Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$57

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-21 16:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$4

Politics

28% 100% +$2

Sports

18% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		+60	$58	96¢	$57	$0	09-30 18:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	09-30 07:14
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	3	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	09-30 20:17
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-06 21:07
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-26 03:52
Will Diana Shnaider be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-20 21:06
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	9	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	05-17 21:34
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$1	05-07 04:48
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	4	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$1	09-30 18:34
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-14 17:16
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$97	50	50	+0	Yes	+$3	05-15 20:34
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	07-05 20:37
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	3	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	05-23 01:19
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$62	33	33	+0	No	+$1	05-17 16:43
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	1	$58	61	0	+61	open	—	09-30 19:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$58	60	0	+60	open	—	09-30 18:30
Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?	2	$57	59	0	+59	open	—	10-21 16:18
Will the Republican Party win the TX-20 House seat?	1	$56	57	0	+57	open	—	09-30 18:47
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	06-26 08:06
Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?	1	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	10-11 02:22
Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	07-14 05:38
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-08 06:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 16:18:42	Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xd98560…
10-21 16:18:42	Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x95c2c6…
10-11 02:22:42	Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb68071…
09-30 20:17:54	Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x2aedc9…
09-30 19:36:18	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0xa9a186…
09-30 18:47:47	Will the Republican Party win the TX-20 House seat?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x673ca0…
09-30 18:34:36	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x4d2539…
09-30 18:30:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x42e029…
09-30 07:14:14	Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xd040e0…
07-15 18:13:32	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x25b99f…
07-15 05:00:52	Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$44	0x4a73bd…
07-15 05:00:46	Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xdb7a7b…
07-14 05:38:17	Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x342a2a…
07-14 05:23:50	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x27dc8b…
07-14 02:08:53	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xb8d0a8…
07-13 20:34:47	Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x55efab…
07-05 20:37:29	Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x6dec26…
06-26 08:06:53	Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x0c3e00…
06-20 21:06:02	Will Diana Shnaider be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x26e428…
06-11 13:32:06	Will Diana Shnaider be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x07e0e6…
05-29 00:43:23	Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xc79ec8…
05-26 03:52:27	Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x50af24…
05-26 02:40:21	Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x7172ea…
05-23 01:19:21	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x4f2207…
05-18 15:51:49	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x677304…
05-18 15:40:11	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x050bf9…
05-17 21:34:10	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xf7c22a…
05-17 19:50:34	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa5fb5c…
05-17 19:42:45	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xeccc66…
05-17 19:42:22	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0xd3334f…
05-17 19:41:21	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x381eac…
05-17 16:43:24	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	33	95¢	$32	0x025ae2…
05-15 20:34:10	Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xec3230…
05-15 18:14:40	Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x43b21d…
05-14 17:16:43	Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x9ed762…
05-11 14:18:00	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x5067d1…
05-11 14:17:51	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x0a4f77…
05-11 14:17:44	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x5310b3…
05-11 14:17:33	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe8842f…
05-11 13:55:48	Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x2fbc01…
05-09 01:26:04	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x10c174…
05-07 16:52:00	Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x4424ba…
05-07 04:48:59	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x6c4481…
05-06 21:07:31	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x6276d0…
04-30 02:12:38	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7e7009…
04-30 02:04:32	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x728425…
04-29 14:40:12	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x9556be…
04-08 06:46:55	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x79bf62…