Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.64K
Unrealized P&L
-$124
Hit rate
49.3%
Resolved (7d)
391
Trades (7d)
3,267
40,601 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$48.4K
$427.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$12.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 10-31 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
97% 62% -$14,389
Politics
3% 67% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 2726 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,431 $2,374 62¢ $2.8K +$396 10-29 17:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2,557 $2,486 98¢ $2.5K +$16 07-20 15:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,431 $2,120 38¢ $1.7K -$459 10-29 17:51
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,493 $1,075 64¢ $961 -$113 10-30 02:30
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +969 $783 80¢ $770 -$12 10-18 02:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,493 $441 36¢ $532 +$90 10-30 02:30
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +687 $458 66¢ $450 -$8 10-31 19:34
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +351 $295 80¢ $283 -$12 10-19 13:57
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +687 $233 34¢ $237 +$3 10-31 19:34
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +285 $225 81¢ $231 +$5 10-18 01:13
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +263 $200 80¢ $209 +$9 10-30 12:49
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +232 $200 89¢ $206 +$7 10-28 09:56
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +200 $197 97¢ $195 -$2 10-03 12:00
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +236 $158 68¢ $160 +$2 10-31 19:35
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +255 $122 56¢ $144 +$22 10-28 10:10
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? Yes +675 $148 20¢ $138 -$9 10-18 02:37
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +232 $124 57¢ $132 +$7 10-28 15:12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +120 $115 98¢ $118 +$4 10-31 20:05
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +255 $138 44¢ $111 -$27 10-28 10:10
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +232 $109 43¢ $100 -$9 10-28 15:12
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +236 $78 32¢ $76 -$2 10-31 19:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +94 $41 70¢ $66 +$24 10-29 02:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +2,557 $36 2¢ $55 +$19 07-20 15:44
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +285 $62 19¢ $54 -$8 10-18 01:13
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +263 $66 20¢ $54 -$12 10-30 12:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +94 $54 30¢ $28 -$25 10-29 02:21
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +232 $34 11¢ $26 -$8 10-28 09:56
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +22 $15 98¢ $22 +$7 09-23 10:26
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +38 $38 20¢ $7 -$30 09-28 13:58
Ebola pandemic in 2026? Yes +200 $4 3¢ $5 +$1 10-03 12:00