Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$127.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.19K

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,306

lifetime

Volume

$3.43M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.49K

Open exposure

$416.9K

10 positions

First seen

2026-06-11

last 10-19 11:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

80% 71% +$90,390

Other

17% 67% +$32,839

Sports

3% 100% +$4,465

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	+210,000	$208,120	100¢	$209.8K	+$1,670	10-18 03:03
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	+50,000	$48,295	98¢	$49.2K	+$930	10-19 11:09
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	+50,000	$47,776	95¢	$47.4K	-$351	10-15 16:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	+38,000	$35,520	90¢	$34.4K	-$1,130	10-19 01:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+20,000	$18,700	100¢	$19.9K	+$1,200	10-17 12:21
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	+20,792	$19,151	93¢	$19.4K	+$227	10-19 10:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	+20,000	$19,000	94¢	$18.7K	-$300	10-17 18:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+21,000	$12,330	62¢	$13.1K	+$795	10-18 09:24
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	+5,000	$4,625	100¢	$5.0K	+$350	10-17 17:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+0	$200	18¢	$0	-$200	07-08 13:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	374	$778.4K	760,638	69,157	+691,480	No	+$49,681	06-17 20:19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	161	$729.5K	436,201	330,000	+106,201	No	+$35,695	06-15 20:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	118	$222.0K	230,578	0	+230,578	No	+$8,566	06-23 14:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	29	$208.1K	210,000	0	+210,000	open	—	10-18 03:03
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	77	$200.6K	216,269	0	+216,269	No	+$15,676	06-23 11:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	478	$195.6K	224,877	0	+224,877	No	+$29,242	06-25 10:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	306	$182.7K	213,320	5,000	+208,320	No	+$31,399	06-23 01:00
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	63	$142.8K	155,801	0	+155,801	No	+$13,044	06-23 22:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	108	$99.6K	125,039	125,039	+0	Yes	-$45,707	06-15 11:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	6	$71.6K	72,641	0	+72,641	No	+$1,015	06-16 23:54
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	56	$57.0K	60,627	0	+60,627	No	+$3,624	06-23 01:04
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$48.3K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	+$1,700	06-19 23:33
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	21	$48.3K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	10-19 11:09
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	1	$47.8K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	10-15 16:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	96	$43.4K	211,228	211,228	+0	Yes	-$21,852	06-17 11:55
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	68	$36.1K	23,160	21,244	+1,916	No	+$1,065	06-27 09:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	8	$35.5K	38,000	0	+38,000	open	—	10-19 01:17
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?	25	$32.6K	33,121	0	+33,121	No	+$539	06-14 21:17
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$23.3K	25,000	0	+25,000	No	+$1,705	06-23 01:22
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	50	$20.8K	15,000	14,999	+1	No	-$24	06-27 09:49
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	5	$19.2K	20,792	0	+20,792	open	—	10-19 10:54
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	46	$19.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$1,000	06-24 06:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	9	$19.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	10-17 18:30
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$18.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$1,060	06-23 01:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	13	$18.7K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	10-17 12:21
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	11	$17.4K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$2,600	06-23 11:26
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	1	$14.8K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$5,200	06-23 08:04
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	12	$12.9K	10,356	10,038	+318	Yes	-$866	06-14 02:32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14	44	$12.4K	15,000	5,000	+10,000	Yes	-$5,450	06-13 22:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	16	$12.3K	21,000	0	+21,000	open	—	10-18 09:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 11:09:48	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	22,133	96¢	$21,314	0x117c79…
10-19 11:03:45	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x135f54…
10-19 10:55:32	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	135	96¢	$130	0x01c05c…
10-19 10:54:59	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	5,000	90¢	$4,475	0xb8185f…
10-19 10:49:05	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	433	96¢	$417	0x3fe46f…
10-19 10:47:33	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	545	96¢	$525	0xad0d96…
10-19 10:47:24	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	391	96¢	$376	0x186567…
10-19 10:47:12	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xa8de16…
10-19 01:17:50	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16,400	93¢	$15,252	0x85478c…
10-19 00:17:05	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0xb5e6d5…
10-18 23:04:27	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x048d9e…
10-18 21:30:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0x2c661d…
10-18 20:51:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xb9c6ad…
10-18 20:51:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0xf9c91e…
10-18 20:51:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x63e5c5…
10-18 20:51:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	94¢	$9,400	0x4e6f05…
10-18 20:51:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,516	93¢	$2,340	0x0e8325…
10-18 17:29:44	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x52924c…
10-18 16:58:54	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x2065e3…
10-18 14:13:42	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x1eda33…
10-18 13:41:38	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$385	0x3635ee…
10-18 13:41:11	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$289	0x4963d9…
10-18 12:42:14	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x7c97f0…
10-18 10:16:48	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x200200…
10-18 09:24:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	5,000	58¢	$2,900	0x97631c…
10-18 08:37:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	300	59¢	$177	0xdf4b47…
10-18 08:36:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	56	59¢	$33	0x1cebc6…
10-18 03:03:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	6,975	99¢	$6,912	0xd50a3b…
10-18 02:46:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	15,555	99¢	$15,415	0x3c82db…
10-18 02:22:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	1,190	99¢	$1,179	0x46eabe…
10-18 02:22:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	10,500	99¢	$10,406	0xe28a91…
10-18 02:21:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,910	0x12afa7…
10-18 02:06:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	16,865	99¢	$16,713	0xa9335f…
10-18 01:08:57	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xd9c730…
10-17 23:51:06	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1eacc7…
10-17 21:47:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x5309c8…
10-17 21:42:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	3,325	99¢	$3,295	0x911fc9…
10-17 18:43:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xf70ecd…
10-17 18:43:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb9798b…
10-17 18:43:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x3d8a27…
10-17 18:43:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xdbf744…
10-17 18:43:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	144	59¢	$85	0xb35bee…
10-17 18:43:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	46	59¢	$27	0x8507df…
10-17 18:43:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x3a50eb…
10-17 18:43:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	399	59¢	$235	0x06dcf3…
10-17 18:30:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0xb61976…
10-17 18:24:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x647cfe…
10-17 18:24:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	367	99¢	$364	0x02595c…
10-17 18:24:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x672711…
10-17 18:24:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x4fc99b…
10-17 18:24:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdfb924…
10-17 18:24:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	2,410	99¢	$2,388	0x4ec9b1…
10-17 18:11:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0xc1d2f6…
10-17 17:33:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x378ada…
10-17 17:29:18	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	649	92¢	$600	0x808381…
10-17 17:03:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,984	0x4b4427…
10-17 16:06:30	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	4,176	92¢	$3,863	0x9a0dbf…
10-17 16:06:30	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	175	92¢	$162	0x494b24…
10-17 15:13:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xa14d9c…
10-17 14:57:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	969	99¢	$961	0x126831…
10-17 14:46:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	625	99¢	$620	0x7d97ed…
10-17 13:51:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x6b57ec…
10-17 12:21:38	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x2cd92a…
10-17 12:15:38	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xdc7ea9…
10-17 11:57:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	399	93¢	$371	0x923bc2…
10-17 11:33:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x21c016…
10-17 10:53:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0xf974b0…
10-17 10:46:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x04602a…
10-17 10:24:26	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	255	93¢	$237	0xbe5dea…
10-17 10:24:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,244	93¢	$2,086	0xd44cce…
10-17 09:44:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x4b972c…
10-17 06:18:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x4540a1…
10-17 02:13:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	1,178	99¢	$1,169	0x8df606…
10-16 23:42:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	1,080	95¢	$1,026	0xda9b23…
10-16 23:41:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	660	95¢	$627	0x8b8e81…
10-16 18:48:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5ca2a7…
10-16 18:48:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	4,567	95¢	$4,339	0x8ca0b2…
10-16 10:49:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x23aa11…
10-16 07:04:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xba1436…
10-15 20:18:26	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	93¢	$4,650	0xe09505…
10-15 20:14:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x5d7e8c…
10-15 19:31:11	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	764	93¢	$711	0x3070fe…
10-15 18:28:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xe4b979…
10-15 18:10:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	139	93¢	$129	0x6b0eaa…
10-15 17:51:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	94¢	$9,400	0xf01a83…
10-15 17:43:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	76	59¢	$45	0xf7fd2d…
10-15 17:43:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xf109a9…
10-15 17:43:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	13,431	59¢	$7,924	0x098fd9…
10-15 17:42:14	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	11,588	94¢	$10,880	0xf08902…
10-15 17:39:38	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	22,843	97¢	$22,158	0xffd437…
10-15 16:47:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	13,367	95¢	$12,699	0x119697…
10-15 16:47:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	BUY	3,190	99¢	$3,161	0xa5799c…
10-15 16:47:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	BUY	778	99¢	$771	0xe6eb60…
10-15 16:47:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	BUY	830	99¢	$823	0xd172d2…
10-15 16:47:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	BUY	127,902	99¢	$126,751	0xff4b02…
10-15 16:43:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8,000	94¢	$7,520	0xfeed90…
10-15 16:42:10	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x2711d5…
10-15 16:42:07	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	76	96¢	$72	0x62f803…
10-15 16:40:19	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,912	0xad8839…
10-15 16:39:50	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	50,000	96¢	$47,776	0x5bf41a…