Loyal-Understatement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$395

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$2.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-27 19:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-395

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$298	200	200	+0	Down	+$98	05-12 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$234	155	155	+0	Up	+$74	05-12 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$183	482	0	+482	Up	$-183	05-13 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$91	174	0	+174	Up	$-91	05-13 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$91	303	0	+303	Up	$-91	05-13 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$63	140	0	+140	Down	$-63	05-13 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$60	40	40	+0	Down	+$20	05-12 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-12 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$45	91	0	+91	Down	$-45	05-13 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$40	83	0	+83	Down	$-40	05-12 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$37	28	28	+0	Down	+$18	05-13 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$35	72	0	+72	Up	$-35	05-12 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	3	$35	77	0	+77	Down	$-35	05-09 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$32	23	23	+0	Down	+$13	05-12 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$12	05-13 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$11	05-13 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$31	21	21	+0	Down	+$11	05-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$30	22	22	+0	Down	+$13	05-12 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-12 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	05-12 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	05-12 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Up	+$9	05-12 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$28	55	0	+55	Down	$-28	05-13 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$22	61	0	+61	Up	$-22	05-13 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$20	33	0	+33	Up	$-20	05-12 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$20	45	0	+45	Up	+$25	05-12 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$20	43	0	+43	Up	$-20	05-12 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$20	49	0	+49	Up	+$29	05-12 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$20	44	0	+44	Up	+$24	05-12 20:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 19:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb4455d…
05-27 19:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf428af…
05-27 19:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x573fda…
05-27 19:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xba182e…
05-27 19:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb66dc6…
05-27 19:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xeabfcf…
05-27 19:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x860caf…
05-27 19:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4fea3f…
05-27 14:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc0b627…
05-27 14:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x839812…
05-27 14:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x770d62…
05-27 14:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x755e52…
05-27 14:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x57730e…
05-27 14:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd370cc…
05-27 14:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcc3483…
05-27 14:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0069e6…
05-27 14:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa7fc71…
05-27 13:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xbe2261…
05-27 13:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x29e92f…
05-27 13:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x471156…
05-27 13:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x85f6ac…
05-27 13:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x86f3aa…
05-27 13:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x83edd8…
05-27 13:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x23fc31…
05-27 13:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd44dcc…
05-27 13:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf2279a…
05-27 13:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbffb13…
05-27 13:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2ba0da…
05-27 13:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc5a9d7…
05-27 12:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6bed17…
05-27 12:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8a5ef3…
05-27 12:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbaa8aa…
05-27 12:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2bc143…
05-27 12:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x200da3…
05-27 12:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x89f6b0…
05-27 12:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0a6c36…
05-27 12:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x98a453…
05-27 12:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc1b570…
05-27 11:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9d6e21…
05-24 20:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb1adef…
05-24 20:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2942c0…
05-24 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x247c5c…
05-24 19:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x193121…
05-24 07:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x110cfa…
05-24 07:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6c0edb…
05-24 07:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6e59d9…
05-24 06:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbe155d…
05-24 06:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x2c673b…
05-24 06:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x04b3ab…
05-23 19:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb51011…
05-23 19:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc09449…
05-23 19:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6b1265…
05-23 19:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe68c26…
05-23 19:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2119ce…
05-23 15:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xceefa5…
05-23 15:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4629cc…
05-23 15:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x449391…
05-23 15:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x92f0f7…
05-23 15:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x9dfede…
05-23 15:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf0a4ff…
05-23 15:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd9ec73…
05-23 15:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x80c4b8…
05-23 14:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x535475…
05-23 14:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x75e575…
05-23 14:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4e3a01…
05-23 14:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb3fe54…
05-22 23:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe291f3…
05-22 23:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3f6219…
05-22 23:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x099082…
05-22 23:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3064c1…
05-22 23:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbcf35f…
05-22 23:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf84901…
05-22 23:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x795055…
05-22 22:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7247e5…
05-13 09:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0xb7c006…
05-13 09:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	140	45¢	$63	0xe8acd7…
05-13 09:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	482	38¢	$183	0x320fc5…
05-13 08:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	303	30¢	$91	0x128753…
05-13 08:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	174	52¢	$91	0x888d7f…
05-13 08:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	91	50¢	$45	0x6d163e…
05-13 08:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	61	36¢	$22	0xb2d2f0…
05-13 08:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x71f1f2…
05-13 08:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8ff3a1…
05-13 08:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x473c25…
05-13 07:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe7a642…
05-13 07:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xa14624…
05-13 07:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x95ab52…
05-13 07:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0xb642a6…
05-13 07:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xba1998…
05-12 23:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xe0d809…
05-12 23:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc2ceb3…
05-12 22:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xba758f…
05-12 22:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x1356f5…
05-12 22:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xc951ac…
05-12 22:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xb88c38…
05-12 22:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1ed2f6…
05-12 22:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x783903…
05-12 22:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x51fd02…
05-12 22:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf8b441…
05-12 22:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcd1a7a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	116	$53.4K	4,322	05-27 19:59
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	116	$35.7K	5,259	05-27 19:59
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	115	$250.6K	13,645	05-27 19:59
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	115	$39.9K	10,365	05-27 19:59
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	115	$35.0K	9,004	05-27 19:59
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	115	$31.7K	4,221	05-27 19:59
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	115	$20.6K	3,610	05-27 19:59
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	115	$19.4K	3,285	05-27 19:59