Murky-Beck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,026

lifetime

Volume

$33.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 05-13 18:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

93% — —

Crypto

7% 80% $-45

Sports

0% 100% +$4

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 1 2026 31c	2	$1.2K	591	591	+0	open	—	03-01 18:12
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 4 2026 25corbelow	4	$928	473	473	+0	open	—	03-04 15:20
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 28c	4	$806	8,991	437	+8,554	open	—	03-03 19:14
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 42 43f	14	$756	396	396	+0	open	—	03-03 23:49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?	9	$700	358	357	+1	open	—	04-26 17:53
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 27?	11	$680	348	347	+1	open	—	04-27 19:33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?	9	$644	325	325	+0	open	—	04-26 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 25?	10	$621	316	315	+1	open	—	04-25 20:37
highest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 26corbelow	4	$567	290	289	+1	open	—	04-22 23:41
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 16c	2	$562	283	283	+0	open	—	04-22 18:17
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 15c	2	$557	280	280	+0	open	—	04-22 17:05
highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 10c	2	$552	279	278	+0	open	—	04-21 18:10
highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 15corbelow	4	$534	272	271	+0	open	—	04-17 18:22
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 12 2026 25c	4	$534	269	269	+0	open	—	04-12 16:03
highest temperature in seattle on april 13 2026 50 51f	2	$526	265	265	+0	open	—	04-13 19:55
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 72 73f	2	$521	262	262	+0	open	—	04-13 18:19
highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 15c	2	$504	255	255	+0	open	—	04-23 17:56
highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 68 69f	6	$501	293	291	+2	open	—	04-15 20:23
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 14 2026 26c	5	$489	248	248	+0	open	—	04-14 20:07
highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 56 57f	3	$488	250	250	+1	open	—	04-18 17:05
highest temperature in nyc on march 14 2026 54 55f	17	$484	277	277	+0	open	—	03-15 03:10
highest temperature in seattle on april 12 2026 54 55f	2	$483	244	244	+0	open	—	04-12 21:56
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 12 2026 23c	2	$441	222	222	+0	open	—	04-12 15:11
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 2 2026 27c	3	$423	122	322	-201	open	—	03-02 19:13
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 40 41f	21	$413	224	224	+0	open	—	03-03 23:42
highest temperature in dallas on april 1 2026 84forhigher	10	$404	213	212	+1	open	—	04-01 20:31
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 11 2026 23c	2	$377	191	191	+0	open	—	04-11 15:09
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 3 2026 25corbelow	4	$374	232	232	+0	open	—	03-03 19:18
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 4 2026 28c	2	$364	194	194	+0	open	—	03-04 18:03
highest temperature in atlanta on april 10 2026 74 75f	14	$331	182	181	+1	open	—	04-10 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 18:43:53	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	57	94¢	$54	0xcab26d…
05-13 18:14:22	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x9b679f…
05-13 03:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9ad336…
05-13 03:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdaff3c…
05-13 03:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4cfc9a…
05-13 03:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9236ce…
05-13 03:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$8	0x6aef80…
05-13 02:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9d46f6…
05-13 02:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6baf68…
05-13 02:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4b0297…
05-13 02:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb2f3e8…
05-13 02:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0d7f6a…
05-06 00:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbbe022…
05-06 00:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9780c6…
05-06 00:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x953973…
05-06 00:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3a8ff2…
05-06 00:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x70cc7a…
05-06 00:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xfc7bea…
05-06 00:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xdac534…
05-06 00:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x3296e0…
05-05 23:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x7186c6…
05-05 23:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0523c6…
05-05 23:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf0660f…
05-05 23:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x75d9a2…
05-05 23:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7c3d35…
05-05 23:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdb9d2b…
05-05 23:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbb75e9…
05-05 23:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1a8ace…
05-05 23:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc6b491…
05-05 23:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa155bb…
05-05 23:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x602ba6…
05-05 22:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x68cbae…
05-05 22:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfc5850…
05-05 22:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x93ef56…
05-05 22:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd38951…
05-05 22:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4b15a8…
05-05 22:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0b0cb7…
05-05 22:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xacd7ec…
05-05 22:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x73ea20…
05-05 22:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5d4cfe…
05-05 22:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd96b53…
05-05 22:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x87eac6…
05-05 22:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4c02f0…
05-05 21:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1797cc…
05-05 21:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x84e657…
05-05 21:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x81d691…
05-05 21:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfc2022…
05-05 21:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x740949…
05-05 21:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x39df33…
05-05 21:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe93b04…
05-05 21:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xad2429…
05-05 21:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7df027…
05-05 21:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc097b6…
05-05 21:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x394a7d…
05-05 21:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfba21e…
05-05 21:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xab5b3f…
05-05 21:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x91d82a…
05-05 21:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0506a3…
05-05 21:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x92e433…
05-05 21:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xca94e5…
05-05 21:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xaf9e59…
05-05 21:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1e38b1…
05-05 21:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x753d85…
05-05 21:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2929dc…
05-05 21:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x39faa9…
05-05 21:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x90b46d…
05-05 21:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0bdda0…
05-05 21:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd0eae1…
05-05 21:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x1fffd4…
05-05 21:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0x3c9d38…
05-05 21:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0fe3a7…
05-05 21:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5df3ad…
05-05 21:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc3a70d…
05-05 21:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0c6fd4…
05-05 21:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x637ca7…
05-05 21:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xbd1448…
05-05 21:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd3a5ee…
05-05 21:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc13625…
05-05 21:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xeb8066…
05-05 21:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xaf09e3…
05-05 21:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x21103f…
05-05 21:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x06b60a…
05-05 21:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x547b2f…
05-05 21:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2f2677…
05-05 21:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf90d6b…
05-05 21:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6fbb2b…
05-05 21:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x569c93…
05-05 21:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1b9ff5…
05-05 21:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc9ac0e…
05-05 21:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9fe176…
05-05 21:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x95ef0a…
05-05 21:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xd0cac3…
05-05 21:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x67f1b9…
05-05 21:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xd83bb7…
05-05 21:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x929d6d…
05-05 21:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x6c1666…
05-05 21:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x47aadf…
05-05 21:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xfbed51…
05-05 21:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xec9907…
05-05 21:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xc440fb…