Extra-Large-Childbirth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$437

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-06 08:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

68% 70% -$119

Other

22% 67% -$321

Crypto

9% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	2	$602	317	317	+0	No	+$16	01-24 06:21
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	3	$587	593	293	+300	No	-$1	01-19 05:47
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	1	$310	363	0	+363	Yes	-$310	03-20 13:40
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$309	639	0	+639	No	-$1	01-24 12:10
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$308	310	0	+310	Yes	+$2	03-17 10:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$301	308	0	+308	No	+$7	03-12 12:13
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$296	301	0	+301	No	+$5	03-07 12:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$288	296	0	+296	No	+$8	03-04 04:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$283	288	0	+288	No	+$5	03-01 12:44
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$280	286	0	+286	No	+$5	02-19 11:40
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$280	283	0	+283	No	+$3	02-26 14:50
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$277	280	0	+280	No	+$4	02-14 11:35
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$274	278	0	+278	No	+$4	02-05 06:26
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$271	277	0	+277	No	+$6	02-11 16:10
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$270	280	0	+280	No	+$10	02-24 10:35
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$260	131	131	+0	No	+$0	06-13 03:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	07-06 08:14
bitcoin above 60k on june 13 2026	1	$139	139	0	+139	Yes	+$0	06-13 03:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	1	$136	137	0	+137	Yes	+$1	05-17 06:03
bitcoin above 62k on june 16 2026	1	$135	135	0	+135	Yes	+$0	06-16 07:46
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	1	$135	136	0	+136	No	+$1	06-23 14:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	1	$130	131	0	+131	Yes	+$1	05-19 03:59
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$130	130	0	+130	No	+$0	05-25 15:28
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$120	121	0	+121	No	+$1	05-22 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 25?	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	05-24 06:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$104	105	0	+105	Yes	-$104	04-04 12:38
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	1	$102	104	0	+104	No	+$2	03-23 05:33
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	04-14 11:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$100	104	0	+104	No	+$4	05-05 05:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$41	1,079	0	+1,079	No	-$41	05-10 06:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 08:14:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x86c46f…
06-23 14:22:13	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x585f6a…
06-16 07:46:18	bitcoin above 62k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x5942b1…
06-13 03:29:37	bitcoin above 60k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xde0d96…
06-13 03:26:04	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$130	0x0ae45f…
06-02 06:55:09	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0xcb15a7…
06-02 06:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x039c67…
05-25 15:28:28	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x3f2992…
05-24 06:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 25?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x20ccbc…
05-22 09:30:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x05f68c…
05-19 03:59:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x1b6fd6…
05-17 06:03:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0xceb9cd…
05-12 04:15:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	571	1¢	$4	0xfb44fe…
05-12 04:10:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0xec267a…
05-10 06:31:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	571	1¢	$8	0x4fa2e3…
05-10 06:29:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	553	4¢	$21	0x9e3a96…
05-10 06:25:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	4¢	$20	0xa128de…
05-10 06:02:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	1¢	$9	0xeba0f5…
05-05 05:43:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x3285c5…
04-14 11:01:33	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x555b85…
04-04 12:38:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xdf224a…
03-23 05:33:41	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0xbc59b7…
03-20 13:40:03	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	No	BUY	363	85¢	$310	0x744a21…
03-17 10:00:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	310	99¢	$308	0x516f74…
03-12 12:13:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	308	98¢	$301	0xb2f95a…
03-07 12:54:07	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	301	98¢	$296	0x5b9aa3…
03-04 04:56:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	296	97¢	$288	0x8e19e3…
03-01 12:44:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	288	98¢	$283	0x370823…
02-26 14:50:54	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	283	99¢	$280	0x956903…
02-24 10:35:46	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	280	97¢	$270	0x1bff01…
02-19 11:40:44	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	286	98¢	$280	0xdb7de2…
02-14 11:35:27	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	280	99¢	$277	0x0a5343…
02-11 16:10:49	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	277	98¢	$271	0x13d094…
02-10 08:46:53	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	636	1¢	$7	0x7b6998…
02-05 06:26:19	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	278	98¢	$274	0xa0f009…
01-31 17:35:12	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	Yes	BUY	292	12¢	$35	0x7005f3…
01-24 12:10:18	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	309	99¢	$306	0xcd1c5d…
01-24 12:10:08	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	330	1¢	$3	0xe8279b…
01-24 06:21:34	israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	No	SELL	317	97¢	$309	0xf94305…
01-19 05:48:54	israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	No	BUY	317	92¢	$293	0x154506…
01-19 05:47:24	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	No	SELL	293	100¢	$293	0x2cdae8…
01-18 08:31:46	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	No	BUY	293	99¢	$291	0x47e181…
01-18 08:31:38	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x640774…