Portly-Begonia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$694

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

Trades

168,264

lifetime

Volume

$377.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-28 21:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

51% 29% $-319

Other

43% 38% $-376

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 6280 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	1,157	$7.5K	8,354	8,300	+54	open	—	06-14 12:53
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	1,625	$4.7K	2,420	3,382	-962	open	—	06-23 15:01
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	1,129	$4.4K	2,800	3,557	-758	open	—	06-28 21:44
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	1,397	$3.6K	3,841	3,841	+0	open	—	07-13 08:16
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	1,388	$3.6K	2,413	2,416	-3	open	—	07-01 06:59
will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	1,205	$3.4K	2,407	2,418	-12	open	—	06-29 19:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	913	$3.3K	1,663	2,598	-935	open	—	07-07 03:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1,040	$3.2K	1,625	2,356	-731	open	—	06-19 21:16
will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	1,097	$3.1K	1,983	2,184	-201	open	—	06-22 03:34
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	925	$3.1K	1,841	2,362	-521	open	—	06-29 16:24
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	1,191	$3.0K	1,785	1,944	-160	open	—	06-28 05:43
will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	1,204	$2.9K	2,667	2,959	-292	open	—	07-17 20:33
will russia enter stinky by july 31	1,345	$2.9K	1,868	1,910	-42	open	—	07-20 10:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	864	$2.9K	1,095	2,172	-1,077	open	—	06-19 07:56
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	1,116	$2.8K	1,778	1,807	-29	open	—	06-26 13:42
will trump praise delcy rodriguez by june 30	1,145	$2.7K	1,734	1,735	-2	open	—	07-01 03:59
will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	1,126	$2.6K	1,553	1,560	-7	open	—	06-27 21:14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	824	$2.5K	1,064	1,806	-742	open	—	06-27 19:34
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	955	$2.5K	1,561	1,634	-73	open	—	06-22 03:06
will trump speak to elon musk in june	1,009	$2.4K	1,461	1,466	-5	open	—	06-28 07:14
will russia capture verkhnia tersa by july 31	1,013	$2.3K	1,374	1,425	-51	open	—	07-13 07:48
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	846	$2.3K	1,175	1,585	-410	open	—	06-18 22:16
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	1,032	$2.3K	1,369	1,382	-13	open	—	05-30 09:13
will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	998	$2.3K	1,400	1,411	-10	open	—	06-26 15:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1,040	$2.3K	1,315	1,328	-13	open	—	05-29 19:26
will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	680	$2.3K	1,713	1,713	+0	open	—	06-26 18:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	636	$2.2K	2,282	2,282	+0	open	—	07-13 07:57
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	1,354	$2.1K	2,396	2,396	+0	open	—	07-14 11:00
will trump praise susan dell by june 30	805	$2.1K	1,319	1,387	-67	open	—	07-01 00:34
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	683	$2.1K	1,492	1,492	+0	open	—	06-30 20:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 21:34:46	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	No	SELL	303	57¢	$173	0xd8ecbd…
07-28 21:34:01	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	No	SELL	43	57¢	$25	0x63aee5…
07-23 08:01:58	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	No	SELL	60	57¢	$34	0xabb9f9…
07-23 02:44:16	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	No	SELL	15	57¢	$8	0x302d93…
07-22 13:09:09	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	No	SELL	317	57¢	$181	0x8eba03…
07-20 10:29:03	Haiti elections delayed again?	No	SELL	1,180	10¢	$123	0x78e765…
07-20 10:28:57	will russia enter moskovka by july 31	No	SELL	238	84¢	$201	0xa09893…
07-20 10:23:36	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xb6139b…
07-20 10:22:07	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	288	82¢	$236	0x73eac8…
07-20 09:33:34	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x54e15c…
07-20 09:31:48	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	SELL	408	77¢	$314	0xed763d…
07-20 07:51:25	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x10ca8b…
07-20 07:51:18	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x78c79b…
07-20 07:51:16	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x114365…
07-20 07:51:06	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x8d42b6…
07-19 20:28:49	will russia enter moskovka by july 31	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xd5fa3d…
07-19 20:23:00	will russia enter moskovka by july 31	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x862df4…
07-19 20:22:55	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xdf2006…
07-19 13:57:22	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xab1bd0…
07-19 13:12:39	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x224c45…
07-19 13:12:18	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	155	82¢	$127	0x3853b5…
07-19 09:48:28	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	122	82¢	$100	0x7b7518…
07-19 09:45:49	will russia enter moskovka by july 31	No	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0x2dd1ac…
07-19 03:31:43	will russia enter moskovka by july 31	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xd76bde…
07-19 03:29:09	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	67	82¢	$55	0x5bff15…
07-19 03:08:03	will russia enter moskovka by july 31	No	SELL	350	89¢	$312	0x589527…
07-19 01:45:04	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x5c5bfb…
07-18 17:28:16	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	45	82¢	$37	0xb72f79…
07-18 10:28:52	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xa1a6e9…
07-18 01:43:40	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x1a7e93…
07-18 01:43:33	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	552	79¢	$436	0xe65663…
07-17 22:43:07	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	394	82¢	$323	0xdd3c95…
07-17 22:30:18	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	394	82¢	$323	0xe92a8c…
07-17 22:30:18	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x000e2c…
07-17 22:27:01	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	SELL	390	77¢	$300	0x7829fd…
07-17 22:26:28	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x85876d…
07-17 22:26:07	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	SELL	323	77¢	$249	0xfe98b0…
07-17 20:33:43	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xab69e7…
07-17 20:32:06	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1,073	57¢	$612	0x750e91…
07-17 19:09:45	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0xc794a4…
07-17 16:04:30	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	4	57¢	$3	0xbe840b…
07-17 06:43:25	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	654	57¢	$373	0x2ad1b8…
07-17 04:53:34	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	32	79¢	$25	0x82492e…
07-16 23:45:14	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0xe0d9ee…
07-16 21:19:43	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	24	82¢	$20	0x414838…
07-16 20:44:13	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1,048	57¢	$597	0x2ca8ae…
07-16 19:38:23	will russia enter moskovka by july 31	No	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x073659…
07-16 12:38:14	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	33	57¢	$19	0xb39af7…
07-16 11:26:44	will russia enter moskovka by july 31	No	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0xa0fbcf…
07-16 11:25:02	will russia enter moskovka by july 31	No	SELL	22	89¢	$19	0xfec275…
07-16 10:24:23	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x5b3a29…
07-16 09:52:34	will russia enter moskovka by july 31	No	SELL	22	89¢	$19	0xe6bcfe…
07-16 09:24:58	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x3d3f7c…
07-16 07:12:52	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	25	82¢	$20	0xeddc72…
07-16 05:29:35	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	59	82¢	$48	0x34e521…
07-16 05:14:35	chud the builder convicted of attempted murder	No	SELL	135	75¢	$102	0xf424c9…
07-15 23:32:56	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	SELL	1,094	4¢	$46	0x73b9b9…
07-15 12:14:35	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	78	70¢	$55	0xc3acf5…
07-15 09:32:07	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0x4edb2d…
07-15 03:46:01	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	No	SELL	28	69¢	$20	0x78d511…
07-14 17:13:25	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	SELL	19	77¢	$15	0xe11f51…
07-14 13:24:35	chud the builder convicted of attempted murder	No	SELL	232	77¢	$179	0xa15963…
07-14 12:09:46	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	1,521	7¢	$106	0xd50ba5…
07-14 11:00:23	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xfa4591…
07-14 10:52:20	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	1,506	32¢	$482	0x2192df…
07-14 10:51:32	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x78b465…
07-14 09:26:17	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	156	32¢	$50	0x5549e8…
07-14 08:44:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x3177d8…
07-14 08:37:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	31	32¢	$10	0xc5c192…
07-14 07:53:05	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xb77196…
07-14 07:50:20	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x95e104…
07-14 05:22:44	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	156	32¢	$50	0x644d43…
07-14 04:45:53	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0x40cb84…
07-14 00:12:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x0b4fb5…
07-14 00:09:38	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0xe4a3a1…
07-14 00:08:44	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x1398f3…
07-14 00:08:26	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xef8543…
07-14 00:08:26	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xe6ff62…
07-14 00:08:23	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xf72f71…
07-13 15:31:26	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x15b771…
07-13 15:17:02	will russia enter stinky by july 31	No	SELL	184	82¢	$151	0xe86d3a…
07-13 14:40:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x2b15af…
07-13 13:55:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x61ff8b…
07-13 13:42:41	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0x741d25…
07-13 12:30:16	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	98	32¢	$31	0xef9168…
07-13 12:18:52	Haiti elections delayed again?	No	SELL	36	17¢	$6	0x55c7c6…
07-13 11:52:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x71f8d8…
07-13 11:42:38	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	79	32¢	$25	0x89de5f…
07-13 11:37:04	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0xea0898…
07-13 10:33:41	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xaa7de7…
07-13 08:23:28	chud the builder convicted of attempted murder	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x73a786…
07-13 08:16:05	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	3,841	58¢	$2,228	0x752e6e…
07-13 07:58:35	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	943	75¢	$708	0x98846c…
07-13 07:57:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	2,282	67¢	$1,519	0x224024…
07-13 07:52:47	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	SELL	443	89¢	$395	0x913d12…
07-13 07:48:04	will russia capture verkhnia tersa by july 31	No	SELL	219	91¢	$200	0x9db65f…
07-13 07:47:56	Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?	No	SELL	32	66¢	$21	0x1fd785…
07-13 07:45:25	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872 984	No	SELL	572	0¢	$2	0xe5eeb3…
07-13 07:45:04	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	SELL	154	1¢	$1	0xa880c6…
07-13 00:29:16	will russia capture verkhnia tersa by july 31	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x2895d5…