢	$55	0x727735…
11-12 21:22:30	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	SELL	134	1¢	$1	0xfabeae…
11-12 21:22:13	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0xcf6911…
11-12 20:18:27	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xe5de6b…
11-12 19:51:37	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	SELL	91	53¢	$48	0x0b9693…
11-12 15:19:03	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xc0248f…
11-10 13:46:09	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.20 Week of November 9 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x2d2646…
11-10 13:46:01	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.20 Week of November 9 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xcb2445…
11-10 13:45:52	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.20 Week of November 9 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xefe553…
11-10 13:45:15	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 November 9-15?	Yes	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x5ea429…
11-10 12:07:28	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 November 9-15?	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x422b8b…
11-09 13:11:13	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x4f0429…
11-09 13:10:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 9?	No	SELL	128	18¢	$23	0x8e29d2…
11-09 13:09:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	128	16¢	$20	0x045647…
11-09 01:07:13	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	104	55¢	$57	0x3df4c5…
11-09 01:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xad7235…
11-09 01:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x194ab9…
11-09 01:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xc15909…
11-09 01:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xca4e3c…
11-09 01:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf0dd01…
11-09 01:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x96dda4…
11-08 21:47:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	SELL	90	85¢	$77	0x8c01da…
11-08 16:26:37	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0x9b5d6a…
11-08 16:24:57	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0xb63189…
11-08 12:30:27	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x824a7e…
11-07 18:48:24	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xd996d7…
11-07 18:47:39	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	140	22¢	$31	0x134752…
11-07 17:48:01	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	88	40¢	$35	0xdb2718…
11-07 17:04:39	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	53	59¢	$31	0xf6a8d1…
11-07 16:25:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x709f78…
11-07 16:25:13	Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Arsenal FC O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x97be22…
11-07 13:28:28	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb2f1f5…
11-07 12:56:21	Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Arsenal FC O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x6e91bf…
11-06 21:42:28	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x83e04b…
11-06 21:42:09	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc0b0a8…
11-06 21:22:04	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	SELL	103	77¢	$80	0xf6b378…
11-06 19:54:51	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x5628b0…
11-06 16:36:22	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5377e4…
11-06 16:35:34	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x4f4d10…
11-06 16:34:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0xf8d5c5…
11-06 16:34:15	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe1ee31…
11-06 16:30:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0x19bd55…
11-06 16:29:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x2c82b3…
11-06 16:29:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x9ca3d8…
11-06 16:15:12	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xbfdb2c…
11-06 14:30:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xb65c1d…
11-06 14:25:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xd6547b…
11-06 03:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x66fc74…
11-06 03:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xfac8f2…
11-06 03:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x9852f6…
11-06 03:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa5a2d2…
11-06 01:49:46	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xe6e9e7…
11-06 01:12:54	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xba4f3f…
11-05 17:03:24	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x57092a…
11-04 21:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0xc808cc…
11-04 21:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x5dbb21…
11-04 21:41:01	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	156	81¢	$126	0x8cdefc…
11-04 19:34:18	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7651b2…
11-04 19:30:22	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x370d2a…
11-04 19:30:07	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	62	35¢	$22	0xd55cc0…
11-04 17:54:22	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x778488…
11-04 17:53:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x214399…
11-04 13:17:19	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x2c21e8…
11-04 13:15:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x4dccf3…
11-04 12:02:48	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xcdb78d…
11-03 19:19:57	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfec5ff…
11-03 16:45:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	33	32¢	$11	0x93fe2e…
11-03 16:31:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xde7931…
11-03 09:14:19	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x27d987…
11-02 20:02:22	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6b659b…
11-01 18:20:48	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	94	87¢	$81	0x004208…
11-01 16:50:30	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	94	63¢	$59	0x2385e6…
11-01 16:27:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xdd440a…
11-01 15:18:49	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x00a6ef…
10-28 19:18:19	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe368d6…
10-27 20:45:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xa80ebd…
10-27 20:45:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x088187…
10-26 12:46:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x65cd61…
10-24 18:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x3a78b1…
10-24 18:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x17dd0b…
10-24 18:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x0521aa…
10-24 18:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x081500…
10-24 18:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf5f226…
10-24 18:09:38	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	937	1¢	$13	0x7b1230…