Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
-$45
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved
416
Trades
1,006
lifetime
Volume
$7.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$311
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 10-30 07:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
58% 43% +$279
Sports
30% 58% +$14
Politics
11% 50% -$343
Pop-Culture
1% 50% +$2
Crypto
0% 12% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +97 $91 97¢ $93 +$3 09-07 18:59
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +64 $45 86¢ $56 +$11 08-07 09:02
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +50 $49 99¢ $49 +$0 10-25 14:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +40 $27 87¢ $35 +$7 05-23 21:30
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +45 $36 65¢ $29 -$6 08-28 13:42
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +154 $49 12¢ $19 -$30 10-30 07:19
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +20 $11 42¢ $8 -$3 08-31 13:27
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -12 -$9 62¢ $-8 +$2 06-08 18:56
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +80 $9 4¢ $4 -$5 10-12 12:29
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +72 $19 4¢ $3 -$16 08-06 07:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $5 14¢ $3 -$2 05-31 20:56
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes -15 -$1 10¢ $-2 -$1 06-01 21:21
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +20 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 05-19 01:02
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -40 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$0 09-05 12:54
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? Yes +330 $3 0¢ $0 -$2 05-04 21:33
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$0 06-06 15:51