Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
76.2%
Resolved
506
Trades
593
lifetime
Volume
$1.63K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$16
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 09-01 06:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 142 days
Categories
Other
81% 67% +$8
Tech
9% 80% +$1
Politics
4% 62% -$9
Crypto
3% 86% -$4
Sports
3% 82% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -6 -$6 97¢ $-6 $0 08-27 09:48
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -3 -$3 96¢ $-3 $0 08-28 09:21
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -3 -$3 95¢ $-3 $0 05-20 05:57
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -3 -$3 98¢ $-3 +$0 08-27 09:48
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -3 -$1 56¢ $-2 -$1 09-01 06:38