Muffled-Sill 0x629ec2…b96be4 Create alert
bot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$53
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved
420
Trades
1,017
lifetime
Volume
$7.59K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$479
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 11-09 08:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
58% 44% +$281
Sports
29% 58% +$14
Politics
11% 50% -$343
Pop-Culture
1% 50% +$2
Crypto
0% 12% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? Yes +130 $96 82¢ $106 +$10 10-20 15:06
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +100 $98 98¢ $98 +$0 11-04 08:52
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +97 $91 98¢ $94 +$4 09-07 18:59
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +64 $45 95¢ $61 +$17 08-07 09:02
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +40 $27 93¢ $37 +$10 05-23 21:30
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +45 $36 78¢ $35 -$1 08-28 13:42
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +20 $11 70¢ $14 +$3 08-31 13:27
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +154 $49 8¢ $12 -$37 10-30 07:19
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -12 -$9 40¢ $-5 +$4 06-08 18:56
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +120 $10 3¢ $4 -$6 11-09 08:12
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +72 $19 4¢ $3 -$16 08-06 07:10
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +20 $6 16¢ $3 -$3 08-06 06:51
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $5 13¢ $3 -$2 05-31 20:56
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -40 -$1 2¢ $-1 +$0 09-05 12:54
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +20 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 05-19 01:02
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? Yes +30 $2 2¢ $1 -$2 06-05 09:38
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? Yes +330 $3 0¢ $0 -$2 05-04 21:33
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes -15 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$0 06-01 21:21
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-06 15:51