Aggravating-Photodiode — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

Trades

29,423

lifetime

Volume

$180.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-09 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 100% +$14

Other

20% 71% +$6

Politics

7% 100% +$2

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1011 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No		-20	$-18	92¢	$-18	+$0	07-09 01:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	68	$1.2K	1,412	1,163	+248	open	—	03-20 10:28
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	41	$1.1K	1,117	1,111	+6	open	—	03-18 23:30
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 13corhigher	74	$852	896	826	+71	open	—	03-17 05:35
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	18	$748	611	611	+0	open	—	03-11 10:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	28	$693	685	654	+31	open	—	03-11 00:29
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 80 99	34	$676	623	575	+48	open	—	03-16 22:43
btc updown 5m 1776209400	69	$625	994	0	+994	open	—	04-14 23:35
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	25	$544	545	486	+59	open	—	03-19 13:42
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 120 139	44	$543	498	444	+54	open	—	03-17 07:16
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	30	$517	510	510	+0	open	—	03-17 21:05
btc updown 5m 1776218400	65	$500	1,009	0	+1,009	open	—	04-15 02:05
btc updown 15m 1776208500	55	$498	936	0	+936	open	—	04-14 23:30
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	32	$495	517	492	+24	No	+$14	03-19 19:58
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	36	$495	440	440	+0	open	—	03-16 15:23
khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 0 19	15	$494	540	540	+0	open	—	03-18 23:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	37	$494	663	0	+663	open	—	05-26 07:56
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 100 119	27	$493	476	476	+0	open	—	03-16 23:04
btc updown 5m 1776219000	85	$480	1,054	0	+1,054	open	—	04-15 02:15
btc updown 5m 1776211500	63	$451	738	0	+738	open	—	04-15 00:09
will mrbeasts next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4	16	$450	367	260	+107	open	—	03-10 23:03
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 20	29	$442	529	410	+119	open	—	03-19 04:25
will khamenei tweet again on march 18 2026 365 885	38	$439	582	407	+176	open	—	03-18 16:28
highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 12c	24	$432	435	408	+27	open	—	03-17 10:10
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	43	$426	439	397	+42	open	—	03-19 16:10
donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 140 159	22	$423	409	301	+108	open	—	03-10 00:34
btc updown 5m 1776210000	20	$416	572	0	+572	open	—	04-14 23:45
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 17	21	$415	428	384	+44	open	—	03-17 09:59
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	23	$410	520	411	+109	open	—	03-19 10:34
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 11c	26	$408	323	322	+1	open	—	03-17 02:00
btc updown 5m 1776217800	43	$397	590	0	+590	open	—	04-15 01:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 01:42:52	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$18	0x9b91f9…
05-26 12:41:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9c8f07…
05-26 12:40:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xa45521…
05-26 12:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x36b2b1…
05-26 12:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xea82a5…
05-26 12:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x63b5d7…
05-26 12:33:01	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xcd093a…
05-26 12:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xc7f891…
05-26 12:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x5e1d3a…
05-26 12:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x02d5e9…
05-26 12:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc873cc…
05-26 12:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x39cc32…
05-26 12:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb7a476…
05-26 12:29:48	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x5742c6…
05-26 12:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xfdc513…
05-26 12:25:57	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xe79834…
05-26 12:25:52	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x966644…
05-26 12:25:50	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1d61ca…
05-26 12:25:48	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0x74c77d…
05-26 12:25:40	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x34c9ec…
05-26 12:25:10	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x9985d5…
05-26 12:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd496e6…
05-26 12:20:42	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5586b3…
05-26 12:18:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xea8963…
05-26 12:18:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x3582e8…
05-26 12:18:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x1aa854…
05-26 12:18:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xe5a5f5…
05-26 12:18:55	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa8d30e…
05-26 12:18:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x671760…
05-26 12:18:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xca2bc7…
05-26 12:18:36	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbffd4b…
05-26 12:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20282a…
05-26 12:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9cc9d3…
05-26 12:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xecc56a…
05-26 12:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x8d487f…
05-26 12:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x80498f…
05-26 12:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x22009e…
05-26 12:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xff0a5f…
05-26 12:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xff500e…
05-26 12:09:11	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe63792…
05-26 12:08:08	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xb4e361…
05-26 12:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x616cb1…
05-26 12:08:06	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x51a2bb…
05-26 12:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x13d799…
05-26 12:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xe74caf…
05-26 12:07:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xfd74d1…
05-26 12:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xae9e5b…
05-26 12:07:24	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xa5b6f1…
05-26 12:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x417b0d…
05-26 12:07:24	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x02b90b…
05-26 12:07:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x9f7c98…
05-26 12:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x3da8c5…
05-26 12:07:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x729220…
05-26 12:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5762c9…
05-26 12:07:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xbce11d…
05-26 12:07:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xbac37e…
05-26 12:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0x60e12b…
05-26 12:06:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x45bc8a…
05-26 12:06:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x241124…
05-26 12:06:53	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x04b186…
05-26 12:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x76592d…
05-26 12:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x665b36…
05-26 12:06:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x60b82b…
05-26 12:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x45bd4e…
05-26 12:06:40	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x90e4a1…
05-26 12:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x885148…
05-26 12:06:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x71cdc0…
05-26 12:06:40	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x03a1db…
05-26 12:06:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x411d91…
05-26 12:06:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xa1589d…
05-26 12:06:23	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x745007…
05-26 12:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xb18c82…
05-26 12:06:21	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa98d6e…
05-26 12:06:21	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x31595c…
05-26 12:06:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x330378…
05-26 12:06:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xdce3aa…
05-26 12:06:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x513e65…
05-26 12:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x991773…
05-26 12:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x85da41…
05-26 12:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbabe48…
05-26 12:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8ff5b6…
05-26 12:05:53	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1c461c…
05-26 12:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x033537…
05-26 11:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x33aadc…
05-26 11:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa39022…
05-26 11:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xd96709…
05-26 11:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x5c3302…
05-26 11:41:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc6fa29…
05-26 11:41:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x963a17…
05-26 11:41:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x52fa6f…
05-26 11:41:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2caeba…
05-26 11:40:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x40f0fe…
05-26 11:40:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x200d2d…
05-26 11:40:08	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe1ccd9…
05-26 11:40:08	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x63e51e…
05-26 11:33:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x812a87…
05-26 11:26:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x13964b…
05-26 11:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x47cd17…
05-26 11:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x905979…
05-26 11:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1a11a1…