Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$311
$341 in 24h
Trades
49
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$1,246
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 11:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $5 | $9 | $4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 34 | $25 | $228 | $202 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $5 | $9 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $4 | $37 | $33 |
| Median | 6 | $1 | $26 | $25 |
| Below median | 15 | $4 | $60 | $56 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $2 | $100 | $98 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 3 | $3 | $5 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | +93 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 05-14 21:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | +50 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 18:32 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | +32 | $25 | $49 | 6 | 05-15 09:59 |
| Cluttered-Flour 0x3e5e…ec7b | No | +31 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-14 15:39 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +25 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-14 10:19 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 11:24 |
| Uncommon-Hair 0x17f4…db67 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 07:04 |
| Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | +14 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-14 14:28 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +14 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 14:26 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 14:26 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xff89…dbff | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 12:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf16…3a05 | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 12:09 |
| Extra-Small-Thermals 0x8842…023c | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 09:45 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 01:40 |
| Brisk-Hacksaw 0x28b3…7af3 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 10:33 |
| Wilted-Vision 0xd14d…b3cb | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 18:32 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| Impractical-Med 0x64f2…c2a5 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 14:31 |
| Forked-Disco 0x90e7…6f0e | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 20:52 |
| Assured-Labour 0xc2b3…2230 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x32e0…3884 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:03 |
| Petty-Fritter 0x514f…5d84 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 11:04 |
| Cute-Kid 0x3023…465c | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 09:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x84b7…eeb5 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 00:14 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 14:26 |
| Rectangular-Pickaxe 0xadc2…45cf | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 10:27 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 05:10 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 15:14 |
| Numb-Birthday 0x1e40…1405 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 10:55 |
| Frequent-Dad-Underwire 0xb105…1365 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 11:24:28 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x26079b… |
| 05-15 10:55:32 | Numb-Birthday 0x1e40…1405 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x52dbc6… |
| 05-15 10:27:16 | Rectangular-Pickaxe 0xadc2…45cf | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x6fa044… |
| 05-15 09:59:58 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0xb4ae0b… |
| 05-15 09:59:53 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x00215c… |
| 05-15 09:59:23 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x10102e… |
| 05-15 09:54:22 | Cute-Kid 0x3023…465c | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x667805… |
| 05-15 09:50:29 | Rectangular-Pickaxe 0xadc2…45cf | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x844612… |
| 05-15 09:45:33 | Extra-Small-Thermals 0x8842…023c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe68845… |
| 05-15 09:40:36 | Uncomfortable-Oatmeal 0xf307…e380 | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x0f4e55… |
| 05-15 07:04:35 | Uncommon-Hair 0x17f4…db67 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x73ddb7… |
| 05-15 05:39:22 | Frequent-Dad-Underwire 0xb105…1365 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x521d81… |
| 05-15 01:13:06 | Assured-Labour 0xc2b3…2230 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3aa7ae… |
| 05-15 00:52:48 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x587083… |
| 05-14 23:15:35 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x113656… |
| 05-14 23:15:35 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc29e1c… |
| 05-14 21:31:52 | Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | BUY | 93 | 85¢ | $79 | 0x0a3d52… |
| 05-14 21:18:43 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xc21240… |
| 05-14 20:52:59 | Forked-Disco 0x90e7…6f0e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x3911c4… |
| 05-14 18:57:03 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 15 | 80¢ | $12 | 0xb61858… |
| 05-14 18:34:44 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 13 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x51fb65… |
| 05-14 18:32:16 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x0e198e… |
| 05-14 18:32:10 | Wilted-Vision 0xd14d…b3cb | No | BUY | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x671ebe… |
| 05-14 15:39:15 | Cluttered-Flour 0x3e5e…ec7b | No | BUY | 31 | 79¢ | $25 | 0xa2ca82… |
| 05-14 15:14:34 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x84f28c… |
| 05-14 14:39:32 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x11ba8c… |
| 05-14 14:31:19 | Impractical-Med 0x64f2…c2a5 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x73fdf1… |
| 05-14 14:28:05 | Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | BUY | 7 | 79¢ | $6 | 0xbb4af5… |
| 05-14 14:26:20 | Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | BUY | 7 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x3cec4c… |
| 05-14 14:26:13 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 14 | 80¢ | $11 | 0xfd36e5… |
| 05-14 14:26:11 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xea8e49… |
| 05-14 14:26:11 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x9678a3… |
| 05-14 14:03:24 | (anonymous) 0x32e0…3884 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x65c61a… |
| 05-14 13:45:45 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x1e2e97… |
| 05-14 12:50:19 | (anonymous) 0xff89…dbff | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xeb8f32… |
| 05-14 12:09:11 | (anonymous) 0xcf16…3a05 | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $9 | 0x364043… |
| 05-14 11:04:26 | Petty-Fritter 0x514f…5d84 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6aec2f… |
| 05-14 11:00:11 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | BUY | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0x681177… |
| 05-14 10:19:17 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x208f06… |
| 05-14 10:18:56 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x6d2a0f… |
| 05-14 06:28:49 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x110206… |
| 05-14 05:10:53 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xa9bebc… |
| 05-14 05:10:49 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 2 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x7524b9… |
| 05-14 01:58:44 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 55 | 21¢ | $12 | 0x907920… |
| 05-14 01:40:39 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | SELL | 12 | 76¢ | $9 | 0xf08d4a… |
| 05-14 01:40:28 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 12 | 79¢ | $9 | 0x56dd26… |
| 05-14 01:40:26 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x4ced53… |
| 05-14 00:14:52 | (anonymous) 0x84b7…eeb5 | No | BUY | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x68a391… |
| 05-13 10:33:20 | Brisk-Hacksaw 0x28b3…7af3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x1300a5… |