Deafening-Gliding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$635

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

688

Trades

908

lifetime

Volume

$189.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$209

Open exposure

$14

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-28 10:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Sports

43% 99% -$13

Other

41% 99% -$716

Crypto

8% 87% +$63

Politics

7% 100% +$19

Tech

0% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		+10	$9	97¢	$10	+$0	08-02 13:13
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No		+5	$5	94¢	$5	+$0	08-08 09:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	2	$4.1K	2,063	2,063	+0	No	+$2	01-22 11:57
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	33	$3.1K	1,564	1,564	+0	No	+$6	06-15 06:41
bad bunny wears a dress at the super bowl	1	$2.5K	2,457	0	+2,457	No	+$2	02-09 07:08
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	5	$2.4K	2,455	0	+2,455	Seahawks	+$29	02-09 02:54
lol tes we 2026 02 10 game1 kill over 35pt5	2	$2.4K	2,411	0	+2,411	Over	+$2	02-09 10:28
Will the US strike Somalia next?	1	$2.4K	2,396	0	+2,396	Yes	+$22	01-27 21:15
will anthony davis be traded this season	1	$2.3K	2,340	0	+2,340	Yes	+$2	02-04 20:45
dota2 aur1 1win 2026 01 17 kill handicap away 15pt5	1	$2.3K	2,320	0	+2,320	Aurora	+$2	01-18 13:59
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$2.3K	2,305	0	+2,305	Yes	+$5	01-29 14:35
will the us strike somalia next 656	1	$2.1K	2,083	0	+2,083	Yes	+$6	01-24 07:02
Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$2.1K	2,060	0	+2,060	No	+$2	01-21 18:54
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$2.0K	2,013	0	+2,013	No	+$2	01-30 09:06
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?	1	$1.9K	1,888	0	+1,888	No	+$6	01-20 06:22
lol ig1 wb 2026 02 06 game1 kill over 36pt5	1	$1.8K	1,847	0	+1,847	Over	+$2	02-06 10:30
atp majchrz fearnle 2026 01 18 set handicap home 1pt5	1	$1.8K	1,808	0	+1,808	Majchrzak	+$2	01-19 10:07
schw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 21 2026 1pt36	1	$1.8K	1,753	0	+1,753	Yes	+$2	01-21 13:58
nba phx por 2026 02 03 rebounds dillon brooks 4pt5	1	$1.7K	1,727	0	+1,727	No	+$2	02-04 06:47
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	1	$1.7K	1,695	0	+1,695	Yes	+$2	02-28 07:42
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$1.7K	1,693	0	+1,693	Yes	+$19	02-23 20:15
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	1	$1.7K	1,673	0	+1,673	Yes	+$2	02-23 10:06
lol lll red 2026 02 22 game3	1	$1.7K	1,672	0	+1,672	LOUD	+$2	02-21 19:25
cbb miss txam 2026 02 17	1	$1.7K	1,668	0	+1,668	Texas A&M Aggies	+$2	02-19 10:32
cs2 nm cw 2026 02 18 game2	1	$1.7K	1,662	0	+1,662	Chinggis Warriors	+$2	02-18 17:40
will australia reach the semifinals of the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	1	$1.7K	1,655	0	+1,655	No	+$2	02-17 16:20
nba okc phx 2026 02 11 assists cason wallace 3pt5	1	$1.6K	1,642	0	+1,642	No	+$2	02-12 04:19
nba dal phx 2026 02 10 assists caleb martin 2pt5	1	$1.6K	1,641	0	+1,641	No	+$2	02-11 04:24
north korea missile launch by february 14	1	$1.6K	1,639	0	+1,639	No	+$2	02-15 07:51
aus wel vic 2026 02 06 total 3pt5	4	$1.6K	1,634	0	+1,634	Over	+$2	02-06 08:01
crban dur syl 2026 01 15 completed match	2	$1.6K	1,624	0	+1,624	Yes	+$2	01-16 17:05
cs2 g1 vpp 2026 02 14	1	$1.6K	1,586	0	+1,586	GenOne	+$2	02-14 16:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 10:57:03	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x941aeb…
08-28 10:57:03	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2aff98…
08-28 10:57:03	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x172051…
08-28 10:56:46	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4796cc…
08-28 10:56:46	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x140879…
08-28 10:29:01	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1301ef…
08-28 10:28:34	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe56064…
08-28 10:28:34	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3f9024…
08-28 10:27:03	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe393d9…
08-28 10:27:03	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa72d3c…
08-28 10:25:27	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x814436…
08-28 08:34:45	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9b0b18…
08-28 08:34:30	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x781455…
08-28 08:34:28	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x682879…
08-28 08:33:34	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf29568…
08-28 08:32:40	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xabb812…
08-15 04:14:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbe062f…
08-15 01:35:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	247	97¢	$240	0xf24c2e…
08-15 01:33:03	Will Russell Westbrook play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xebe93b…
08-08 09:47:57	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4cc04f…
08-02 13:13:57	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xeb214f…
07-24 19:29:31	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x30fbf7…
07-24 16:09:19	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x60779b…
07-24 15:39:39	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd1f86d…
07-24 08:22:37	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x23c4ef…
07-23 17:23:51	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4f4679…
07-23 17:07:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x938925…
07-23 17:06:13	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0x60803d…
07-23 17:03:33	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x63c196…
07-22 00:59:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x422432…
07-15 10:41:50	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x23ee5f…
07-15 06:33:49	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf4ccc6…
07-15 06:33:08	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x45d6e0…
07-12 11:25:11	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5492c…
07-12 07:12:28	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x27b412…
07-12 06:41:17	Will James Harden play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb1c6a…
06-23 10:38:17	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5167b6…
06-23 10:34:28	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfec948…
06-23 10:32:34	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x354188…
06-23 06:06:08	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1,297	100¢	$1,293	0xd54886…
06-23 06:05:23	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0xdbffbb…
06-23 06:05:10	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xced966…
06-15 06:41:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	273	100¢	$272	0x0b911b…
06-15 06:41:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x14f2da…
06-15 06:38:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1ca540…
06-15 06:38:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x03cbed…
06-15 06:38:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd0d7bb…
06-15 06:37:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0xc5b50d…
06-15 06:28:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaacc05…
06-15 06:28:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb508a2…
06-15 06:24:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xc9e425…
06-15 06:00:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbbf4af…
06-15 05:55:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x109354…
06-15 05:51:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	340	100¢	$339	0xe3c6e4…
06-15 05:49:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x5cd6b0…
06-15 05:48:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x06c616…
06-15 05:48:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x21f5b3…
06-15 05:43:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2ed4e6…
06-15 05:43:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6cd331…
06-15 05:42:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd63561…
06-15 05:42:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x8eebed…
06-15 05:38:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2fe9b7…
06-15 05:38:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6838ea…
06-15 05:38:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe806c1…
06-15 05:32:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa20510…
06-15 05:32:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4c380f…
06-15 05:32:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa75b79…
06-15 05:32:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x205cc0…
06-15 05:28:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9202a5…
06-15 05:28:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x77cfe5…
06-15 05:28:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc905ad…
06-15 05:28:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0xfd73b2…
06-15 05:17:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xe23ce0…
06-10 08:33:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1,554	99¢	$1,545	0x9489af…
06-10 08:32:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x45b803…
06-04 10:44:54	nba finals timothee chalamet to attend all knicks home games	Yes	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x434aec…
05-31 03:59:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xb3e167…
05-31 03:58:42	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xac608e…
05-31 03:57:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$274	0x3e5959…
05-31 03:52:57	Will Sean Sweeney be the next Orlando Magic head coach?	Yes	BUY	970	100¢	$965	0xbcd787…
05-31 03:49:43	Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb40af3…
05-29 02:36:32	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,240	100¢	$1,237	0x831423…
05-29 02:33:28	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf3a14a…
05-29 02:32:06	nba okc sas 2026 05 28 rebounds luguentz dort 0pt5	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xfea3b1…
05-29 02:31:36	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	286	100¢	$285	0xf25e9f…
05-27 02:47:14	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	1,223	100¢	$1,222	0x044645…
05-26 02:15:33	Spread: Knicks (-9.5)	Knicks	BUY	1,566	100¢	$1,565	0xce8950…
05-25 03:20:22	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5	No	BUY	1,201	99¢	$1,189	0x41caac…
05-23 03:01:11	Spread: Spurs (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	790	99¢	$783	0xa1e4ba…
05-23 02:58:14	Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xc890ec…
05-23 02:57:27	Spread: Spurs (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x909b58…
05-23 02:54:11	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Thunder	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x6bfc58…
05-20 02:48:14	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Knicks	BUY	149	98¢	$146	0x34eb88…
05-20 02:47:55	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Knicks	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x72a6d8…
05-20 02:47:09	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	275	99¢	$272	0x6a579b…
05-20 02:46:26	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0xe4eb7e…
05-20 02:45:37	Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbdef24…
05-20 02:45:14	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x17233c…
05-20 02:44:42	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0x3f7391…
05-20 02:44:30	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcd5903…