Vigilant-Manufacturing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

2,285

Trades

2,340

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 221 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% +$4

Sports

14% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 97% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 game2	2	$10	5	5	+0	100 Thieves	+$0	03-15 15:34
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	Ursa	+$0	03-09 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-11 11:26
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-29 23:30
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	05-19 00:48
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-09 22:15
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	3	$10	5	5	+0	Team Vitality	+$0	03-14 01:00
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:36
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 map handicap home 1pt5	3	$10	5	5	+0	100 Thieves	+$0	03-15 15:51
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x291bc8…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d1566…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd0d7ff…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31af2e…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x839fdb…
10-20 18:45:42	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0fc4de…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4717d1…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f18d3…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd14d92…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa482db…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e223b…
10-13 15:56:01	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x171d0c…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a27cd…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff52c7…
10-12 09:05:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53352e…
10-11 20:16:10	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe3bdfd…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56d500…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb46cf…
10-09 02:09:51	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c2e43…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6eb2d…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab3bd9…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d157e…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf35e49…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x745255…
10-03 02:52:56	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79d674…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x570e7a…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9e09d…
10-01 12:06:15	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e763b…
10-01 06:03:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x89d012…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97d142…
09-30 23:55:02	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x175638…
09-30 01:58:18	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x40502d…
09-29 13:58:51	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2ab02…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x707a15…
09-29 06:34:57	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed697a…
09-27 20:35:44	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x550cbe…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde6c29…
09-27 12:29:14	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x596c83…
09-26 19:47:30	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97c48e…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x622f04…
09-25 10:16:33	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x995684…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe9278d…
09-23 22:37:47	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7ba0e…
09-21 19:09:03	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d9277…
09-21 18:44:34	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf4a305…
09-21 13:01:32	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5dd502…
09-21 08:38:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x413d97…
09-21 02:19:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa1fd9…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x32dcf8…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27321e…
09-19 01:33:07	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7097b3…
09-17 20:00:06	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6bd2ba…
09-17 17:27:46	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x188f58…
09-17 14:00:52	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfbca90…
09-17 00:30:43	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ff9f1…
09-16 12:05:15	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a800a…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbf000…
09-16 06:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6b340…
09-16 01:32:13	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f29a9…
09-16 01:20:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ab99a…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e305a…
09-15 17:49:36	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe28978…
09-15 16:15:00	cs2 wraith morrow 2026 09 15	MORROW	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f8576…
09-15 14:12:25	W75 Le Neubourg: Demi Tran vs Sachia Vickery	Demi Tran	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x609955…
09-15 09:42:01	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd6b2ce…
09-14 19:48:04	cs2 drama zotix 2026 09 14 game2	Drama eSports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe033d…
09-14 14:28:54	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf26f4e…
09-13 22:59:31	Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb4564…
09-13 20:06:10	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f5110…
09-13 14:59:07	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc85a6d…
09-13 14:16:06	Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaddbd4…
09-13 02:51:28	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa21ea…
09-12 13:10:15	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30b75c…
09-12 09:32:25	Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing	Max Basing	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6f945…
09-12 03:18:52	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f9c38…
09-11 21:06:34	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5a77a…
09-11 20:37:40	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7d18e1…
09-11 19:25:48	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc97ec2…
09-11 18:24:36	Hannover 96 leading at halftime?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8140e1…
09-11 10:52:42	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3af066…
09-11 02:58:34	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e6d01…
09-10 20:29:00	Counter-Strike: mellren vs MORROW (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Play-In Play-In	mellren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xffb10d…
09-10 18:48:19	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf63982…
09-10 18:41:28	Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x74362a…
09-10 17:31:48	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1c37b…
09-10 01:26:55	Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x106eea…
09-10 01:18:24	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb74b61…
09-09 22:45:57	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25816f…
09-09 22:03:06	xauusd up or down on september 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x518316…
09-09 18:51:12	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cc56c…
09-09 00:21:48	Barranquilla: Cadence Brace vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x550b86…
09-08 23:11:34	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e43b7…
09-08 20:57:12	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1bf62d…
09-08 12:12:45	Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Juan Martin	Valerio Aboian	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa123f3…
09-08 06:06:04	M25 Sapporo: Kazushi Idogaki vs Seiya Nakanishi	Seiya Nakanishi	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17c2f0…
09-08 05:01:57	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb90a58…
09-07 21:25:36	wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	Elena Rybakina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f616f…
09-07 19:01:57	Seville: Petr Brunclik vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8fe95…
09-07 17:57:49	US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5aa754…
09-04 04:29:37	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7c4ee…