Irritating-Founder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$545

Unrealized P&L

-$59

Hit rate

9.4%

Resolved

135

Trades

448

lifetime

Volume

$28.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

$42

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 09-28 12:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

69% 4% -$358

Politics

15% 33% -$74

Sports

10% 0% -$12

Tech

4% 0% -$76

Crypto

2% 71% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		+22	$21	98¢	$21	+$0	09-28 12:47
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes		+200	$80	11¢	$21	-$59	07-07 05:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$25	05-16 22:26
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: McCartney Kessler vs Renata Zarazua	5	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	McCartney Kessler	-$19	05-16 06:04
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Yulia Putintseva vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	5	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Oleksandra Oliynykova	-$17	05-17 04:01
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Over	-$10	05-17 02:39
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?	2	$990	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$10	05-17 03:06
Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)	2	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	FC Metz	+$0	05-16 23:09
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	2	$910	1,000	1,000	+0	Parma Calcio 1913	-$10	05-17 02:25
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5	2	$880	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	-$20	05-17 03:06
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	8	$814	800	800	+0	No	-$6	05-17 03:07
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	10	$796	715	715	+0	No	-$6	05-17 02:40
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Alexis Galarneau	4	$740	1,000	1,000	+0	Adam Walton	+$0	04-30 22:57
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?	2	$740	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	05-16 11:04
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5	2	$700	1,000	1,000	+0	Over	+$0	05-17 04:20
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$585	500	500	+0	Dooho Choi	-$5	05-16 11:41
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	3	$560	500	500	+0	Monte	+$0	05-09 22:38
Gaziantep FK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5	2	$514	500	500	+0	Under	-$6	05-16 12:04
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	2	$420	500	500	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	-$10	05-01 04:16
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$412	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	07-05 05:59
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	4	$412	400	400	+0	No	-$4	04-30 04:42
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$408	400	400	+0	No	+$0	07-07 05:10
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$385	400	400	+0	Yes	-$2	07-04 06:42
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$357	318	318	+0	No	+$3	06-08 06:08
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$348	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-06 07:43
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?	2	$344	200	200	+0	No	-$8	05-16 23:10
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	2	$330	200	200	+0	No	-$14	07-05 04:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	5	$328	400	400	+0	No	+$0	07-07 06:38
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	3	$326	200	200	+0	No	-$6	07-03 05:04
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$324	396	396	+0	Yes	+$3	06-11 08:15
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$322	400	400	+0	Yes	+$2	06-08 05:39
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$316	200	200	+0	No	-$4	06-05 12:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 12:47:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xc0124c…
07-29 07:48:59	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x3d2645…
07-29 02:53:09	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x8dc8a6…
07-29 02:53:02	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x07d155…
07-29 00:26:44	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x5e35c7…
07-14 07:25:55	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xb75ff8…
07-14 07:24:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x113509…
07-14 06:49:13	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x2d3675…
07-14 06:48:59	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x90db2a…
07-14 05:03:20	Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x842ef2…
07-14 04:39:47	Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x6153ca…
07-14 04:39:43	Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2	No	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0xb72b4e…
07-14 04:39:43	Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb695b1…
07-14 02:56:56	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0xc0957e…
07-14 02:56:52	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xa81f73…
07-14 01:26:16	Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xffa7fe…
07-14 00:44:04	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 benjamin james	No	SELL	50	57¢	$29	0x5a6cb3…
07-14 00:43:56	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny walker	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x3818ee…
07-14 00:43:50	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 ben martin	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xa64d97…
07-13 23:48:35	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 ben martin	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xebb841…
07-13 23:47:41	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny walker	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x7b6487…
07-13 23:14:20	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 benjamin james	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x68a869…
07-13 08:06:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x503c25…
07-13 08:06:53	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x6572a8…
07-13 07:20:08	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x5f53ea…
07-13 06:40:59	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x125935…
07-13 06:40:49	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x0accf2…
07-13 01:33:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x65ed86…
07-13 01:28:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	38	14¢	$5	0x47c474…
07-13 01:28:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	38	14¢	$5	0x2a4dd2…
07-13 01:28:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xe6b3a3…
07-13 01:21:56	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x745301…
07-13 01:15:40	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x95b39f…
07-13 01:15:35	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x04587c…
07-09 03:08:52	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	SELL	186	21¢	$39	0xeeb9b5…
07-09 02:47:29	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x679ba6…
07-09 02:47:02	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x587d60…
07-07 08:00:13	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xcc9ac3…
07-07 07:48:58	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xf6a3b6…
07-07 07:48:56	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x41ea3b…
07-07 07:21:56	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0xabeb32…
07-07 07:21:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x2468b4…
07-07 07:18:43	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	185	54¢	$100	0x5b5f33…
07-07 07:17:31	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x1e841c…
07-07 06:38:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0x93ffc4…
07-07 06:29:53	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x5a6f97…
07-07 06:29:47	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xf88c6f…
07-07 06:20:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xe88a3c…
07-07 06:06:47	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x501716…
07-07 06:03:02	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x819e14…
07-07 06:03:02	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	42¢	$15	0x7828cf…
07-07 05:58:50	Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x4eb1dd…
07-07 05:10:43	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0xa399f5…
07-07 05:10:37	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x1b0f51…
07-07 03:59:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xb33d0f…
07-07 03:56:23	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x155842…
07-06 07:43:47	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0xc5130d…
07-06 07:43:41	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xfef285…
07-06 07:27:28	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0x87c835…
07-06 07:14:17	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x3928b8…
07-06 06:00:29	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x2fe522…
07-06 06:00:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x80d834…
07-06 05:01:10	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	51	25¢	$13	0xe9c049…
07-06 04:10:14	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0xe81548…
07-06 04:10:07	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	81	26¢	$21	0x5863aa…
07-06 01:18:52	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	SELL	200	49¢	$99	0x4e0395…
07-06 01:15:02	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xa9ecc3…
07-05 09:31:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	190	48¢	$91	0xb273f9…
07-05 08:21:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x73a6e2…
07-05 08:08:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xfda348…
07-05 05:59:05	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	69	51¢	$35	0x16a64f…
07-05 05:49:52	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	131	51¢	$67	0x95b11c…
07-05 05:49:49	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	69	51¢	$35	0x9277cf…
07-05 05:49:46	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	131	51¢	$67	0x4b93c3…
07-05 04:25:07	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	No	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0x888fa5…
07-05 02:35:34	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x26d084…
07-05 02:29:29	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0x53497a…
07-04 06:58:13	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xbaeeb9…
07-04 06:42:35	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	63¢	$31	0xb20133…
07-04 06:27:20	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	71	64¢	$45	0x148a41…
07-04 06:26:47	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	41	64¢	$26	0x56032c…
07-04 06:05:46	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x49f4f7…
07-04 05:28:14	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x2db9dc…
07-04 05:11:11	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	28	64¢	$18	0x09e829…
07-04 04:28:10	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xd3acb9…
07-04 04:01:16	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0x81258e…
07-04 04:01:10	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	150	32¢	$48	0xd1e881…
07-04 04:01:08	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x66985d…
07-04 01:44:07	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	165	24¢	$40	0x4b0ec7…
07-04 01:42:44	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	35	24¢	$8	0xaef44a…
07-04 01:42:35	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x85434b…
07-04 01:25:58	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	176	52¢	$92	0x07b569…
07-04 01:22:25	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	24	52¢	$12	0xde71e1…
07-04 01:19:08	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xe8f765…
07-03 05:04:20	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	68	80¢	$55	0x3892fd…
07-03 05:02:01	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	132	80¢	$105	0x769f16…
07-02 03:45:40	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x514a55…
07-02 01:45:31	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0xf9faa1…
06-29 10:58:59	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xa2270e…
06-29 10:44:55	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x16698b…