Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 16?
open
Total volume
$806
$35 in 24h
Trades
56
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$784
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 20:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $12 | $457 | $445 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $23 | $302 | $278 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $470 | $469 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $6 | $7 | $1 |
| Median | 5 | $0 | $100 | $100 |
| Below median | 12 | $5 | $48 | $43 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $5 | $116 | $111 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| unranked | 3 | $4 | $20 | $16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gruesome-Motorcycle 0x0e92…e6bf | Yes | +525 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 20:15 |
| Great-Temper 0x2d0f…81aa | No | +466 | $449 | $449 | 1 | 05-16 18:57 |
| Lone-Remark 0xe2b5…4558 | No | +140 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 05-16 18:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3507…71d7 | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-15 16:46 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 05-16 18:57 |
| Careful-Siding 0x65d2…262c | Yes | +35 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 17:09 |
| Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 05-16 15:54 |
| Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 05-16 18:57 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +24 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-14 19:44 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +21 | $6 | $17 | 5 | 05-16 14:16 |
| Crushing-Aquarium 0x1c27…ee11 | No | +21 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 05-16 17:05 |
| Frilly-Dinner 0xe66e…601e | Yes | +19 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 18:57 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 02:00 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +14 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-15 18:57 |
| Scrawny-Reporter 0xa33d…3ef2 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 16:27 |
| Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-16 18:57 |
| Scratchy-Med 0x3e96…b306 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 18:56 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 17:19 |
| Measly-Meme 0x50d8…0a0e | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 17:19 |
| Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 19:22 |
| Bland-Pounding 0x25af…8cde | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 15:06 |
| Scientific-Guava 0x49c4…db5b | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 12:21 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 20:58 |
| Knotty-Persimmon 0x6ff7…a0f0 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 18:31 |
| Minty-Object 0x2bf6…24f9 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 18:57 |
| Unusual-Belfry 0xd979…4a18 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 11:27 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 14:09 |
| Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 22:15 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 05:45 |
| Candid-Mixture 0x478e…a576 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 18:57 |
| Untimely-Productivity-Transparency 0x24e7…d2e8 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 01:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 20:15:13 | Gruesome-Motorcycle 0x0e92…e6bf | Yes | BUY | 525 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe33d62… |
| 05-16 18:57:30 | Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b647d… |
| 05-16 18:57:26 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x10d08c… |
| 05-16 18:57:23 | Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x16d61f… |
| 05-16 18:57:23 | Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x77e63d… |
| 05-16 18:57:21 | Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x09a0cc… |
| 05-16 18:57:21 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7f7e93… |
| 05-16 18:57:17 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6b8283… |
| 05-16 18:57:17 | Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1df138… |
| 05-16 18:57:14 | Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x44051b… |
| 05-16 18:57:14 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc41359… |
| 05-16 18:57:10 | Great-Temper 0x2d0f…81aa | No | BUY | 466 | 96¢ | $449 | 0x34f6e2… |
| 05-16 18:57:10 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xd54186… |
| 05-16 18:56:46 | Scratchy-Med 0x3e96…b306 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd8a244… |
| 05-16 18:31:50 | Knotty-Persimmon 0x6ff7…a0f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xdb0317… |
| 05-16 18:01:21 | Lone-Remark 0xe2b5…4558 | No | BUY | 70 | 67¢ | $47 | 0xd022bf… |
| 05-16 18:01:21 | Lone-Remark 0xe2b5…4558 | No | BUY | 70 | 67¢ | $47 | 0x415dd4… |
| 05-16 17:05:03 | Crushing-Aquarium 0x1c27…ee11 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x7c1f8f… |
| 05-16 17:03:08 | Crushing-Aquarium 0x1c27…ee11 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x09fe53… |
| 05-16 17:03:03 | Crushing-Aquarium 0x1c27…ee11 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xad5224… |
| 05-16 16:27:52 | Scrawny-Reporter 0xa33d…3ef2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xd36c3e… |
| 05-16 15:54:55 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xdba5a0… |
| 05-16 15:52:10 | Crushing-Aquarium 0x1c27…ee11 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xbca27f… |
| 05-16 15:39:48 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x812aea… |
| 05-16 15:06:51 | Bland-Pounding 0x25af…8cde | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xe34178… |
| 05-16 14:16:51 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x81537f… |
| 05-16 14:16:48 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x38aa22… |
| 05-16 14:16:30 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x3eb59c… |
| 05-16 14:16:27 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x078e1c… |
| 05-16 14:09:18 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6decf9… |
| 05-16 13:34:16 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x8f6a1f… |
| 05-16 12:21:47 | Scientific-Guava 0x49c4…db5b | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x315360… |
| 05-16 09:55:33 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xd8cae3… |
| 05-16 01:06:00 | Untimely-Productivity-Transparency 0x24e7…d2e8 | No | BUY | 3 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x14adc7… |
| 05-16 00:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x9345…b1b1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xc82fd9… |
| 05-15 22:15:26 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x1c8e69… |
| 05-15 20:58:56 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xe4d4b6… |
| 05-15 20:58:49 | Spotted-Collateral 0x5cd3…5b9a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x2d8457… |
| 05-15 18:57:06 | Candid-Mixture 0x478e…a576 | No | BUY | 4 | 79¢ | $3 | 0xef7246… |
| 05-15 18:57:06 | Minty-Object 0x2bf6…24f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x0441db… |
| 05-15 18:57:02 | Frilly-Dinner 0xe66e…601e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x3d3b2c… |
| 05-15 18:57:02 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 14 | 79¢ | $11 | 0x261653… |
| 05-15 18:57:02 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x239d0e… |
| 05-15 17:19:50 | Measly-Meme 0x50d8…0a0e | No | BUY | 8 | 83¢ | $7 | 0x2f6d5c… |
| 05-15 17:19:44 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x5494bd… |
| 05-15 17:09:49 | Careful-Siding 0x65d2…262c | Yes | BUY | 35 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x7ecbc9… |
| 05-15 16:46:42 | (anonymous) 0x3507…71d7 | No | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0x419208… |
| 05-15 16:01:31 | (anonymous) 0x9345…b1b1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xfb74db… |
| 05-15 02:00:21 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x59b5c7… |
| 05-15 00:15:19 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x5a9f86… |
| 05-14 19:44:51 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 24 | 68¢ | $16 | 0xb6028b… |
| 05-14 19:22:19 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x23192b… |
| 05-14 19:06:34 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x1ce8ed… |
| 05-14 11:27:16 | Unusual-Belfry 0xd979…4a18 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x9492d9… |
| 05-14 05:45:12 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xf736a6… |
| 05-14 05:05:41 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x01c785… |