Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$39.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$376

Open exposure

$13

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 10-12 02:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$23

Other

0% 94% +$2

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Vanta IPO before 2027?	No	-4	-$4	97¢	$-4	$0	08-17 14:13
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	-3	-$2	96¢	$-3	-$1	06-02 14:59
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	-3	-$3	95¢	$-3	+$0	07-22 05:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-3	-$2	98¢	$-3	$0	10-12 02:13
Ledger IPO before 2027?	Yes	-5	$0	6¢	$-0	+$0	06-16 06:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on march 22	28	$19.0K	9,497	9,489	+8	Yes	+$3	03-21 12:05
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	4	$6.3K	3,160	3,150	+10	Yes	+$0	03-21 13:14
ethereum above 1700 on march 22	2	$6.3K	3,150	3,142	+8	Yes	+$0	03-21 15:56
bitcoin above 64k on march 20	6	$3.1K	2,556	600	+1,956	Yes	+$15	03-19 23:43
bitcoin above 62k on march 21	11	$2.2K	1,127	1,111	+16	Yes	+$0	03-20 14:39
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	11	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$4	03-20 04:31
bitcoin above 62k on march 20	1	$51	51	0	+51	Yes	+$0	03-19 13:27
2026 us senate election republican odds over 75 by march 31	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-06 02:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	02-23 08:24
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 11:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-16 23:22
us strikes yemen by february 28 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-27 21:25
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 23:46
will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 16m and 19m	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-16 11:46
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	03-03 09:59
taylor swift pregnant by march 31	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	03-08 13:40
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-25 17:49
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	04-12 11:09
will bitcoin reach 78k on april 19	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-19 18:02
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-30 03:24
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$5	4	1	+3	No	+$0	03-28 07:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	0	6	-6	Yes	-$1	06-02 14:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-13 09:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 6	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-06 07:10
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-15 09:07
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 300 319	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-28 16:56
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-17 12:55
Vanta IPO before 2027?	1	$4	0	4	-4	open	—	08-17 14:13
ethereum above 2000 on march 10	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	03-10 08:49
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	1	$3	0	3	-3	open	—	07-22 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 02:13:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0x0d9724…
08-17 14:13:39	Vanta IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x48a376…
07-22 05:00:31	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xf18fe8…
06-16 06:15:36	Ledger IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x39f1dd…
06-02 14:59:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x9d2e65…
06-02 14:59:40	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x340dc1…
05-15 09:07:28	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xadd8c0…
05-14 07:03:14	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x3a48c2…
04-25 17:49:42	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x69fd8f…
04-19 18:02:20	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 19	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xd2ec27…
04-16 23:22:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x45ead9…
04-12 11:09:41	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x2fd76f…
04-07 23:21:41	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xc93b93…
04-06 07:10:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 6	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8b4efe…
03-31 23:46:39	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0xdf10f4…
03-31 00:02:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x4f4e6f…
03-30 03:24:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa1ab65…
03-28 16:56:15	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 300 319	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xf31eae…
03-28 07:46:41	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x713c98…
03-25 05:15:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xe046b4…
03-22 11:09:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x56a50a…
03-22 03:48:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x44faf4…
03-21 15:56:59	ethereum above 1700 on march 22	Yes	SELL	3,142	100¢	$3,139	0xefc82f…
03-21 13:24:45	ethereum above 1700 on march 22	Yes	BUY	3,150	100¢	$3,147	0x1ee45d…
03-21 13:14:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	SELL	697	100¢	$695	0xc279f8…
03-21 13:14:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	SELL	2,236	100¢	$2,229	0xaf674b…
03-21 13:04:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0xb8b85d…
03-21 12:38:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	3,160	100¢	$3,151	0x948053…
03-21 12:05:05	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	815	100¢	$814	0x1f8b48…
03-21 12:03:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	955	100¢	$954	0xe0a435…
03-21 12:03:51	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	948	100¢	$947	0x2eb6ec…
03-21 12:03:47	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	442	100¢	$441	0xe88a97…
03-21 11:52:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	3,165	100¢	$3,162	0xdc5c6d…
03-21 09:59:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0x3121d7…
03-21 09:59:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	1,071	100¢	$1,070	0x2baf36…
03-21 09:59:05	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	785	100¢	$784	0xe7f5c0…
03-21 09:59:05	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	1,092	100¢	$1,090	0x60bf68…
03-21 04:54:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	3,168	100¢	$3,165	0x262d17…
03-21 03:14:15	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	1,374	100¢	$1,371	0x1a2fdd…
03-21 03:13:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x920224…
03-21 03:13:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x439e66…
03-21 03:13:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x238a81…
03-21 03:13:17	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xc0fbdf…
03-21 03:13:17	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4345d2…
03-21 03:12:03	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xcfbbe8…
03-21 03:11:13	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	118	100¢	$117	0xb0ccba…
03-21 03:09:57	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x9269d9…
03-21 03:09:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	129	100¢	$128	0x5015bf…
03-21 03:08:51	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	123	100¢	$122	0x92e414…
03-21 03:08:25	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	119	100¢	$118	0xf19a32…
03-21 03:07:59	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x01d1e8…
03-21 03:07:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x3c2dce…
03-21 03:06:41	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xc9b1d0…
03-21 03:06:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0xc3d688…
03-21 03:05:43	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x47fad9…
03-21 00:12:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	3,164	100¢	$3,155	0xab8309…
03-20 14:39:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0xcc3960…
03-20 14:39:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xfd219e…
03-20 14:38:37	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x7f67aa…
03-20 14:38:33	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xed9143…
03-20 14:37:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	SELL	118	100¢	$117	0xefa91c…
03-20 14:36:49	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xf695a9…
03-20 14:35:51	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x309727…
03-20 14:35:05	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xaefeb2…
03-20 14:26:21	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0x8c2573…
03-20 14:23:39	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x1b6ddc…
03-20 13:24:07	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	BUY	1,127	100¢	$1,126	0xce594c…
03-20 04:31:15	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	SELL	362	100¢	$361	0xe7ebe1…
03-20 04:31:13	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2e2f8b…
03-20 04:30:43	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	SELL	505	100¢	$504	0x2dfe33…
03-20 04:30:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xe38406…
03-20 04:30:03	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x537e44…
03-20 03:51:03	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	592	99¢	$589	0x3f695a…
03-20 03:40:57	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	208	99¢	$207	0xc579c0…
03-20 03:36:37	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x209a4a…
03-20 03:36:11	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x313c1b…
03-20 03:34:41	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0x933bc5…
03-20 03:32:07	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd312fa…
03-19 23:43:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,992	0xdf0654…
03-19 20:23:05	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	SELL	393	100¢	$392	0xa1a48c…
03-19 20:03:45	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x49a84c…
03-19 13:27:39	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0x8698c5…
03-19 12:47:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc6bb55…
03-19 08:47:59	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xde03e3…
03-19 08:37:27	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5267c9…
03-19 07:59:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	BUY	446	98¢	$439	0xb4155b…
03-18 11:55:49	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf28b5b…
03-17 12:55:51	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa661bc…
03-16 11:46:31	will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 16m and 19m	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa95c4d…
03-15 08:35:09	will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 16m and 19m	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x168e21…
03-13 09:40:21	bitcoin above 68k on march 14	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xb58c33…
03-10 08:49:39	ethereum above 2000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xdbf922…
03-08 13:40:35	taylor swift pregnant by march 31	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0f0d4a…
03-06 02:33:31	2026 us senate election republican odds over 75 by march 31	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xb74a63…
03-05 12:00:13	taylor swift pregnant by march 31	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe7a89f…
03-03 21:05:11	another us strike on venezuela by march 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x73d87b…
03-03 09:59:53	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xf08e23…
02-27 21:25:35	us strikes yemen by february 28 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdbd896…
02-24 20:07:56	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xb00d2b…
02-23 08:24:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xed5003…