Careful-Siding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

18.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$155

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$50

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-11 13:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% 40% $-76

Politics

26% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes		+50	$40	80¢	$40	$-0	05-11 13:25
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes		+50	$8	22¢	$11	+$3	05-07 14:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 7?	2	$45	70	+70	Yes	$-45	05-07 14:56
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	2	$40	50	+50	open	—	05-11 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 7?	3	$38	59	+59	Yes	$-38	05-07 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 6?	1	$11	14	+14	No	+$3	05-06 13:05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 6?	1	$9	18	+18	No	+$9	05-06 13:05
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$8	50	+50	open	—	05-07 14:46
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 7?	2	$4	9	+9	No	$-4	05-07 14:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 13:25:10	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x63e9e3…
05-11 13:25:09	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x16b95a…
05-07 14:56:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0aa16b…
05-07 14:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 7?	No	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0x8a1610…
05-07 14:56:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xaa5ebc…
05-07 14:56:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 7?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xb228c4…
05-07 14:46:17	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x4fa498…
05-07 14:46:16	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x05ed32…
05-07 14:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 7?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x046fb9…
05-07 14:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 7?	No	BUY	31	66¢	$20	0xb1069d…
05-07 14:01:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 7?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x120af2…
05-06 13:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 6?	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x8db676…
05-06 13:05:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xd78925…