Vigilant-Manufacturing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,536

lifetime

Volume

$7.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 06-09 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

80% 97% +$0

Sports

15% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-09 14:17
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 00:48
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-11 11:26
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 map handicap home 1pt5	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-15 15:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 23:30
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-09 22:15
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 08:56
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 game2	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-15 15:34
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-14 01:00
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
atp bueno casanov 2026 04 10 first set winner Bueno vs Casanova	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-10 16:30
cs2 mouz fut 2026 03 13	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-13 22:03
will miami win the 2026 acc title	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-14 04:30
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 22c	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-16 23:11
highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 23c	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-29 17:30
col str mai 2026 04 16 total 3pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-16 21:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:17:39	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ddc72…
06-09 16:28:55	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb09bb6…
06-08 21:36:58	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07fbc4…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x72ee49…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x025d8b…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe65418…
06-07 17:35:21	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game handicap away 3pt5	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b4f9f…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd389b…
06-07 13:09:43	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x20110b…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d749a…
06-06 19:24:10	cs2 js1 100t 2026 06 06	100 Thieves	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc556c…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe90b80…
06-06 11:32:37	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fe6d8…
06-06 11:32:27	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd9671…
06-05 18:20:22	mlbb sup1 omnix 2026 06 05 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x597abe…
06-05 17:59:15	Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f272b…
06-05 17:03:39	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d3757…
06-05 01:53:27	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80ca0b…
06-04 04:48:13	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6bf0d6…
06-03 21:32:37	DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7ca04…
06-03 18:02:19	RCA Zemamra vs. US Yacoub El Mansour: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd9cbd2…
06-03 16:06:13	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d95f8…
06-03 16:04:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56d4ea…
06-03 04:48:32	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xffee48…
06-02 22:56:08	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd05dd0…
06-02 15:24:44	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcbd0be…
06-02 14:02:04	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c453e…
05-31 20:20:21	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x11fc69…
05-31 19:50:14	Switzerland vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f6069…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7ce60b…
05-31 14:34:11	Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d1f69…
05-31 14:22:57	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9e11c…
05-31 14:19:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf0d890…
05-30 22:09:41	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc33587…
05-30 21:11:16	CA Paranaense vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1bb7ee…
05-30 19:09:19	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8ce52…
05-30 19:05:42	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x837312…
05-30 16:22:57	AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x170e7e…
05-30 15:55:11	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)	NIP	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x415933…
05-30 14:25:16	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd2d96…
05-30 11:45:14	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7865c…
05-30 08:17:34	j2100 sag fuj 2026 05 30 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x158a3d…
05-30 04:48:03	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf60b1b…
05-29 23:44:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf68e1c…
05-29 23:30:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4ba6c4…
05-29 22:14:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6936ac…
05-29 21:58:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf0fb91…
05-29 21:05:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a3d58…
05-29 21:05:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ecbcb…
05-29 21:01:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x991603…
05-29 20:22:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64b381…
05-29 19:20:06	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x45578a…
05-29 17:27:50	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9541ba…
05-29 13:57:03	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95c28e…
05-29 02:36:00	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Cruzeiro EC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x187a0e…
05-28 20:08:40	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x240490…
05-28 16:52:19	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4653e…
05-28 16:31:09	Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	Asterisk	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3b5f45…
05-28 13:50:49	Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jenson Brooksby	Mariano Navone	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51815f…
05-28 12:33:00	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeefb28…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44f232…
05-28 01:55:49	Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x527ce8…
05-27 14:43:44	Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5af746…
05-27 02:14:32	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6cf554…
05-26 16:59:23	World Championships: Sweden vs. Slovakia	Sweden	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf66f72…
05-26 14:03:24	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb2ebd…
05-26 13:17:57	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x63f38d…
05-25 19:18:26	Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f32e0…
05-25 19:06:39	Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage	ASTRAL	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69cc96…
05-25 18:11:53	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd46bf6…
05-25 08:09:11	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ee998…
05-25 04:48:26	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1288fa…
05-24 22:57:05	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ed9f4…
05-24 20:54:51	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8518b3…
05-24 20:34:00	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4efe9…
05-24 18:17:30	Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44695c…
05-24 17:22:17	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x239f98…
05-24 15:57:38	Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs	Tomas Machac	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7f699…
05-24 15:29:58	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a8dd0…
05-24 08:02:48	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31ea02…
05-23 16:16:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa96b08…
05-23 01:24:50	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d9478…
05-22 20:37:19	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x546627…
05-22 17:36:18	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb76c76…
05-22 09:44:06	ITF Takasaki: Sohyun Park vs Rina Saigo	Rina Saigo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc363e6…
05-21 20:07:50	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a971a…
05-21 14:25:01	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf594d4…
05-21 04:00:49	Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)	Independiente Medellín	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c928c…
05-20 21:53:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2002a2…
05-20 21:22:33	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc33398…
05-20 21:17:30	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30aeb7…
05-20 19:20:27	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anhelina Kalinina	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1083e…
05-20 19:13:55	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47fc54…
05-20 18:22:27	Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fokina (+1.5)	Fokina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x640a57…
05-20 11:43:41	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa0cbc…
05-20 09:47:39	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3bc062…
05-20 04:04:51	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x717ae2…
05-20 03:08:58	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x879fc3…
05-19 20:50:08	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa33757…
05-19 20:02:49	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Yunchaokete Bu	Emilio Nava	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f77c1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Grimy-Scimitar 0x3ed6…c5c6	721	$3.70K	745	06-08 21:37
Tragic-Economics 0x5e9d…6a86	714	$36.4K	781	06-07 17:39
Austere-Pavilion 0x381a…e19b	714	$3.65K	736	06-09 17:38
Muddy-Milestone 0x24c2…7161	708	$3.62K	725	06-09 17:38
Attached-Behold 0x0705…6f2f	700	$18.0K	738	06-07 17:39
Snarling-Screwdriver 0x845b…1737	698	$18.0K	745	06-08 22:11
Worthy-Employment 0x3a15…30d9	698	$3.58K	721	06-08 21:37
Bubbly-Spice 0xca65…7c6b	697	$36.0K	784	06-08 22:09