(anonymous) 0x61af13…e4c770 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$702
Unrealized P&L
+$136
Hit rate
65.2%
Resolved
293
Trades
1,431
lifetime
Volume
$14.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.25K
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-21
last 11-05 16:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Politics
46% 68% +$297
Crypto
42% 58% -$1,014
Other
11% 44% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +364 $334 97¢ $354 +$20 08-02 05:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +289 $230 88¢ $256 +$26 08-06 17:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +122 $93 92¢ $112 +$18 08-09 11:49
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +124 $95 90¢ $112 +$17 08-07 13:11
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +93 $83 97¢ $90 +$8 08-05 17:04
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +69 $60 93¢ $65 +$4 08-06 18:02
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +62 $55 98¢ $61 +$5 08-10 09:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +51 $42 92¢ $47 +$5 08-03 06:12
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 No +51 $35 79¢ $41 +$6 08-04 15:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +38 $18 90¢ $34 +$16 08-08 22:22
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +31 $30 97¢ $30 +$1 08-06 08:36
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +28 $18 90¢ $25 +$7 08-06 09:54
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +17 $15 91¢ $15 +$1 08-10 09:22
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 No +9 $7 96¢ $8 +$1 07-27 20:20
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$1 08-09 20:16