Knotty-Temperature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

1,934

Trades

1,982

lifetime

Volume

$9.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 202 days

Categories

Other

78% 98% +$3

Sports

17% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 98% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 00:55
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 10:42
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	3	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	04-26 02:49
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVP	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-12 14:02
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:21
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$10	5	5	+0	TheMongolz	+$0	05-27 17:22
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-01 01:30
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ed972…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47b86e…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x48b2f5…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdcf758…
10-23 06:10:06	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x901ed2…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda3986…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc8391…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cba7c…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf877c…
10-15 15:13:04	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53dfc0…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd02842…
10-14 13:12:36	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b6f9d…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad3a42…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x19e34c…
10-13 15:53:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x874867…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2bd29e…
10-12 09:05:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53352e…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4eb098…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x187ecd…
10-09 02:09:54	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b65d1…
10-07 08:25:06	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina	Alex Molcan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb955e9…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc58419…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x08dceb…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f62b0…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d8b60…
10-03 14:50:30	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b354e…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc4f841…
10-02 14:12:51	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28337e…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0410a7…
10-01 05:16:11	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xffdffd…
09-30 23:54:50	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8fc20f…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x309169…
09-29 13:58:48	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e7236…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4004ed…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ccf6f…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x937586…
09-27 20:53:23	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3404f1…
09-27 20:12:02	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4530c…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x567453…
09-27 12:12:00	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb774fb…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91f70a…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x749eca…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbeb1e5…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1347cd…
09-21 19:09:01	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x317915…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb9669…
09-21 13:01:33	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2d9213…
09-20 22:25:44	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1e4be…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b7be0…
09-20 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa6972b…
09-20 02:59:40	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04d1e5…
09-19 20:39:09	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2172f5…
09-18 20:03:34	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e593d…
09-18 19:32:18	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcae416…
09-17 20:00:10	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe61a04…
09-17 18:23:07	Will FCI Levadia Tallinn win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ff9fb…
09-17 17:27:07	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05d3f1…
09-17 14:00:49	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7abbb4…
09-17 00:30:46	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b1bc7…
09-16 10:23:04	M25 Zlatibor: Veljko Krstic vs Henry Best	Veljko Krstic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ec7e0…
09-16 01:10:07	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x262bd7…
09-15 12:58:34	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1e297…
09-15 09:42:01	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb77311…
09-14 10:07:30	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf47768…
09-13 14:56:15	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x241bdd…
09-13 02:51:27	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x93d626…
09-13 02:23:43	Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall	Marshall	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23f6fa…
09-11 02:58:33	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58b27e…
09-10 18:48:15	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf963d2…
09-10 18:42:28	Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd88926…
09-10 18:41:54	Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbc6da4…
09-10 17:31:49	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f7162…
09-10 01:18:24	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e3174…
09-09 22:45:54	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b8592…
09-09 18:51:13	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e3ac7…
09-09 07:41:46	cs2 tyloo the9 2026 09 09	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf4cb5…
09-09 04:21:46	Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xccedd8…
09-09 01:17:54	Over $2M committed to the Linera public sale?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c1e96…
09-08 23:11:30	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1898fc…
09-08 20:57:18	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb09c77…
09-08 18:55:54	cs2 azuola g2a 2026 09 08	G2 Ares	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0cce03…
09-08 06:06:03	M25 Sapporo: Kazushi Idogaki vs Seiya Nakanishi	Seiya Nakanishi	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c1276…
09-08 05:01:43	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a9660…
09-07 21:25:45	wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	Elena Rybakina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a5fe5…
09-04 15:49:40	cs2 fokus aim1 2026 09 04	FOKUS	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x415f0a…
09-03 10:13:13	itf jadou popovi 2026 09 03	Stevan Popovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2769c3…
09-03 09:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7efcb4…
09-03 06:07:45	itf sujeong soohaja 2026 09 03	Soo Ha Jang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x21d8ca…
09-02 18:35:30	Will AEK vs. OFI end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7bf0c…
09-02 18:29:46	Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb569a4…
09-02 08:04:45	Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xceab73…
09-01 14:41:21	Como: Raul Brancaccio vs Duje Ajdukovic	Duje Ajdukovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa6f780…
09-01 14:15:34	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz	KT Wiz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91c16e…
09-01 13:33:33	Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Infinite	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6dd230…
09-01 04:53:52	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2844d…
08-31 23:11:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc748e2…
08-31 20:26:10	Will FC Dunav Ruse win on 2026-08-31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8c488…
08-31 18:14:00	crint bgd3 idn2 2026 08 31	Bangladesh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24607e…
08-31 13:17:42	China vs. Lebanon	China	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x659781…
08-31 04:00:18	Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2a5ae…