Enormous-Cesspool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$207

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,651

lifetime

Volume

$444.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$269

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-12 13:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$50

Tech

23% — —

Politics

17% 100% +$158

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	67	$33.6K	20,700	17,349	+3,351	open	—	07-04 20:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	25	$22.5K	14,300	9,518	+4,782	open	—	05-31 13:06
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	145	$19.0K	21,571	17,323	+4,248	open	—	02-27 13:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	25	$16.4K	7,995	9,043	-1,048	open	—	04-22 14:43
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	98	$16.3K	17,470	0	+17,470	open	—	01-21 04:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	86	$15.7K	13,766	3,300	+10,466	open	—	04-27 21:58
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	12	$13.8K	7,200	7,200	+0	open	—	04-14 14:17
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	116	$13.8K	15,093	3,700	+11,393	open	—	02-26 12:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	40	$13.7K	11,583	11,830	-247	open	—	07-26 12:30
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	146	$12.6K	15,037	0	+15,037	open	—	03-23 09:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	16	$11.8K	6,136	6,136	+0	open	—	04-28 23:31
will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	9	$10.9K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	03-13 22:24
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	12	$10.6K	5,347	5,347	+0	open	—	03-18 14:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	23	$10.3K	6,550	6,550	+0	open	—	07-13 14:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	8	$7.8K	3,680	4,380	-700	open	—	05-23 04:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$7.6K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-01 14:54
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	9	$6.9K	3,558	3,558	+0	open	—	04-23 18:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	9	$6.8K	2,500	4,500	-2,000	open	—	06-21 09:26
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	9	$6.7K	3,500	3,375	+125	open	—	06-07 13:23
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	11	$6.4K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	06-12 04:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	7	$5.8K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	03-04 10:15
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	9	$5.7K	3,204	3,204	+0	open	—	02-07 01:15
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	29	$5.2K	2,960	3,400	-440	open	—	03-29 06:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	11	$5.1K	3,800	2,937	+863	open	—	06-15 08:46
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	3	$4.8K	2,719	2,219	+500	open	—	02-22 01:36
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	7	$4.4K	2,248	2,248	+0	open	—	02-24 06:55
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	14	$4.3K	2,489	2,339	+150	open	—	04-19 13:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	8	$4.1K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	06-16 03:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$3.9K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	05-15 14:09
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	9	$3.7K	3,959	0	+3,959	open	—	06-09 06:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 13:14:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x80a314…
08-10 11:56:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	750	88¢	$660	0x30d849…
08-05 16:11:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	301	18¢	$54	0x1e3bdd…
08-04 22:42:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	468	30¢	$140	0xf8f87d…
08-04 18:11:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	72	24¢	$17	0x927d0b…
08-04 18:10:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x8ce3b3…
08-04 18:10:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xd0530b…
08-04 18:10:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x1cba04…
08-04 18:10:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x1c343d…
08-04 18:09:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	42	24¢	$10	0xfc7df9…
08-04 18:03:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x34c7d6…
08-04 18:03:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0xe0b7c5…
08-04 18:03:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0xb81396…
08-04 18:03:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	22	24¢	$5	0xbebee6…
08-04 16:16:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	157	22¢	$35	0x410395…
08-04 16:15:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	143	22¢	$31	0xca93a3…
08-04 16:13:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0x9f0948…
08-04 15:57:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	57	23¢	$13	0x6c24e2…
08-04 15:56:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x6a0950…
08-04 15:56:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x00fda9…
08-04 15:56:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xb81f98…
08-04 15:55:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x3dff4d…
08-04 15:53:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x612d4b…
08-04 15:53:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0x279e8f…
08-04 14:44:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	140	50¢	$69	0x16e96d…
08-04 14:44:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	123	50¢	$61	0xe4a59b…
08-04 14:25:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	180	47¢	$85	0xb92e97…
08-04 14:21:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	148	47¢	$70	0x0c25b5…
08-02 21:45:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	121	43¢	$52	0x194eec…
08-02 21:45:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	79	43¢	$34	0xe1122f…
08-02 21:20:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x50482a…
08-02 16:43:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	62	46¢	$29	0xc33966…
08-02 16:43:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xd2693f…
08-02 16:35:33	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	500	89¢	$445	0xba6bc4…
08-02 01:01:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	230	91¢	$209	0xd8dd68…
08-02 01:00:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0xa13556…
08-02 00:25:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0xe16e1e…
08-02 00:15:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0xcc2726…
08-02 00:11:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	153	91¢	$140	0xef729e…
08-01 18:47:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x6c4eba…
07-31 12:39:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x991887…
07-31 08:59:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x1b5e42…
07-30 12:19:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	70	78¢	$55	0x9ce0b5…
07-30 09:51:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0xc618db…
07-30 09:51:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	73	78¢	$57	0x84b6e9…
07-30 08:34:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	300	79¢	$237	0xd58404…
07-29 11:47:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x535d03…
07-29 11:47:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	66¢	$133	0x0ec27b…
07-27 17:37:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	250	45¢	$112	0x41f9b2…
07-26 22:00:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x5df594…
07-26 20:11:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	63¢	$43	0xebef50…
07-26 19:50:03	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	232	63¢	$146	0x8b7137…
07-26 13:15:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	400	83¢	$332	0x43cd8e…
07-26 12:30:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	862	99¢	$856	0x84adc7…
07-26 12:30:10	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	No	SELL	138	100¢	$137	0x06dce8…
07-25 08:35:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x3404c3…
07-25 04:58:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0x57ddf1…
07-24 16:03:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	396	96¢	$382	0x2e9b09…
07-24 15:33:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	104	96¢	$101	0x8198e5…
07-24 09:21:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	71¢	$284	0x0339af…
07-24 02:15:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,588	99¢	$2,564	0x647e26…
07-22 11:42:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,150	99¢	$1,140	0x182238…
07-19 22:46:01	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	SELL	600	99¢	$594	0xf55787…
07-18 13:30:42	lol t1 kc 2026 07 18	T1	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xc3ab20…
07-18 13:25:00	lol t1 kc 2026 07 18	T1	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0x50aa22…
07-18 12:53:45	lol t1 kc 2026 07 18	T1	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x067781…
07-16 13:18:26	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	No	BUY	89	87¢	$78	0x666d5a…
07-16 11:59:10	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	No	BUY	41	87¢	$36	0x10cad2…
07-16 10:43:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xc0e3bc…
07-16 10:38:52	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	No	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x32d6c1…
07-15 19:06:38	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	No	BUY	28	87¢	$25	0x932287…
07-15 07:45:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0xab7c33…
07-14 21:01:35	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	400	95¢	$379	0x2e234b…
07-14 13:23:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	708	98¢	$694	0x3474ed…
07-14 13:20:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	222	98¢	$218	0xeb5aa7…
07-14 13:18:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5f3835…
07-14 13:16:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0xf9db9d…
07-14 13:16:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc4c450…
07-14 13:16:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xbe9f20…
07-14 13:16:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0x526452…
07-14 13:16:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x6bee4e…
07-14 12:55:10	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,658	21¢	$567	0xd766fe…
07-13 14:39:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	225	97¢	$217	0x1936d2…
07-13 14:38:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2,748	100¢	$2,740	0xbec005…
07-13 14:36:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	502	100¢	$500	0x7aa934…
07-13 14:33:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	269	97¢	$260	0x09253c…
07-13 14:33:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	506	97¢	$489	0x530cb5…
07-13 02:42:02	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0x09703d…
07-12 19:31:40	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	204	93¢	$190	0x529bfd…
07-12 11:46:23	lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0xaa8f24…
07-12 11:45:05	lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	79	67¢	$53	0x553c45…
07-12 11:41:17	lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x5912ed…
07-12 10:55:32	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	48	93¢	$44	0x9650bf…
07-12 06:28:13	lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xf87e16…
07-12 04:16:50	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	148	93¢	$138	0x70867b…
07-11 23:47:46	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0x2a4255…
07-11 23:25:55	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0xba73e7…
07-11 21:36:26	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$418	0x20a704…
07-11 14:11:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	800	91¢	$728	0xa35daf…
07-11 07:18:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	800	92¢	$736	0x4b7d5d…