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whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$16.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.82K
Hit rate
35.9%
Resolved
11,385
Trades
42,302
lifetime
Volume
$670.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$46.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 11-13 20:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
86% 62% -$15,696
Politics
12% 45% -$78
Sports
1% 0% -$205
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 2726 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +15,601 $14,234 100¢ $15.6K +$1,344 11-05 16:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +4,203 $3,943 98¢ $4.1K +$161 11-05 09:36
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +4,026 $3,333 100¢ $4.0K +$682 11-04 17:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,431 $2,374 79¢ $3.5K +$1,136 10-29 17:51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,691 $2,401 100¢ $2.7K +$283 11-04 17:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2,557 $2,486 99¢ $2.5K +$44 07-20 15:44
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +2,500 $2,246 100¢ $2.5K +$248 11-04 22:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +2,214 $2,140 98¢ $2.2K +$23 11-04 22:18
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,629 $1,426 100¢ $1.6K +$198 11-04 17:16
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,493 $441 64¢ $949 +$508 10-30 02:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,431 $2,120 21¢ $922 -$1,199 10-29 17:51
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +1,186 $900 62¢ $738 -$161 11-07 22:25
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +969 $783 60¢ $586 -$196 10-18 02:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,493 $1,075 36¢ $544 -$531 10-30 02:30
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? No +1,036 $263 44¢ $456 +$192 10-18 06:20
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +1,162 $504 38¢ $436 -$68 11-07 22:24
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? Yes +742 $607 56¢ $416 -$191 10-13 12:24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +389 $285 100¢ $388 +$103 11-04 15:14
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? No +415 $330 84¢ $346 +$16 09-23 08:53
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +323 $283 96¢ $309 +$26 09-27 17:09
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +351 $295 82¢ $290 -$5 10-19 13:57
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? Yes +675 $148 40¢ $267 +$119 10-18 02:37
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft? No +218 $104 97¢ $212 +$108 10-09 22:44
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +285 $225 70¢ $201 -$24 10-18 01:13
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +200 $197 99¢ $197 +$0 10-03 12:00
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? No +162 $134 99¢ $160 +$26 10-22 12:56
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +132 $74 96¢ $126 +$52 10-04 02:29
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30? No +109 $81 100¢ $109 +$27 10-16 13:56
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +110 $97 98¢ $108 +$10 10-16 14:32
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +316 $211 31¢ $98 -$113 10-09 00:20