Realized P&L
-$185
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
71.6%
Resolved
7,226
Trades
8,749
lifetime
Volume
$6.98K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$25
20 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 11-05 12:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Other
58% 57% -$46
Crypto
36% 3% -$106
Politics
3% 40% -$6
Sports
2% 48% -$28
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 87¢ $3 +$0 10-28 08:55
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 11-04 12:12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 11-05 12:31
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-13 09:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? No +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 10-23 09:08
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? No +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 11-05 08:37
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 10-14 08:29
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +4 $3 26¢ $1 -$2 11-04 20:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $3 76¢ $1 -$2 11-05 12:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-22 11:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 11-02 08:52
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 11-02 08:55
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 57¢ $1 +$0 10-13 09:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 10-28 12:29
will russia enter bilozerske by december 31 2026 No +1 $1 69¢ $1 +$0 10-14 19:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 41¢ $1 -$1 10-29 09:08
next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by november 30 2026 No +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 10-15 08:53
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 $0 10-13 09:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 $0 10-21 19:58
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +40 $1 1¢ $1 -$1 10-03 19:11