Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.06K
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
20.7%
Resolved (7d)
82
Trades (7d)
998
41,455 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$93.0K
$501.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$53.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 11-04 16:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Other
88% 62% -$14,782
Politics
12% 50% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 2726 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +11,496 $10,326 92¢ $10.6K +$308 11-04 17:27
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +10,122 $8,532 90¢ $9.2K +$628 11-04 18:08
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +4,026 $3,333 86¢ $3.4K +$113 11-04 17:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,431 $2,374 72¢ $3.2K +$816 10-29 17:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2,557 $2,486 98¢ $2.5K +$24 07-20 15:44
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,691 $2,401 92¢ $2.5K +$75 11-04 17:28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +2,273 $2,042 94¢ $2.1K +$95 11-04 17:05
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +3,361 $2,502 63¢ $2.1K -$388 11-04 17:23
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +2,015 $1,795 93¢ $1.9K +$74 11-04 15:36
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,946 $1,671 90¢ $1.8K +$80 11-04 17:21
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,629 $1,426 93¢ $1.5K +$89 11-04 17:16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +1,375 $1,342 94¢ $1.3K -$53 11-04 17:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,431 $2,120 28¢ $1.2K -$880 10-29 17:51
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +3,186 $845 38¢ $1.2K +$378 11-04 17:23
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +11,124 $1,286 8¢ $890 -$396 11-04 17:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,493 $441 59¢ $882 +$441 10-30 02:30
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +8,636 $1,388 10¢ $864 -$525 11-04 18:08
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +969 $783 76¢ $741 -$41 10-18 02:37
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +1,034 $760 62¢ $637 -$123 11-04 17:06
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,493 $1,075 41¢ $611 -$463 10-30 02:30
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +602 $577 99¢ $595 +$18 11-04 12:43
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? Yes +742 $607 74¢ $546 -$61 10-13 12:24
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +1,209 $360 37¢ $448 +$89 11-04 17:11
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? No — +2,068 $346 22¢ $445 +$99 11-04 18:10
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +2,644 $562 14¢ $378 -$184 11-04 17:20
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +389 $285 86¢ $333 +$48 11-04 15:14
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,431 $554 10¢ $326 -$228 11-04 17:25
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +351 $295 84¢ $293 -$2 10-19 13:57
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? Yes — +366 $322 78¢ $287 -$35 11-04 17:47
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? No +1,036 $263 26¢ $275 +$11 10-18 06:20