Gracious-Pup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$326

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-29 23:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 44% +$0

Politics

38% — —

Other

8% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$19	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 07:38
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	2	$19	318	354	-36	open	—	05-23 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$19	38	21	+18	open	—	05-16 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-16 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	6	$13	17	17	+0	open	—	05-18 12:49
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	3	$12	53	0	+53	open	—	04-12 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	7	$12	11	11	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 07:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	4	$11	26	0	+26	open	—	06-11 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-16 19:25
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	4	$10	18	18	+0	open	—	06-29 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	8	$9	11	5	+6	Down	$-3	05-06 07:04
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	06-08 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	6	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$8	14	14	+0	open	—	05-16 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	6	$7	109	2	+107	open	—	05-18 12:45
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	05-29 22:45
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	1	$6	0	9	-9	open	—	06-04 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	5	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 07:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	4	$6	17	17	+0	open	—	06-08 14:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$5	2,083	0	+2,083	open	—	04-08 06:27
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	06-12 14:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$5	8	5	+4	open	—	05-18 13:08
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	1	$3	0	10	-10	open	—	06-08 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	05-16 20:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	05-29 22:51
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-22 19:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$3	14	14	+0	open	—	05-25 21:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-05 14:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 23:26:43	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x1e5ce9…
06-29 23:25:31	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfef7d0…
06-29 23:24:05	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xb90777…
06-29 23:22:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x37fe8a…
06-12 14:26:07	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc0806b…
06-11 21:04:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x967bee…
06-11 21:00:10	will trump say traitor this week 20260605142537479	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd125bc…
06-11 20:47:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x89e73b…
06-10 11:57:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x061f29…
06-08 14:24:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0xdb711b…
06-08 10:41:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf84c53…
06-08 10:41:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x15f1f8…
06-08 08:46:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x176eef…
06-08 08:31:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x949140…
06-08 08:29:57	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3c4db1…
06-08 08:28:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x01d023…
06-08 08:28:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xc5b3a7…
06-07 23:26:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xf7c83b…
06-07 13:10:21	will trump say president biden this week	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x73f8d1…
06-05 10:39:24	will trump say soybean during wisconsin events 20260602174202015	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x50854b…
06-05 10:38:57	will trump say beef during wisconsin events 20260602174202004	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc744ec…
06-05 10:38:09	will trump say six seven during wisconsin events 20260602174202009	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf497fb…
06-05 10:35:30	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during wisconsin events 20260602174202019	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xae1e08…
06-04 05:44:39	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x61346e…
06-04 05:44:34	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x4120e2…
06-04 05:44:31	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xc387c5…
06-03 16:58:28	Will Trump say "President Biden" this week?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6714be…
05-29 22:51:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xcb3b7d…
05-29 22:50:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9f417a…
05-29 22:50:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc7ccfd…
05-29 22:50:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1fff33…
05-29 22:45:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x53e475…
05-29 22:44:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe7363b…
05-29 22:39:34	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0dce3f…
05-25 21:44:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xef0915…
05-25 21:44:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0xbfce07…
05-25 16:07:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf357db…
05-25 16:07:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x3c6f8f…
05-23 10:45:48	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x946757…
05-23 05:16:24	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	SELL	354	2¢	$9	0xbf523b…
05-22 19:15:46	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	318	3¢	$10	0x9619e6…
05-22 19:05:04	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x81f953…
05-22 00:18:53	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf0c909…
05-21 16:33:23	Will Trump say "Bridge" this week?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xcadd60…
05-18 13:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe9c69b…
05-18 13:08:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7dbc7a…
05-18 13:08:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x9a7840…
05-18 13:07:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6eb641…
05-18 13:07:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc65a42…
05-18 13:05:33	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x921a27…
05-18 12:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x85bc31…
05-18 12:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe30271…
05-18 12:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x82f714…
05-18 12:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x75861e…
05-18 12:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x6551c5…
05-18 12:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc2b9e6…
05-18 12:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x15a00f…
05-18 12:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5948d8…
05-18 12:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x097f3d…
05-18 12:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x29d21a…
05-18 12:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xee133b…
05-18 12:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3a0ac4…
05-18 12:41:18	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x139429…
05-18 12:41:03	Will Trump say "Bridge" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3d476a…
05-18 12:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa063af…
05-18 12:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf0c211…
05-18 11:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x1b69eb…
05-18 11:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x247457…
05-18 11:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xefcc0f…
05-18 11:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x15ff1e…
05-18 11:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xeefd92…
05-18 10:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf77abe…
05-17 17:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3f1058…
05-17 17:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x342fe5…
05-16 20:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x89667a…
05-16 20:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x8fab84…
05-16 20:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	21	33¢	$7	0x8eed89…
05-16 20:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xdc53da…
05-16 19:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x386449…
05-16 19:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfecef3…
05-16 19:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x965468…
05-16 19:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xde4214…
05-16 19:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0x70ee07…
05-16 19:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x486908…
05-16 13:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x92e921…
05-16 13:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc7200e…
05-16 13:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x7d1e9d…
05-16 13:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x31185a…
05-16 13:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xa30d4e…
05-16 13:25:56	Will "Dream" be said during Eurovision?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9fe0fb…
05-16 10:13:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x0b88fe…
05-16 10:13:05	Will Trump say "Epstein" in May?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x466954…
05-16 10:12:59	Will Trump say "Big Bang" in May?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x31d1d7…
05-16 10:12:52	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in May?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x10d4b7…
05-12 20:49:24	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in May?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x845deb…
05-06 07:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8f38a9…
05-06 07:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4dd83b…
05-06 07:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6e36db…
05-06 07:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x312921…
05-06 07:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3e7f7b…