Realized P&L (90d)
-$11.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.45K
Hit rate
36.0%
Resolved (90d)
10,248
Trades (90d)
34,551
40,744 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$415.3K
$524.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$68.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 11-05 06:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Other
86% 62% -$14,782
Politics
14% 50% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 2726 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +14,016 $12,314 96¢ $13.5K +$1,141 11-05 00:41
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +12,880 $11,613 96¢ $12.3K +$688 11-05 00:03
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,053 $5,693 96¢ $5.8K +$125 11-05 03:33
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +4,026 $3,333 94¢ $3.8K +$469 11-04 17:20
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +4,416 $3,299 79¢ $3.5K +$192 11-05 06:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,431 $2,374 72¢ $3.2K +$816 10-29 17:51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,691 $2,401 95¢ $2.6K +$155 11-04 17:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2,557 $2,486 98¢ $2.5K +$26 07-20 15:44
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +2,500 $2,246 96¢ $2.4K +$145 11-04 22:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +2,341 $2,107 96¢ $2.2K +$141 11-04 22:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +2,214 $2,140 96¢ $2.1K -$25 11-04 22:18
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? No +2,545 $549 69¢ $1.8K +$1,207 11-04 22:12
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +2,022 $1,525 80¢ $1.6K +$89 11-05 03:53
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,629 $1,426 96¢ $1.6K +$138 11-04 17:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,431 $2,120 28¢ $1.2K -$880 10-29 17:51
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +4,862 $1,234 20¢ $982 -$252 11-05 06:42
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? No +3,048 $2,443 31¢ $945 -$1,498 11-04 22:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,493 $441 57¢ $857 +$416 10-30 02:30
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? Yes +1,220 $276 69¢ $842 +$565 11-04 22:07
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +969 $783 75¢ $727 -$56 10-18 02:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,493 $1,075 43¢ $636 -$439 10-30 02:30
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +12,508 $1,378 5¢ $625 -$753 11-05 00:03
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +602 $577 99¢ $599 +$22 11-04 12:43
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +14,428 $1,549 4¢ $563 -$986 11-05 03:33
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? Yes +742 $607 74¢ $546 -$61 10-13 12:24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +389 $285 93¢ $360 +$75 11-04 15:14
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +1,577 $471 21¢ $330 -$141 11-05 02:05
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +351 $295 84¢ $297 +$2 10-19 13:57
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? No +1,036 $263 26¢ $275 +$11 10-18 06:20
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +255 $138 100¢ $255 +$117 10-28 10:10