Winding-Perfume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

Trades

500

lifetime

Volume

$1.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-26 08:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

81% 81% $-1

Tech

8% — —

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Sports

4% 0% $-3

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	7	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	03-25 07:29
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	5	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	02-23 08:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-09 09:48
cdr alb fcb 2026 02 03 fcb	2	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	02-03 18:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-26 08:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-16 06:07
Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in April?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-28 10:45
will google have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 08:54
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-06 13:39
Will Seattle have between 4.5 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-28 10:45
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-07 06:56
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 160 179	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-30 06:41
lal bar ovi 2026 01 25 bar	3	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	01-25 11:47
lal bar ray 2026 03 22 bar	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-22 14:50
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-25 07:30
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$8	3	5	-2	open	—	01-23 10:24
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 160 179	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-18 13:18
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-12 10:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-30 06:42
cdr rrc fcb 2026 01 15 fcb	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	01-15 09:37
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	01-23 10:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-22 06:06
lw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt63	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-01 12:46
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-23 08:32
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-25 07:30
will february 2026 be the 1st hottest on record	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-23 08:32
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-12 10:03
will trump deport 750000 1000000 people	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-23 08:32
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:35
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	2	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-15 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 08:04:25	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3ff591…
05-26 08:03:59	Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8d00b1…
05-21 06:12:23	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Thomas Faurel	Dalibor Svrcina	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xbe3f81…
05-20 05:58:45	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Federico Cina vs Bernard Tomic	Federico Cina	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xfc9725…
05-15 06:53:20	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x244265…
05-14 05:59:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb3327a…
05-14 05:59:51	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi	Casper Ruud	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x325319…
05-14 05:59:44	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3ac614…
05-13 06:03:53	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Casper Ruud	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc2247b…
05-13 06:02:43	Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Dominik Palan	Keegan Smith	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x0bff2e…
05-12 09:51:24	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tien	Rafael Jodar	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x450068…
05-12 09:51:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrea Pellegrino	Jannik Sinner	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x58a627…
05-12 09:50:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x0f2cf0…
05-12 09:49:39	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x753ae9…
05-11 06:07:47	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	Coco Gauff	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xe81a9d…
05-11 06:07:37	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x8c2ad8…
05-11 06:07:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	Jannik Sinner	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x80de9b…
05-11 06:07:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Andrey Rublev	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xdc05e7…
05-08 06:29:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nuno Borges vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x04b650…
05-08 06:28:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi	Alex de Minaur	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5de4d2…
05-08 06:28:38	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xdd4437…
05-07 06:06:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x857033…
05-06 07:34:40	WTT - Men's Singles: South Korea vs Austria	Korea	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xce3ea9…
05-06 07:34:12	WTT - Men's Singles: Romania vs China	China	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdd8259…
05-05 08:01:52	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x7f8088…
05-04 06:44:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2a4519…
04-30 05:58:46	Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x614fa8…
04-30 05:58:02	Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx	Casper Ruud	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa0ac88…
04-29 06:01:18	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	Jannik Sinner	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xc812d7…
04-29 06:00:10	Jiujiang: Tung-Lin Wu vs Rigele Te	Tung-Lin Wu	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x14469f…
04-28 15:16:40	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xb754fc…
04-28 15:16:18	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xea82e9…
04-28 15:14:10	Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x7ae0f6…
04-28 10:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 29?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcf90a7…
04-28 10:47:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1bca62…
04-28 10:46:22	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x00d54e…
04-28 10:46:12	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc04514…
04-28 10:46:06	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3da3d5…
04-28 10:45:48	Will Seattle have between 4.5 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3b1b6f…
04-28 10:45:38	Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x84ed8c…
04-28 10:45:08	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xc6b9fb…
04-28 10:45:02	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5a3bc6…
04-28 10:44:46	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1c9b97…
04-28 10:44:18	Shymkent 2: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Dali Blanch	Dali Blanch	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x33656a…
04-27 07:56:52	Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A	LPH Gaming	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x1604fc…
04-27 07:55:48	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x7f24e7…
04-27 07:55:28	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0e67eb…
04-27 06:04:54	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x1e0149…
04-27 06:04:44	Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x3fb408…
04-24 08:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2977f2…
04-24 08:51:28	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd436ca…
04-24 08:51:14	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xe7e693…
04-24 08:50:48	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x557079…
04-24 08:50:32	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x781425…
04-24 08:50:20	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xb0d154…
04-22 08:56:10	Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1b3a8d…
04-22 08:55:12	Shymkent: Radu Albot vs Antoine Ghibaudo	Antoine Ghibaudo	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9c1f90…
04-22 08:53:54	intc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 0	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x5a5073…
04-22 06:08:48	fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 psg	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xdbdddc…
04-22 06:08:06	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb7c4c8…
04-22 06:07:30	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 18c	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x43407c…
04-22 06:06:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x42f339…
04-22 06:05:26	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 bar	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x0e01b5…
04-22 06:04:30	Shymkent: Radu Albot vs Antoine Ghibaudo	Antoine Ghibaudo	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xee74ab…
04-20 06:05:00	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 12c	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7814fe…
04-18 13:18:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0x9c96cb…
04-18 13:18:20	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 160 179	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7f2120…
04-18 13:18:02	Will Hong Kong have between 170-180mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb13641…
04-18 13:17:44	bun b04 aug 2026 04 18 b04	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x321b62…
04-17 06:04:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x369a7d…
04-17 06:04:10	Will Seattle have between 4.5 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1d0bf8…
04-17 06:03:10	bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x9ce118…
04-17 06:02:44	epl lee wol 2026 04 18 lee	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x0a73e3…
04-17 06:01:50	sea juv bol 2026 04 19 juv	Yes	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x6d3f65…
04-17 06:01:00	sea int cag 2026 04 17 int	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x6af2f5…
04-16 06:07:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xcbbb11…
04-16 06:07:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7cf3be…
04-16 06:06:46	uel cel4 scf 2026 04 16 cel4	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x07e03a…
04-16 06:06:38	uel cel4 scf 2026 04 16 scf	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x5c32e4…
04-16 06:06:30	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 bet1	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x08abb6…
04-16 06:06:20	uel ast4 bol 2026 04 16 ast4	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x23765b…
04-16 06:06:02	col az shd 2026 04 16 az	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcf67bc…
04-16 06:05:56	col aek1 ray 2026 04 16 aek1	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaa2019…
04-15 06:07:28	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 160 179	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x610d73…
04-15 06:06:40	Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa8d526…
04-15 06:06:10	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x26f5fc…
04-15 06:05:56	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 spo1	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0x9d9b16…
04-15 06:05:40	wta ferro cirstea 2026 04 13	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x59f984…
04-14 08:58:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7a0d2b…
04-14 08:57:47	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 liv1	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x61a2ab…
04-14 08:57:43	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x4984c2…
04-14 08:57:27	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x95cf84…
04-14 08:57:03	atp zhou kotov 2026 04 12	Pavel Kotov	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x0a1414…
04-14 08:56:43	highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 17c	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x57945c…
04-13 06:10:45	Sentio FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4704d5…
04-13 06:10:05	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 190 214	No	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0x869ca4…
04-13 06:08:43	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xea207e…
04-13 06:08:33	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xbee93b…
04-13 06:08:13	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$2	0xe76b34…
04-13 06:08:07	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x93adeb…