Loyal-Understatement — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$94

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

26.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

12 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$224

$224 lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-13 09:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 30% $-94

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No		+11	$5	44¢	$5	$-0	05-11 20:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$63	140	0	+140	Down	$-63	05-13 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$35	72	0	+72	Up	$-35	05-12 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Up	+$9	05-12 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$22	61	0	+61	Up	$-22	05-13 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$20	45	0	+45	Up	+$25	05-12 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$11	0	11	-11	Down	$-0	05-12 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Up	$-0	05-11 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Down	$-10	05-12 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$10	36	0	+36	Down	$-10	05-12 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Down	+$13	05-12 05:45
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-11 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	140	45¢	$63	0xe8acd7…
05-13 08:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	61	36¢	$22	0xb2d2f0…
05-12 21:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x576e92…
05-12 20:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf07dbd…
05-12 20:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd45871…
05-12 19:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x292922…
05-12 19:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xaa60d2…
05-12 19:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	72	49¢	$35	0xf02206…
05-12 16:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x691f38…
05-12 05:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xba44c0…
05-11 22:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa7fefa…
05-11 20:48:51	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x873925…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	10	$1.77K	51	05-13 09:09
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	10	$925	86	05-13 09:09
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	6	$1.29K	16	05-13 09:09
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	6	$780	42	05-12 21:01
Blond-Feed-Robe 0xb9c1…2ed1	4	$4.25K	48	05-12 21:02
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	3	$1.35K	15	05-12 16:21