Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-12

last 11-05 09:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

77% 17% -$5

Other

17% 25% -$5

Tech

4% 0% $0

Crypto

2% 67% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	8	$1.9K	938	938	+0	Yes	+$0	10-12 22:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	14	$392	198	198	+0	open	—	10-17 10:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	4	$120	65	65	+0	No	$0	10-12 19:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	2	$80	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	10-14 09:50
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	10-13 18:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	2	$80	41	41	+0	Yes	$0	10-13 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	10	$24	17	17	+0	Up	+$2	10-12 19:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	10-13 08:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	11-05 09:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	10-12 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$12	7	6	+0	Up	+$0	10-12 22:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-13 07:44
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	10-12 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$7	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	10-12 22:36
Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Boulter vs Diana Shnaider	2	$4	2	2	+0	Diana Shnaider	+$0	10-13 08:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	10-20 08:59
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	10-19 10:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-12 19:21
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?	1	$4	7	0	+7	No	-$4	10-15 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$3	38	0	+38	Up	-$3	10-13 07:37
will donald trump publicly insult jon ossoff by october 31 2026	1	$3	65	0	+65	Yes	-$3	10-14 10:43
will donald trump publicly insult kaitlan collins by october 31 2026	1	$2	14	0	+14	Yes	-$2	10-14 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	-$2	10-13 07:40
cs2 rustec thegol 2026 10 12	2	$2	1	1	+0	ex-RUSTEC	+$0	10-12 19:35
spx opens up or down on october 14 2026	1	$2	1,500	0	+1,500	Down	-$2	10-14 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 09:38:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x61b04a…
11-05 09:34:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x785418…
10-20 08:59:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x076da9…
10-20 08:11:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x976d72…
10-19 10:32:51	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd4d2ce…
10-19 10:28:24	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1f0eb3…
10-17 10:46:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x04602a…
10-17 10:27:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x705e4c…
10-16 08:45:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xca7fa9…
10-16 08:14:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x13e466…
10-15 17:51:11	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x052369…
10-15 07:29:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x576e3f…
10-15 07:26:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xbc4a80…
10-14 16:38:07	spx opens up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0xbc538e…
10-14 10:43:59	will donald trump publicly insult kaitlan collins by october 31 2026	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x2496f0…
10-14 10:43:50	will donald trump publicly insult jon ossoff by october 31 2026	No	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0xb20019…
10-14 09:50:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x19ff74…
10-14 09:42:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd1272a…
10-13 18:57:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xa7eb72…
10-13 18:46:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x5980ee…
10-13 18:45:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x862962…
10-13 18:39:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x5f7a7e…
10-13 18:33:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x420498…
10-13 18:26:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x7ada0a…
10-13 18:25:19	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x239dae…
10-13 18:19:12	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb37d4b…
10-13 18:16:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xa4348c…
10-13 18:10:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe75d48…
10-13 18:10:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xfde59b…
10-13 18:05:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb72c03…
10-13 08:16:28	Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Boulter vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9dc04c…
10-13 08:16:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfa5bec…
10-13 07:48:23	Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Boulter vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x839d03…
10-13 07:46:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9174a8…
10-13 07:44:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdb3e21…
10-13 07:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x75a45d…
10-13 07:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x39190c…
10-13 07:35:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d2535…
10-12 22:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	51¢	$4	0x0c6c77…
10-12 22:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x41fe47…
10-12 22:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x6d7b0f…
10-12 22:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x472e54…
10-12 22:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc5e3f8…
10-12 22:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x01fa3e…
10-12 22:28:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	435	100¢	$435	0x32c191…
10-12 21:14:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	435	100¢	$435	0x9f4142…
10-12 21:13:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	432	100¢	$431	0xdc06c9…
10-12 20:05:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	432	100¢	$430	0x066f69…
10-12 20:04:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	66	99¢	$66	0x72f2b6…
10-12 19:59:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xed7cdc…
10-12 19:57:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcc3405…
10-12 19:57:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9fe165…
10-12 19:56:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x61cc91…
10-12 19:56:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe75a02…
10-12 19:54:14	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x97c859…
10-12 19:39:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xabf56b…
10-12 19:38:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x136f5a…
10-12 19:35:18	cs2 rustec thegol 2026 10 12	ex-RUSTEC	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xf21271…
10-12 19:34:26	cs2 rustec thegol 2026 10 12	ex-RUSTEC	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xede52f…
10-12 19:33:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0x1a65cd…
10-12 19:33:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x1e8d89…
10-12 19:33:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x88c764…
10-12 19:32:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xcae393…
10-12 19:30:38	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x825b87…
10-12 19:22:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa3f9c6…
10-12 19:22:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4077af…
10-12 19:21:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xe830ee…
10-12 19:20:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x594198…
10-12 19:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x5102fa…
10-12 19:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5f4f43…
10-12 19:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x63ace8…
10-12 19:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbc47c0…
10-12 19:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x326bee…
10-12 19:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x2bfc23…
10-12 19:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x5a2d5e…
10-12 19:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x273c73…
10-12 19:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x701e8b…
10-12 19:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbb9dfe…