Realized P&L
+$250
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
67.7%
Resolved
1,043
Trades
8,822
lifetime
Volume
$27.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$31
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-04 07:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 187 days
Categories
Politics
42% 56% +$83
Other
36% 53% +$206
Crypto
12% 47% -$58
Sports
7% 68% +$18
Tech
2% 52% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 38% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -6 -$5 99¢ $-6 -$2 04-28 16:30
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -5 -$4 99¢ $-5 $0 04-28 16:30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -5 -$5 94¢ $-5 $0 04-28 16:30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -5 -$4 72¢ $-4 +$0 04-28 16:30
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -21 -$5 18¢ $-4 +$1 04-28 16:29
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4 -$2 82¢ $-3 -$1 04-28 16:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -13 -$4 22¢ $-3 +$2 04-28 16:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$3 10¢ $-0 +$2 04-28 16:30
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -10 -$4 5¢ $-0 +$3 04-28 16:29
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -5 -$3 4¢ $-0 +$3 04-28 16:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -0 $0 98¢ $-0 $0 04-28 16:30