Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
35.2%
Resolved
23
Trades
7,513
lifetime
Volume
$21.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$33
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 00:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
40% 50% +$0
Other
35% 67% $-2
Crypto
14% 50% $-1
Sports
9% 57% +$1
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +13 $6 50¢ $6 +$1 06-12 21:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +12 $5 51¢ $6 +$1 05-28 14:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $5 39¢ $6 +$1 06-12 21:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -7 $-6 84¢ $-6 $-0 05-29 21:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +30 $5 17¢ $5 $-0 06-12 17:50
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes -15 $-6 14¢ $-2 +$4 05-31 18:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-13 00:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1 $0 20¢ $0 +$0 05-29 18:36
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +0 $-1 86¢ $0 +$1 06-01 11:12