Realized P&L (90d)
-$11.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.87K
Hit rate
39.5%
Resolved (90d)
10,186
Trades (90d)
34,578
41,295 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$544.3K
$659.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$82.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 11-08 06:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
87% 62% -$15,654
Politics
13% 44% -$25
Sports
1% 0% -$148
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 2726 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +15,926 $14,181 99¢ $15.8K +$1,586 11-05 14:39
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +15,601 $14,234 99¢ $15.4K +$1,141 11-05 16:22
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,771 $7,379 99¢ $7.7K +$319 11-05 12:56
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +7,784 $6,036 87¢ $6.7K +$713 11-05 12:21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +4,203 $3,943 96¢ $4.0K +$96 11-05 09:36
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +4,026 $3,333 99¢ $4.0K +$650 11-04 17:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,431 $2,374 80¢ $3.6K +$1,193 10-29 17:51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,691 $2,401 99¢ $2.7K +$251 11-04 17:28
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? No +2,545 $549 100¢ $2.5K +$1,983 11-04 22:12
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2,557 $2,486 98¢ $2.5K +$29 07-20 15:44
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +2,500 $2,246 99¢ $2.5K +$224 11-04 22:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +2,214 $2,140 96¢ $2.1K -$3 11-04 22:18
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +2,306 $1,742 86¢ $2.0K +$253 11-05 12:41
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,629 $1,426 98¢ $1.6K +$176 11-04 17:16
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? Yes +1,220 $276 99¢ $1.2K +$926 11-04 22:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,493 $441 66¢ $985 +$544 10-30 02:30
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +1,186 $900 80¢ $947 +$47 11-07 22:25
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +6,999 $1,749 14¢ $945 -$804 11-05 12:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,431 $2,120 20¢ $864 -$1,256 10-29 17:51
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +969 $783 73¢ $707 -$75 10-18 02:37
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +602 $577 100¢ $600 +$24 11-04 12:43
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? Yes +742 $607 70¢ $516 -$91 10-13 12:24
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,493 $1,075 34¢ $508 -$567 10-30 02:30
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +3,091 $728 13¢ $411 -$317 11-05 12:21
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +1,162 $504 34¢ $401 -$103 11-07 22:24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +389 $285 98¢ $383 +$98 11-04 15:14
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? No +415 $330 84¢ $346 +$16 09-23 08:53
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? No +1,036 $263 30¢ $316 +$52 10-18 06:20
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +351 $295 88¢ $308 +$12 10-19 13:57
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +15,229 $1,471 1¢ $221 -$1,250 11-05 16:22