Gracious-Pup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

125

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$634

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 07-14 19:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

36% 34% +$14

Crypto

27% 33% -$12

Politics

23% 44% -$20

Sports

13% 18% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	3	$48	69	69	+0	Yes	+$35	05-16 22:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	5	$30	74	74	+0	No	+$0	05-16 23:25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$24	52	52	+0	No	+$0	07-14 19:22
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	3	$21	354	354	+0	No	-$3	05-23 05:16
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$20	43	43	+0	Yes	+$6	07-14 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$19	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$19	38	21	+18	Up	-$5	05-16 20:12
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$16	68	68	+0	No	-$3	07-14 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-16 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-16 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	6	$13	17	17	+0	Down	-$1	05-18 12:49
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	3	$12	53	0	+53	No	+$7	04-12 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	7	$12	11	11	+0	Down	$0	05-06 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 9?	4	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	06-09 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?	2	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	+$6	06-09 06:13
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	2	$11	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 05:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	4	$11	26	0	+26	Yes	-$11	06-11 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$4	05-16 19:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	3	$10	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	06-10 11:50
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	4	$10	18	18	+0	Paraguay	+$4	06-29 23:26
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$9	10	10	+0	No	-$3	06-08 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	8	$9	11	5	+6	Down	-$3	05-06 07:04
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$3	06-08 08:29
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	6	$8	212	7	+205	No	-$2	05-16 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	6	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?	5	$8	13	13	+0	No	-$6	06-10 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$8	14	14	+0	Up	-$2	05-16 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	6	$7	109	2	+107	Up	-$3	05-18 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10?	4	$7	11	11	+0	No	-$1	06-10 12:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$7	13	0	+13	Yes	-$7	05-29 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 19:26:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xa72e84…
07-14 19:26:34	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	36	32¢	$12	0x72c88c…
07-14 19:22:43	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	52	23¢	$12	0x29d3ae…
07-11 23:16:41	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x3bbb6e…
07-11 22:17:05	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x73779c…
07-11 21:50:28	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	68	4¢	$3	0xb6ff2a…
07-11 21:40:49	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x6bf21e…
07-11 21:39:04	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc863cf…
07-10 23:37:28	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x05c2ca…
07-10 23:35:47	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc8fb03…
07-09 13:00:04	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x69f7b4…
07-07 17:24:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	53	7¢	$4	0xd5c3e5…
07-06 20:54:07	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xf65f71…
07-03 08:48:08	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3cd283…
07-01 12:09:04	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x269827…
06-30 22:44:40	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x1b2890…
06-30 22:21:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x939e67…
06-30 22:21:17	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x09d01b…
06-30 22:13:14	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x49e7f1…
06-30 21:47:55	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x3b9840…
06-29 23:26:43	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x1e5ce9…
06-29 23:25:31	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfef7d0…
06-29 23:24:05	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xb90777…
06-29 23:22:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x37fe8a…
06-29 08:58:38	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x8b3291…
06-29 08:56:05	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x2500fe…
06-28 18:45:46	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0efaba…
06-12 14:26:07	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc0806b…
06-11 21:04:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x967bee…
06-11 21:00:10	will trump say traitor this week 20260605142537479	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd125bc…
06-11 20:47:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x89e73b…
06-10 13:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x06505e…
06-10 12:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x62ce9d…
06-10 12:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xf52b2f…
06-10 12:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1b2205…
06-10 12:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd7a78a…
06-10 12:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x769db2…
06-10 12:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0xbb3b79…
06-10 12:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x23aeec…
06-10 12:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xc1ed87…
06-10 12:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf048d9…
06-10 11:57:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x061f29…
06-10 11:55:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x02bc21…
06-10 11:50:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x47dbef…
06-10 11:50:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x7fa9b7…
06-10 11:47:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5de038…
06-10 11:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1d7e06…
06-10 11:38:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xfc43c8…
06-10 11:34:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x85aade…
06-10 11:29:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xaeb727…
06-09 21:03:36	Will Trump say "Sucker" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbb545b…
06-09 20:45:12	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x47c1f3…
06-09 20:44:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x38fa07…
06-09 16:30:28	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe53b74…
06-09 16:29:16	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xc9f0ad…
06-09 08:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0x4b772b…
06-09 08:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xf6e52e…
06-09 08:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xb3fbfc…
06-09 08:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xac3349…
06-09 08:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc7f728…
06-09 08:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaad2aa…
06-09 08:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x95e9cc…
06-09 08:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8ebf4f…
06-09 06:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xfc27cf…
06-08 14:25:16	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xe0453f…
06-08 14:24:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0xdb711b…
06-08 10:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe6499d…
06-08 10:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x15429a…
06-08 10:41:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf84c53…
06-08 10:41:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x15f1f8…
06-08 08:46:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x176eef…
06-08 08:31:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x949140…
06-08 08:29:57	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3c4db1…
06-08 08:28:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x01d023…
06-08 08:28:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xc5b3a7…
06-07 23:26:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xf7c83b…
06-07 23:25:34	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xa77ddc…
06-07 13:20:33	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x524840…
06-07 13:19:54	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xffaa85…
06-07 13:19:48	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xfb59c9…
06-07 13:19:34	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xfdc066…
06-07 13:17:01	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xfeeb02…
06-07 13:17:01	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x1dab98…
06-07 13:10:21	will trump say president biden this week	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x73f8d1…
06-05 10:39:24	will trump say soybean during wisconsin events 20260602174202015	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x50854b…
06-05 10:38:57	will trump say beef during wisconsin events 20260602174202004	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc744ec…
06-05 10:38:09	will trump say six seven during wisconsin events 20260602174202009	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf497fb…
06-05 10:35:30	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during wisconsin events 20260602174202019	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xae1e08…
06-04 05:44:39	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x61346e…
06-04 05:44:34	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x4120e2…
06-04 05:44:31	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xc387c5…
06-03 16:58:28	Will Trump say "President Biden" this week?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6714be…
06-03 08:06:31	Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0xc658b1…
06-01 11:48:25	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xe501cd…
06-01 11:48:14	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x610aba…
06-01 11:44:51	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2bcfdf…
05-29 22:51:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xcb3b7d…
05-29 22:50:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9f417a…
05-29 22:50:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc7ccfd…
05-29 22:50:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1fff33…