Unacceptable-Alder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.77K

Unrealized P&L

+$266

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$75.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$251

Open exposure

$6.44K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-30 01:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 73% +$1,537

Tech

2% 100% +$404

Other

1% 100% +$30

Politics

0% 0% -$150

Sports

0% 0% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+8,520	$4,759	60¢	$5.1K	+$320	10-30 01:52
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	+1,400	$1,050	81¢	$1.1K	+$84	10-27 13:13
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+850	$362	26¢	$225	-$137	09-27 18:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	18	$8.7K	5,289	5,289	+0	Yes	+$97	07-30 14:13
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	20	$4.8K	8,520	0	+8,520	open	—	10-30 01:52
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	21	$4.2K	4,100	4,100	+0	No	+$575	05-25 16:15
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	6	$4.0K	4,313	4,313	+0	Yes	+$1,637	04-21 12:35
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$3.2K	4,050	3,804	+247	No	-$405	07-30 14:50
grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	7	$3.2K	2,223	2,223	+0	Yes	-$75	07-30 14:18
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	13	$2.6K	1,872	1,872	+0	Yes	+$699	05-04 02:02
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	9	$2.5K	1,501	1,501	+0	Yes	+$415	08-20 11:41
Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch?	7	$2.2K	6,300	0	+6,300	No	-$2,194	04-22 12:47
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?	12	$2.1K	1,950	813	+1,136	open	—	05-31 03:20
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	7	$2.1K	1,502	1,444	+57	Yes	+$742	04-13 18:08
squid fdv above 50m one day after launch 893	3	$2.0K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$500	08-03 16:29
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	7	$2.0K	1,302	1,302	+0	Yes	+$583	04-21 12:39
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$1.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	No	+$230	07-28 04:18
tea fdv above 40m one day after launch	3	$1.8K	2,798	0	+2,798	No	-$1,813	06-03 22:47
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	1	$1.7K	2,104	0	+2,104	No	+$404	02-26 15:44
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	18	$1.6K	3,240	3,240	+0	Yes	+$712	04-28 02:13
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$1.6K	1,996	0	+1,996	No	+$396	05-25 13:01
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?	12	$1.6K	3,046	0	+3,046	No	-$1,565	04-29 13:22
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	3	$1.5K	2,331	0	+2,331	No	+$831	05-25 12:59
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$1.5K	1,837	0	+1,837	Yes	+$384	04-23 11:36
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$1.3K	1,459	0	+1,459	No	+$167	03-22 22:14
squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	8	$1.3K	900	900	+0	Yes	+$156	08-04 13:04
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	3	$1.3K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$288	04-30 11:03
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	7	$1.2K	8,929	0	+8,929	No	-$1,199	04-22 17:21
squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	11	$1.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$250	08-04 10:12
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$1.1K	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	10-27 13:13
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$1.0K	629	633	-5	Yes	+$30	08-20 11:41
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$931	511	505	+6	Yes	+$68	04-13 17:34
squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	6	$875	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$125	08-04 14:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:52:25	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,000	47¢	$940	0x800597…
10-30 01:39:00	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	616	50¢	$311	0x6e51d4…
10-30 01:28:15	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x5be063…
10-27 13:13:30	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,400	75¢	$1,050	0xe9021b…
10-26 22:37:29	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,393	60¢	$836	0x975572…
10-26 22:28:20	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	306	60¢	$184	0x4ca693…
10-26 19:38:38	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xae4cc7…
10-26 19:26:42	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf95cf2…
10-26 19:08:20	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	750	60¢	$450	0xdf3754…
10-26 18:48:38	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0xcf93da…
10-26 17:16:42	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xba0a3f…
10-26 16:51:20	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	502	60¢	$301	0x81da66…
10-26 16:50:45	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x89963b…
10-26 16:29:59	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x7c5b5a…
10-26 13:40:05	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xc38c9a…
10-25 07:33:57	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	730	58¢	$423	0x740281…
10-25 07:31:53	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	58¢	$580	0x6596c9…
10-22 14:19:12	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x662a68…
10-22 14:10:35	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x2eddea…
10-22 13:22:51	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	550	60¢	$330	0x634102…
10-06 14:58:14	Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xac2a80…
10-06 14:56:59	Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	420	79¢	$332	0x0562bc…
09-27 18:32:42	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	41¢	$205	0x991ded…
09-26 22:20:35	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	45¢	$135	0xfdb35b…
09-26 22:20:23	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x6596c8…
08-20 11:46:21	Aligned FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0x0977cb…
08-20 11:41:18	Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	633	85¢	$537	0x71db51…
08-20 11:41:03	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,501	98¢	$1,467	0xcdeb67…
08-04 20:57:14	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	771	70¢	$541	0xb6ae6b…
08-04 14:34:57	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xf70b92…
08-04 14:34:53	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x1ea9e2…
08-04 14:34:47	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x494e56…
08-04 14:24:06	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	SELL	1,788	16¢	$286	0xba1205…
08-04 14:21:32	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	207	70¢	$145	0x7e4d1a…
08-04 14:21:27	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xc6c470…
08-04 14:21:27	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	207	70¢	$145	0x30a97d…
08-04 14:21:26	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	201	70¢	$140	0xed27c4…
08-04 13:34:32	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	SELL	163	30¢	$49	0xb9c0f6…
08-04 13:04:09	squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	Yes	SELL	304	80¢	$244	0xfdaa42…
08-04 13:00:33	squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	Yes	SELL	471	80¢	$376	0xbfb2e9…
08-04 11:43:51	squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	Yes	SELL	125	80¢	$100	0x87b713…
08-04 11:03:56	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x2e089c…
08-04 11:03:53	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xa5da94…
08-04 10:18:24	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	SELL	434	30¢	$130	0xc3c52c…
08-04 10:12:02	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	SELL	1,100	60¢	$660	0xedf0b6…
08-03 21:14:24	will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	226	34¢	$77	0x23ad26…
08-03 16:29:12	squid fdv above 50m one day after launch 893	Yes	BUY	2,314	80¢	$1,852	0xe0998e…
08-03 15:41:54	squid fdv above 50m one day after launch 893	Yes	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x63e816…
08-03 15:35:20	squid fdv above 50m one day after launch 893	Yes	BUY	126	80¢	$100	0xcf2e30…
08-03 10:53:44	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x5fe891…
08-03 10:11:29	squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x98fd48…
08-03 09:27:02	squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	Yes	BUY	288	60¢	$173	0xfb77b1…
08-03 09:15:02	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xfc23fd…
08-03 09:13:39	squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	Yes	BUY	300	63¢	$189	0x405116…
08-03 09:07:02	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	BUY	442	35¢	$155	0x1457ff…
07-31 19:55:42	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xfef28b…
07-31 03:51:59	squid fdv above 200m one day after launch 483	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0xdcc0d5…
07-31 03:51:56	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	BUY	245	40¢	$98	0x8b4862…
07-31 03:51:51	squid fdv above 200m one day after launch 483	Yes	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0xbf8d2e…
07-31 03:51:27	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	BUY	2,500	15¢	$375	0x7a8709…
07-30 14:50:44	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	247	59¢	$145	0xd21573…
07-30 14:37:21	grvt fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x79518b…
07-30 14:35:57	grvt fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x5b0fde…
07-30 14:18:18	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	465	70¢	$325	0x15ff22…
07-30 14:17:02	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	85	70¢	$59	0x19e2e0…
07-30 14:16:06	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	700	70¢	$490	0x3a20aa…
07-30 14:15:14	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	500	70¢	$350	0xe3095c…
07-30 14:14:57	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	362	70¢	$253	0x28814d…
07-30 14:14:41	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	111	70¢	$78	0x34569c…
07-30 14:13:42	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	317	83¢	$263	0xed3406…
07-30 14:12:39	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	500	83¢	$415	0x34040b…
07-30 14:12:24	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	600	83¢	$498	0x953d18…
07-30 14:12:21	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	500	83¢	$415	0x7f7273…
07-30 14:12:06	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,247	83¢	$1,035	0x7f5e94…
07-30 14:11:47	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	619	83¢	$513	0xf79e90…
07-30 13:52:44	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	300	83¢	$249	0x09cfed…
07-30 13:35:14	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	324	83¢	$269	0xcd4357…
07-30 13:29:35	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	617	83¢	$512	0xb94595…
07-30 13:23:56	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	218	83¢	$181	0xa702a6…
07-30 13:23:50	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3,104	34¢	$1,055	0xcdb096…
07-30 13:23:03	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	47	83¢	$39	0xb0295d…
07-30 13:21:23	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	500	34¢	$170	0x10a49c…
07-30 13:18:38	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0x0f65fd…
07-29 18:46:02	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc7b851…
07-29 15:11:32	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,290	90¢	$1,161	0x4d6396…
07-29 13:32:27	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	510	90¢	$459	0x100fa4…
07-28 04:18:15	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3,367	30¢	$1,010	0x6bf64f…
07-21 02:39:33	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x39581a…
07-20 01:59:06	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	130	30¢	$39	0x5aedc0…
07-19 05:31:57	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	631	83¢	$524	0x3039ba…
07-19 04:47:30	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	648	83¢	$538	0xca6705…
07-18 23:37:58	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	83¢	$18	0x4f905f…
07-18 22:35:24	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	2,223	73¢	$1,631	0x16e4d5…
07-16 12:24:47	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x7388f3…
07-16 08:07:02	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	BUY	41	45¢	$19	0xa3e84f…
07-15 18:59:49	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xa029f3…
07-14 18:45:34	squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	Yes	BUY	280	65¢	$182	0xcc88ce…
07-13 19:26:43	squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x8f5255…
07-13 16:58:37	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x2f6b5f…
06-30 21:16:10	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	170	89¢	$151	0x9e8f44…