Knotty-Temperature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,191

lifetime

Volume

$5.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 06-09 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

76% 96% +$0

Sports

19% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 08:56
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 17:21
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 02:49
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 10:42
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-27 17:22
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 20:32
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-21 21:14
wta avanesy garcia 2026 04 07	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-07 15:07
Bitcoin above 76,400 on April 30, 8AM ET?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 12:30
highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 23c	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-29 17:29
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 04:25
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 17:20
hok littea ankgam 2026 04 03	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-03 10:19
tur gfk ala 2026 04 04 ala	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-04 16:26
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$5	5	0	+5	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-25 07:07
hr1 sla haj 2026 04 17 total 3pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-17 20:05
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-12 18:09
atp shimabu riedi 2026 04 17 set totals 2pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-17 07:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:38:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x973a49…
06-09 14:20:34	kbo ssg lg 2026 06 09	LG Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x176e9d…
06-09 03:34:58	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points victor wembanyama 27pt5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc96223…
06-09 00:21:18	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd6ea6…
06-08 23:26:33	cs2 xi clutch 2026 06 08	XI Esport	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8acee2…
06-08 21:37:06	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92be1b…
06-08 12:03:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b21d1…
06-07 23:56:16	codmw tex lat1 2026 06 07	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe7666…
06-07 22:05:31	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd787d…
06-07 22:01:58	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07 spread home 1pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8013f4…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1f373…
06-07 19:26:45	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd328d2…
06-07 17:39:00	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35fa65…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac1092…
06-06 23:09:43	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56ca21…
06-06 12:59:25	cs2 9z fly 2026 06 06	9z	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb42b7…
06-06 12:05:55	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79f4ea…
06-06 11:32:33	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87a999…
06-06 11:32:28	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc45375…
06-05 01:24:01	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x487367…
06-03 16:36:00	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ab099…
06-03 16:04:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe77b21…
06-03 05:34:02	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x313651…
06-03 04:48:06	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x21f0db…
06-03 01:52:15	Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x943050…
06-02 22:56:05	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x88720c…
06-02 15:24:44	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x934d1e…
06-02 14:02:09	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61c397…
06-01 08:37:38	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe56e74…
05-31 19:50:14	Switzerland vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xba050a…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x188fb0…
05-31 14:19:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55c9be…
05-30 22:09:41	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf5afa…
05-30 16:24:49	Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a92ae…
05-30 15:55:11	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)	NIP	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ccda3…
05-30 15:49:12	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh	Scotland	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe3da28…
05-30 14:25:16	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x42a723…
05-30 04:47:53	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xded2dd…
05-30 04:47:53	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x401ba0…
05-30 01:25:44	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x810b7e…
05-29 21:05:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd55072…
05-29 21:05:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x86e33a…
05-29 21:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x48e594…
05-29 20:26:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5bd25…
05-29 17:27:50	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9541ba…
05-29 13:57:01	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2637a0…
05-29 01:09:09	Centurion: Harold Mayot vs Millen Hurrion	Harold Mayot	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8307f2…
05-28 16:52:16	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1359de…
05-28 14:59:28	KBO: KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bears	KT Wiz	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb28055…
05-28 13:58:55	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroes	Kia Tigers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2e4fa…
05-28 13:11:07	Facundo Acosta vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe9ba01…
05-28 12:33:03	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95f6a6…
05-28 02:32:33	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x568296…
05-27 19:35:42	sc2 classi clem 2026 05 27	Classic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3b23e…
05-27 17:22:12	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8258d7…
05-27 14:22:00	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf0f1c8…
05-27 09:47:07	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x580661…
05-27 02:14:30	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0424f6…
05-27 00:15:58	CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2f88e…
05-26 20:00:20	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf017ac…
05-26 14:03:22	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09570a…
05-26 13:17:56	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x45eeeb…
05-26 06:28:01	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe527d7…
05-25 18:17:52	Ignacio Buse vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd58fa…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee19c5…
05-25 04:48:20	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x88259a…
05-25 01:24:35	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x443ba7…
05-24 22:23:15	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1af655…
05-24 19:55:51	Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a5568…
05-24 19:24:10	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf612e5…
05-24 17:21:59	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x441378…
05-24 17:08:47	Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30f15a…
05-24 16:02:13	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe52e47…
05-24 15:29:51	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7b84e…
05-24 04:25:22	Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e66e7…
05-24 00:39:37	Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x89284e…
05-23 23:25:04	Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x69eb26…
05-23 22:55:07	Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1bb59c…
05-23 16:07:27	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf2e88…
05-23 16:04:58	CSKA Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Kuban	CSKA Moscow	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf1563f…
05-23 16:00:20	CSKA Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Kuban	CSKA Moscow	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x210a81…
05-23 04:02:31	De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97855f…
05-23 02:23:59	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b9962…
05-23 01:24:50	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1eb8fb…
05-22 17:12:39	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x238ae6…
05-22 11:51:14	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fd2e9…
05-22 10:23:28	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x588e44…
05-21 20:07:43	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x148981…
05-21 13:39:24	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c95a7…
05-21 13:15:29	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles	Lotte Giants	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52e73b…
05-21 11:20:11	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e502b…
05-20 21:53:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x908bbc…
05-20 21:22:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8f9cb…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf2c69f…
05-20 19:30:00	El Masry SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87c272…
05-20 19:29:25	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefec38…
05-20 19:13:54	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0270ca…
05-20 11:43:34	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb6bb3…
05-20 10:37:53	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Kichenok/Krawczyk	Dabrowski/Stefani	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbc21f…
05-20 09:47:41	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdcbe11…