Careful-Siding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$232

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$2.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-15 00:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

76% — —

Politics

22% 80% +$232

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	8	$377	437	10	+427	open	—	04-24 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 26?	11	$250	268	0	+268	open	—	04-26 17:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 27?	5	$201	208	0	+208	open	—	04-27 14:36
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	13	$198	369	51	+318	No	+$166	05-07 14:57
highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 68 69f	3	$115	121	0	+121	open	—	04-23 13:03
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	10	$110	144	0	+144	Yes	+$34	05-11 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 28?	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	04-28 01:23
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	7	$75	89	0	+89	Yes	+$14	05-11 13:27
Will Trump say "Maduro" during events with Brazilian president?	2	$67	90	0	+90	No	+$23	05-07 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	6	$58	117	0	+117	open	—	04-27 14:52
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 26?	7	$54	78	0	+78	open	—	04-26 01:16
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	9	$47	126	0	+126	open	—	04-26 17:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 25?	1	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	04-25 02:21
highest temperature in san francisco on april 24 2026 64 65f	5	$33	215	15	+200	open	—	04-24 20:03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 28?	6	$26	56	0	+56	open	—	04-28 01:20
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	1	$25	150	0	+150	open	—	04-24 20:06
highest temperature in san francisco on april 24 2026 60 61f	1	$22	30	0	+30	open	—	04-24 16:25
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	3	$21	434	0	+434	open	—	04-26 01:13
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$21	131	119	+12	open	—	01-09 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 25?	2	$21	80	0	+80	open	—	04-25 02:21
highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 68 69f	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	04-24 16:45
highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 72 73f	2	$18	50	0	+50	open	—	04-24 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 26?	3	$18	32	0	+32	open	—	04-26 17:41
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 27?	4	$16	102	0	+102	open	—	04-27 14:34
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 27?	2	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 14:30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 27?	3	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 14:30
highest temperature in los angeles on april 22 2026 64 65f	3	$11	10	2	+8	open	—	04-22 17:06
Madrid Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus Williams	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-21 16:49
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	4	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-07 14:53
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 16:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 00:23:20	Will Trump say "Epstein" in May?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x2c64f0…
05-11 13:27:06	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x548bd9…
05-11 13:25:10	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x63e9e3…
05-11 13:25:09	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x16b95a…
05-11 12:55:59	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb3a7ea…
05-11 12:55:55	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xc0f270…
05-11 12:48:50	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x15d646…
05-11 12:48:32	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x96060e…
05-11 12:48:31	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xad73eb…
05-11 12:47:28	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa57bc1…
05-11 12:47:26	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xdf0f32…
05-11 12:47:26	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	24	73¢	$18	0x81bea7…
05-11 12:47:24	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xded0b7…
05-11 12:47:24	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x6a0e86…
05-11 12:47:22	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x4d01ea…
05-11 12:47:22	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x239e14…
05-11 12:46:44	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x9ef791…
05-11 12:46:42	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x8c40dc…
05-07 14:57:07	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0xb30f2c…
05-07 14:57:07	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xb1a137…
05-07 14:55:43	Will Trump say "Maduro" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xda8589…
05-07 14:55:39	Will Trump say "Maduro" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xd9f8d7…
05-07 14:53:49	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	51	45¢	$23	0x7606bc…
05-07 14:53:37	Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x8b5641…
05-07 14:52:20	Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x1be463…
05-07 14:52:18	Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x855bf5…
05-07 14:52:07	Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc12580…
05-07 14:49:35	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xe3a79d…
05-07 14:49:33	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x99571e…
05-07 14:49:23	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x77187f…
05-07 14:49:19	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xb79b05…
05-07 14:49:16	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xf9fbc0…
05-07 14:44:24	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xfbbca5…
05-07 14:44:03	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xe51ffc…
05-07 14:43:57	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x4bd194…
05-07 14:43:24	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x8861c9…
05-07 14:43:17	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xf7cb3f…
05-07 14:32:44	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x9b7020…
05-07 14:32:10	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x16638f…
05-07 14:32:09	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x84e1bb…
04-28 01:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 28?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x030474…
04-28 01:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xe791fc…
04-28 01:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xe72d9b…
04-28 01:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xc25493…
04-28 01:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xdbc06a…
04-28 01:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x8c75f6…
04-28 01:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x6e57f4…
04-27 14:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x984a0f…
04-27 14:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	78	50¢	$39	0x8ebf99…
04-27 14:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xda0985…
04-27 14:52:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x649c74…
04-27 14:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x771138…
04-27 14:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 27?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x937c0c…
04-27 14:34:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x2ad892…
04-27 14:34:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0xe41baa…
04-27 14:33:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x52bb51…
04-27 14:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 27?	No	BUY	73	97¢	$71	0xa922cd…
04-27 14:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 27?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x336d4a…
04-27 14:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 27?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x32e2f7…
04-27 14:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 27?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x7c0d5a…
04-27 14:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd7d495…
04-27 14:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 27?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x1e2a2d…
04-27 14:30:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 27?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x8c20de…
04-27 14:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 27?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x752c8b…
04-27 14:30:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 27?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb943f4…
04-27 14:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 27?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xb35a8d…
04-27 14:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa55f93…
04-27 14:30:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xd50ecc…
04-26 17:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 26?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xab0454…
04-26 17:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 26?	No	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xdfff5c…
04-26 17:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 26?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x466834…
04-26 17:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x8fd11d…
04-26 17:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 26?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x60997f…
04-26 17:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd7c43b…
04-26 17:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x197ac3…
04-26 17:39:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xd78c7b…
04-26 17:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x77efbc…
04-26 17:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x0f3128…
04-26 17:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x361b81…
04-26 17:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 26?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x5c2280…
04-26 17:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 26?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe15045…
04-26 17:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 26?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xbbc988…
04-26 17:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x3ba66b…
04-26 17:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x464839…
04-26 17:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x4a0a16…
04-26 17:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x700fa7…
04-26 17:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xd9a3be…
04-26 17:27:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x04aca8…
04-26 17:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xc302fd…
04-26 01:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 26?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf2fe0f…
04-26 01:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 26?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xde8c09…
04-26 01:16:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 26?	No	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0xa54d0a…
04-26 01:14:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 26?	No	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x730a95…
04-26 01:14:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 26?	No	BUY	28	69¢	$19	0xa2547a…
04-26 01:14:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 26?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x6770e4…
04-26 01:13:32	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xf6195f…
04-26 01:11:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 26?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x74e2d7…
04-26 01:11:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 26?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb06131…
04-26 01:09:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 26?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfd40c7…
04-26 01:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 26?	No	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0xadff15…