Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
578
lifetime
Volume
$4.80K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$34
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-30 08:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
33%
Politics
29%
Sports
25%
Other
12% 100% +$3
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -10 $-6 64¢ $-6 $-0 07-01 03:44
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -10 $-6 57¢ $-6 +$0 07-01 03:35
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-6 55¢ $-5 +$1 06-08 01:06
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 $-0 07-01 03:40
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 06-08 06:23
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -2 $-2 92¢ $-2 +$0 07-01 03:35
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -2 $-2 84¢ $-2 +$0 06-30 08:50
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-15 01:01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 15:58
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 16:55
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 $-0 06-24 15:52
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +1 $1 79¢ $1 $-0 06-26 07:11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 16:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -10 $-4 $-0 +$4 06-26 23:14
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +15 $0 $0 $-0 05-31 12:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -5 $-5 $-0 +$5 06-16 14:23