Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.6%

Resolved

186

Trades

778

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-22

last 11-05 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

69% 3% -$145

Politics

20% 0% -$9

Tech

8% 0% -$5

Sports

2% 0% -$2

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	14	$585	350	350	+0	open	—	09-04 12:59
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	12	$466	300	300	+0	open	—	09-17 15:09
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	10	$460	250	250	+0	No	-$1	09-02 00:16
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	6	$280	150	150	+0	open	—	09-16 06:37
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	8	$280	200	200	+0	open	—	09-16 18:02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	6	$277	150	150	+0	open	—	09-15 16:15
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	6	$275	150	150	+0	No	$0	09-17 18:37
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	6	$274	150	150	+0	open	—	08-24 09:48
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	10	$274	250	250	+0	No	-$2	09-19 05:45
Fed rate hike in 2026?	6	$270	150	150	+0	Yes	-$1	09-14 20:40
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	10	$250	250	250	+0	Yes	-$2	09-13 12:42
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	6	$222	120	120	+0	Yes	-$1	09-18 08:07
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	4	$178	100	100	+0	open	—	09-17 11:55
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	4	$178	100	100	+0	open	—	09-12 20:02
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	4	$111	60	60	+0	No	$0	09-10 00:56
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	8	$111	80	80	+0	No	-$1	09-17 08:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	4	$103	100	100	+0	open	—	10-18 17:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	4	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	09-09 08:20
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	09-16 19:08
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$99	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	09-14 09:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	4	$98	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	09-17 07:02
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	4	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	09-16 10:18
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?	4	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	08-27 03:03
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 17:56
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	09-17 19:19
Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	10-23 15:40
Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?	2	$94	50	50	+0	No	-$1	10-29 14:34
Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?	2	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	09-08 14:22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	4	$94	90	90	+0	Yes	-$1	09-01 09:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	09-18 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:28:13	Will Bournemouth finish first in UEL league phase?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x399c22…
11-05 15:22:13	Will Bournemouth finish first in UEL league phase?	No	SELL	45	62¢	$28	0x6be3d3…
11-05 15:22:10	Will Bournemouth finish first in UEL league phase?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xdf9992…
11-05 14:44:58	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xff84fc…
11-05 14:44:48	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa7cc26…
11-04 05:33:27	Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 40% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x2ad8b5…
11-04 05:10:36	Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by March 31?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x32ddc4…
11-04 05:10:33	Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by March 31?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x0dd90f…
11-04 04:33:27	Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 40% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xe91e1a…
11-02 13:06:51	Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x38b3c6…
11-02 13:02:51	Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x237863…
11-02 13:01:39	Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x355d5b…
10-31 03:17:48	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x32d71d…
10-31 03:17:45	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x88052d…
10-30 02:37:55	Will Cryocells play for Leviatán Esports in 2027?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x1dd507…
10-30 02:37:54	Will Cryocells play for Leviatán Esports in 2027?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x25a92a…
10-30 01:15:28	Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x1f4215…
10-30 01:15:27	Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x832901…
10-29 14:34:37	Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xd4ebdd…
10-29 14:34:26	Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa3058f…
10-29 03:52:43	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3d0714…
10-29 03:52:41	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2579d4…
10-28 13:31:41	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x17fc6a…
10-28 13:31:40	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf009ee…
10-25 13:37:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xd66740…
10-25 12:37:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xc8cf56…
10-25 12:37:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x203695…
10-23 15:40:51	Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x0843a2…
10-23 15:39:36	Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x02c37d…
10-23 00:18:08	Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x114956…
10-23 00:18:06	Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x1d2e47…
10-22 18:42:36	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x5aeab6…
10-22 17:37:35	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa70b20…
10-21 11:13:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x1e2409…
10-21 11:13:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x96716d…
10-21 00:06:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xa69483…
10-20 23:26:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x33146f…
10-20 19:03:29	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	No	SELL	38	75¢	$29	0x8d1547…
10-20 18:03:32	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0xd969ae…
10-20 18:03:30	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xc6bf5e…
10-19 23:04:12	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x795835…
10-19 22:54:11	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	63¢	$22	0x9d3c0f…
10-19 20:54:11	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x47baf6…
10-19 15:31:03	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf41b11…
10-19 15:31:02	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2fc8ff…
10-19 14:28:18	Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x704930…
10-19 14:28:17	Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x0b1caa…
10-19 12:59:12	Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x1130f6…
10-19 12:49:59	Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x582f26…
10-19 07:30:12	Will Morgan Wallen perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xb5e6d9…
10-19 07:30:11	Will Morgan Wallen perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x9200ab…
10-18 23:52:42	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x710b1f…
10-18 21:52:44	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?	Yes	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0x12c06f…
10-18 21:52:42	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xd96036…
10-18 17:09:30	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x4d836b…
10-18 17:09:21	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x47edf1…
10-16 04:36:58	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd7b272…
10-16 04:36:57	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xa2ea57…
10-15 18:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 17?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xb41519…
10-15 18:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xdc9096…
10-15 16:29:19	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-17 House seat?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x440aaa…
10-15 16:29:17	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-17 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2fc50e…
10-15 14:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x61801e…
10-15 14:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xc7e556…
10-14 20:30:16	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xf3427a…
10-14 20:30:15	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x011e04…
10-14 06:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x2d7af7…
10-14 06:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x86c54c…
10-14 03:17:01	Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x8e9df0…
10-14 03:16:56	Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x1ac8d5…
10-13 15:05:02	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x118d51…
10-13 15:05:01	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd14fec…
10-13 13:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x4d642a…
10-13 13:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xf8603e…
10-13 11:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x393212…
10-13 11:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xe67de7…
10-13 00:19:59	Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x911d2c…
10-13 00:19:57	Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x857765…
10-12 17:23:44	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x00c26c…
10-12 17:23:42	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x197c85…
10-12 16:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x80367d…
10-12 16:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x70e78c…
10-12 13:12:15	Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$41	0x67b4a9…
10-12 13:11:30	Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x7750b9…
10-12 05:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 13?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xeb56c4…
10-12 05:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 13?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x19c4eb…
10-12 04:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xeb3ea1…
10-12 04:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xb720d6…
10-12 03:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 13?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x5ad22e…
10-12 03:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 13?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4d471b…
10-12 02:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x0e20f9…
10-12 02:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x443960…
10-11 19:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x73311c…
10-11 19:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x97deeb…
10-11 19:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xbbde78…
10-11 14:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x136531…
10-11 14:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x65114a…
10-11 14:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?	No	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0x685f8c…
10-11 14:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?	No	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xf78fa1…
10-10 17:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 11?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xbb4ac2…