Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$692

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved

149

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$32.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

$929

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 11-11 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

68% 90% -$601

Politics

28% 96% -$45

Sports

2% 100% +$42

Pop-Culture

1% 50% -$101

Tech

0% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	Yes	+478	$450	96¢	$457	+$7	09-18 12:07
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+229	$217	99¢	$226	+$9	10-03 02:04
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?	No	+219	$210	100¢	$218	+$8	11-01 13:25
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+28	$26	99¢	$27	+$1	10-02 22:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	4	$627	426	426	+0	No	+$43	10-06 22:27
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	3	$595	488	132	+356	No	+$16	11-03 06:04
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$558	708	276	+433	No	-$66	10-08 18:24
Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	2	$541	583	0	+583	Yes	-$541	08-15 12:19
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	5	$529	275	275	+0	No	+$20	11-03 06:02
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$523	269	269	+0	No	+$13	11-03 06:02
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?	1	$523	564	0	+564	Yes	+$41	08-10 12:02
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	4	$523	551	0	+551	No	+$28	08-10 14:15
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	3	$523	543	0	+543	Yes	+$20	08-10 12:27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	2	$512	543	0	+543	No	+$31	10-23 18:33
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	1	$512	538	0	+538	Yes	+$26	07-17 19:06
Will Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?	2	$510	544	0	+544	No	+$34	07-18 12:16
Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?	3	$510	544	0	+544	Yes	+$34	07-18 13:28
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	2	$500	548	0	+548	Yes	+$48	08-04 01:32
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	6	$500	541	0	+541	No	+$41	08-04 00:19
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	1	$500	523	0	+523	Yes	+$24	08-01 21:08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?	5	$474	494	0	+494	Yes	+$20	11-01 17:58
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$472	502	0	+502	No	+$30	10-02 18:20
Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	1	$472	506	0	+506	No	+$34	10-02 16:54
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	1	$472	490	0	+490	No	+$18	10-02 16:53
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	2	$471	493	0	+493	No	+$22	10-02 18:06
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	1	$463	487	0	+487	No	+$24	09-28 16:23
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	1	$450	478	0	+478	open	—	09-18 12:07
Will SPD win between 28% and 31% of all valid second votes?	1	$450	473	0	+473	No	+$24	09-18 12:07
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	6	$359	376	0	+376	No	+$17	08-02 16:49
will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	2	$337	234	234	+0	No	-$103	06-29 14:41
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	3	$316	228	228	+0	Yes	-$109	07-02 21:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$315	332	0	+332	Yes	+$17	11-01 17:23
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	3	$308	170	170	+0	open	—	11-03 06:04
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	2	$307	325	0	+325	No	+$18	07-09 08:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 06:59:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x70c233…
11-11 06:43:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x3fac02…
11-11 06:27:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xf9c643…
11-11 05:39:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	48	92¢	$45	0x593fa0…
11-11 05:23:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	140	92¢	$129	0x5e80f8…
11-10 01:42:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0xcf66db…
11-10 01:10:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xe50f5e…
11-09 23:51:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0xeb52c2…
11-09 23:19:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	103	94¢	$97	0xfa1ed9…
11-09 00:02:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x6b2117…
11-08 23:46:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x40ca56…
11-08 23:30:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	85	95¢	$81	0x583083…
11-08 23:14:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	112	95¢	$106	0xd7772b…
11-06 15:55:28	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x517664…
11-06 02:35:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	71	94¢	$67	0x24cf65…
11-06 02:18:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	108	94¢	$101	0x0eb277…
11-06 02:02:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x1d7ef6…
11-05 02:28:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x45b8c8…
11-05 02:11:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x965ead…
11-04 14:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	86	95¢	$82	0x48728f…
11-04 08:07:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0x9ac610…
11-04 07:44:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	72	94¢	$67	0xbd4423…
11-03 06:37:49	Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	127	93¢	$118	0x62e545…
11-03 06:22:10	Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?	No	BUY	131	92¢	$121	0x055d4a…
11-03 06:21:54	Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	95¢	$106	0x5ccebb…
11-03 06:21:39	Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	127	95¢	$121	0x04fbf2…
11-03 06:21:16	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	94¢	$121	0xb960b1…
11-03 06:20:58	Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	127	95¢	$121	0x77f6fb…
11-03 06:20:43	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	95¢	$121	0x2415ca…
11-03 06:20:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0x5a1404…
11-03 06:04:39	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	170	86¢	$146	0xe8175b…
11-03 06:04:00	Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	132	97¢	$127	0x8c8374…
11-03 06:03:18	Will Félix Orlando Gamarra Reyes win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x806168…
11-03 06:02:55	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	269	100¢	$268	0x9e34f9…
11-03 06:02:40	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$275	0xf1d378…
11-02 19:20:04	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	265	95¢	$252	0x44fb4f…
11-01 17:58:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?	Yes	BUY	88	96¢	$85	0x7beffb…
11-01 17:23:54	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	332	95¢	$315	0x109acc…
11-01 17:23:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?	Yes	BUY	87	96¢	$83	0x26e7c4…
11-01 16:57:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xac2f6b…
11-01 16:57:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?	Yes	BUY	87	96¢	$83	0x2fcd21…
11-01 16:41:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?	Yes	BUY	172	96¢	$165	0x510e1e…
11-01 16:11:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?	Yes	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x7d2d20…
11-01 13:25:54	Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x4741fd…
11-01 13:10:54	Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x64a009…
11-01 12:55:55	Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0x88ac8e…
11-01 12:26:12	Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	321	96¢	$308	0x0c331f…
11-01 12:11:18	Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	167	96¢	$159	0x85dd43…
11-01 06:12:06	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	93	93¢	$86	0x56fd08…
11-01 05:55:31	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	79	93¢	$73	0x6bcac8…
11-01 05:40:34	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xfcf417…
11-01 05:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	53	92¢	$49	0x576d38…
11-01 05:10:28	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	269	95¢	$255	0x7a6791…
10-31 20:42:18	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	131	93¢	$122	0x0cf6de…
10-31 20:27:22	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	123	92¢	$113	0x224ef2…
10-28 08:21:07	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	297	93¢	$275	0xe5d540…
10-25 12:20:09	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x4b0ac7…
10-24 21:50:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x26e131…
10-24 07:20:30	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x05a7ff…
10-24 00:13:24	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0xfce6e8…
10-23 23:13:50	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x156a31…
10-23 22:58:44	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0x139bb8…
10-23 18:33:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	514	94¢	$485	0xa54456…
10-23 17:47:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0xa7104c…
10-21 17:50:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	31	91¢	$29	0xae5dde…
10-21 16:42:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	73	93¢	$68	0x408729…
10-21 05:30:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0xa61d80…
10-19 22:06:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0x445b54…
10-19 18:50:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	47	92¢	$43	0xeccd46…
10-19 18:37:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x72612a…
10-19 18:24:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	37	92¢	$35	0x6771c4…
10-19 18:11:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	125	93¢	$117	0x1af8f0…
10-16 07:38:40	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	65	90¢	$59	0x05c193…
10-16 00:21:22	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xb67d5c…
10-16 00:09:19	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	BUY	92	97¢	$89	0xac4ddf…
10-14 04:54:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xa7d7c1…
10-14 04:42:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	99	93¢	$92	0xf05591…
10-14 04:30:43	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	106	93¢	$98	0x33ebbf…
10-14 04:18:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	62	93¢	$57	0x732f70…
10-11 13:35:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x1c5b9e…
10-11 13:23:06	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	108	95¢	$102	0x1859a3…
10-11 04:50:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	146	93¢	$136	0x2184e6…
10-11 04:38:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	142	93¢	$132	0xf9cbbd…
10-10 17:33:43	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	218	93¢	$204	0x6f6207…
10-09 22:10:56	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	No	BUY	139	95¢	$132	0x181b88…
10-09 19:23:26	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?	No	BUY	118	96¢	$113	0x9885f0…
10-09 03:06:06	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	No	BUY	133	97¢	$129	0xdc52eb…
10-08 22:42:29	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$51	0x418101…
10-08 22:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	217	94¢	$204	0xd4b088…
10-08 18:48:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	155	93¢	$145	0x647dfc…
10-08 18:36:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	129	94¢	$121	0x31174c…
10-08 18:30:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x09b1bf…
10-08 18:24:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	433	12¢	$50	0xb6d243…
10-08 18:23:38	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	276	89¢	$246	0x2d4cd4…
10-08 13:31:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	280	93¢	$261	0x3d6dff…
10-07 22:33:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	196	95¢	$186	0xc474f6…
10-07 19:45:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$61	0x275465…
10-07 19:33:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	166	94¢	$156	0x624690…
10-07 17:20:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x3d8464…
10-07 12:03:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	286	93¢	$266	0x48ce8a…