Shy-Kangaroo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$363

Unrealized P&L

+$44

Hit rate

40.5%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$84

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 11-09 11:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

51% 35% -$447

Crypto

41% 58% +$98

Sports

7% 50% -$7

Politics

1% 50% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in November?	Yes		+507	$20	9¢	$45	+$25	11-05 20:40
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November?	Yes		+69	$20	57¢	$39	+$19	11-06 00:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	13	$567	796	796	+0	Yes	-$211	05-27 04:02
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	13	$377	923	923	+0	Yes	-$78	05-25 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$262	238	238	+0	Down	+$12	05-24 03:29
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	14	$221	1,491	1,491	+0	Yes	-$126	05-27 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$150	251	51	+200	Down	-$100	05-24 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	5	$137	196	99	+97	Down	-$13	05-24 03:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?	2	$109	83	83	+0	open	—	11-09 18:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	1	$100	118	0	+118	Yes	+$18	11-05 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$83	88	88	+0	Up	+$33	05-16 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$76	139	139	+0	Up	+$16	05-16 05:14
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on November 6?	2	$74	64	64	+0	No	+$34	11-06 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$55	49	49	+0	Up	+$5	05-24 03:23
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5	2	$53	33	33	+0	Under	+$13	05-16 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$50	87	0	+87	Down	+$37	05-17 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$50	98	0	+98	Down	-$50	05-24 03:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	2	$46	83	83	+0	open	—	11-09 18:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?	2	$44	49	49	+0	open	—	11-09 18:36
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	2	$43	25	25	+0	No	+$2	05-25 18:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	2	$41	55	55	+0	open	—	11-09 11:42
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score	2	$41	31	31	+0	No	+$21	05-16 16:46
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?	1	$41	48	0	+48	Yes	+$7	05-16 04:53
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$34	24	24	+0	Dooho Choi	+$14	05-17 02:36
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.79% in November?	2	$34	30	30	+0	open	—	11-09 18:36
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)	2	$34	24	24	+0	Cody Brundage	+$14	05-16 23:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November?	2	$34	28	28	+0	open	—	11-09 11:43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in November?	2	$33	33	33	+0	open	—	11-09 18:36
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?	4	$32	40	40	+0	Yes	-$15	05-20 16:10
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$29	20	20	+0	No	+$2	05-25 18:36
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	2	$29	19	19	+0	Khaos Williams	+$9	05-17 02:07
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?	3	$29	177	177	+0	No	-$11	05-16 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 18:36:54	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	24¢	$9	0x57ab82…
11-09 18:36:39	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in November?	Yes	SELL	33	39¢	$13	0x646263…
11-09 18:36:31	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.79% in November?	Yes	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0x2061f1…
11-09 18:36:18	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	11¢	$9	0x17f757…
11-09 18:36:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?	Yes	SELL	49	50¢	$24	0x21267c…
11-09 18:35:58	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	83	32¢	$26	0x71599e…
11-09 18:35:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?	Yes	SELL	83	71¢	$59	0x5639b3…
11-09 11:43:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	Yes	SELL	34	19¢	$7	0xe7cba7…
11-09 11:43:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November?	Yes	SELL	28	50¢	$14	0xe2b62c…
11-09 11:42:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	Yes	SELL	55	30¢	$16	0xe50831…
11-06 15:49:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on November 6?	No	SELL	64	84¢	$54	0xcdecc4…
11-06 00:38:57	Will XRP dip to $1.10 November 2-8?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xb6e8be…
11-06 00:37:54	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on November 6?	No	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0xba41ef…
11-06 00:36:49	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x9f94a4…
11-06 00:36:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 November 2-8?	Yes	BUY	105	24¢	$25	0xfe29f1…
11-05 20:53:04	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.79% in November?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x343003…
11-05 20:52:55	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in November?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x1a9068…
11-05 20:42:54	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xfc0e9b…
11-05 20:40:24	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in November?	Yes	BUY	507	4¢	$20	0x21042a…
11-05 20:37:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x4c67a0…
11-05 20:37:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	Yes	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0x7f0687…
11-05 20:37:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November?	Yes	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0xa7d96b…
11-05 20:36:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x6a5ff9…
11-05 20:36:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xa2ee4a…
11-05 20:35:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x107e9d…
11-05 20:24:15	Will Trump say "Moon" at Cape Canaveral?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x4c59f3…
11-05 20:22:06	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x1f7f74…
11-05 20:21:24	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x354152…
05-27 04:22:20	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	399	2¢	$8	0xaf7036…
05-27 04:14:24	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$12	0xcba1cf…
05-27 04:12:25	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x6a9c60…
05-27 04:11:47	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x7ded35…
05-27 04:08:15	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	261	3¢	$8	0x3bd9cb…
05-27 04:07:23	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xcee9e0…
05-27 04:07:19	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xb0fbf1…
05-27 04:07:19	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	117	4¢	$5	0x74e24b…
05-27 04:04:17	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0xe142fd…
05-27 04:02:36	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	547	13¢	$74	0xb86d5c…
05-27 03:56:11	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	7¢	$6	0x848b7e…
05-26 07:40:40	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xcad388…
05-26 05:51:46	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x17f204…
05-26 00:27:24	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xc82294…
05-25 18:36:28	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x5a4881…
05-25 18:36:02	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x349ac3…
05-25 18:33:44	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	107	14¢	$15	0xe0bd84…
05-25 18:32:48	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x31c95b…
05-25 18:32:25	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	15¢	$5	0xc191b5…
05-25 18:31:25	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x45c23e…
05-25 18:30:47	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	614	16¢	$98	0xf2e09b…
05-25 05:43:21	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x16d159…
05-24 03:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa9c138…
05-24 03:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xf82975…
05-24 03:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb7dbd7…
05-24 03:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x95d5bb…
05-24 03:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	51	49¢	$25	0x81071c…
05-24 03:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x3b2759…
05-24 03:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	238	58¢	$137	0x497c61…
05-24 03:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xcf182a…
05-24 03:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	49	61¢	$30	0x828b09…
05-24 03:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xc09f06…
05-24 03:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x9ef54b…
05-24 03:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	48	79¢	$38	0xe00278…
05-24 03:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	97	26¢	$25	0xa1fc6e…
05-24 03:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	51	48¢	$24	0x9e3647…
05-24 03:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xd66e61…
05-24 03:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x877d20…
05-24 03:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x3d6ea4…
05-24 03:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x1e862c…
05-24 01:13:10	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	70	18¢	$13	0x65f222…
05-24 01:12:54	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	21¢	$12	0xe9c9ef…
05-24 01:11:02	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	84	41¢	$34	0x61708c…
05-24 01:10:44	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	132	43¢	$56	0x871816…
05-20 16:10:45	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0xc123f2…
05-20 16:07:10	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	29¢	$13	0x58e613…
05-19 14:57:58	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 30 and June 5?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0xa00f69…
05-19 14:57:39	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x0a0073…
05-19 14:04:36	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x59f83e…
05-18 14:06:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	25¢	$15	0xe4ff88…
05-18 08:16:13	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	180	26¢	$47	0x3a226e…
05-18 02:40:44	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	13¢	$65	0x2a8663…
05-18 02:40:04	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x3504a3…
05-18 02:39:48	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	454	12¢	$54	0x21868b…
05-18 02:39:31	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x147920…
05-18 02:38:50	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x4939ff…
05-17 19:19:58	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	49¢	$18	0xcac657…
05-17 14:24:50	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xa781c4…
05-17 10:40:45	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	268	50¢	$134	0x330904…
05-17 10:38:28	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xcec5cf…
05-17 10:35:24	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	44¢	$14	0x7ee5f8…
05-17 04:11:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	0¢	$1	0x6b3ea6…
05-17 03:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x282559…
05-17 03:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xcd39b0…
05-17 03:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcae013…
05-17 03:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5f4733…
05-17 03:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd8ef0a…
05-17 03:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1ae1be…
05-17 02:36:15	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x8131ca…
05-17 02:07:30	UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Ivan Erslan	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb98ed3…
05-17 02:07:18	UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	Khaos Williams	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x7d6e67…
05-16 23:44:31	UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Nicolle Caliari	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4fbdbc…