Realized P&L
+$95
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
90.9%
Resolved
1,429
Trades
1,549
lifetime
Volume
$5.64K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$40
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 11-04 23:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 200 days
Categories
Other
41% 84% +$17
Crypto
40% 92% -$3
Sports
15% 71% +$89
Politics
3% 74% -$3
Tech
1% 79% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +11 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-04 23:56
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-27 22:45
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +7 $5 87¢ $6 +$1 09-05 12:52
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 09-03 22:53
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 11-04 23:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +11 $5 23¢ $3 -$2 10-27 22:44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -14 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 06-22 16:29
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -4 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 09-02 13:41
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-09 21:07
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +2 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-17 15:30