Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$169

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-28

last 11-07 10:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

78% 55% -$7

Politics

19% 61% +$4

Tech

2% 50% +$1

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No		+2	$1	56¢	$1	+$0	11-06 22:44
Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026?	No		+2	$1	52¢	$1	$0	11-07 10:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 20:34
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-30 00:56
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:13
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-14 07:04
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-21 14:08
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$2	09-07 23:41
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 21?	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	09-20 21:47
will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-24 00:09
will warsh say labor force during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-16 12:51
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-03 10:05
will wti dip to 95 by september 7 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$3	09-10 01:02
shipping targeted in hormuz on september 23 2026 20260917	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	09-18 04:57
will nvda dip to 216 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-29 14:44
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-24 01:39
spy closes above 755 on september 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-17 05:14
Will Andy Burnham say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-01 17:49
will pltr reach 177 by august 17 2026	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-17 04:17
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-16 04:05
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-23 15:58
will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-14 13:34
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-13 14:24
will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-14 15:07
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-23 07:53
wti up or down on september 15 2026	1	$2	10	+10	Up	-$2	09-15 08:04
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-13 23:02
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-14 23:16
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-03 08:00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-10 09:03
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-01 07:09
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	8	+8	No	+$6	08-06 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 10:37:25	Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaf14c0…
11-06 22:44:51	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x941cbf…
11-06 14:24:57	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $275 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x199811…
11-06 01:31:18	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbac141…
11-05 13:21:57	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x197dbd…
11-05 02:53:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5ddde0…
11-03 12:15:45	Will Uber say "Advertising" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbab13c…
11-03 04:02:01	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7c6bec…
11-01 19:40:58	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0be4f7…
10-22 12:33:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf12d8d…
10-17 16:11:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5ebb81…
10-16 12:25:52	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbfd90c…
10-15 14:07:34	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2f7e9c…
10-14 05:23:16	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4d0386…
10-13 21:22:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x418edc…
10-10 12:50:13	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa9669d…
10-09 11:16:13	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xadb9b5…
10-09 03:14:44	spx up or down on october 9 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x389da3…
10-08 19:13:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x50c2a8…
10-08 12:14:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd8c628…
10-08 03:55:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x033636…
10-07 17:18:34	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa9f38c…
10-07 16:36:37	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9c07cb…
10-07 05:17:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x655d61…
10-06 21:15:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x63b56b…
10-06 12:57:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbb6138…
10-06 04:56:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe4e943…
10-05 15:19:26	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb5f894…
10-05 00:47:53	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf0da46…
10-03 05:06:51	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8a99bc…
10-02 14:49:47	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe24055…
10-02 05:39:12	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe2600f…
10-01 11:40:54	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x92cc67…
10-01 11:40:50	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x607ff7…
10-01 11:38:11	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb1f66d…
10-01 03:37:36	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2a4ada…
09-30 18:57:36	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc063d7…
09-29 17:27:03	will tsla reach 360 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcbb514…
09-29 09:26:53	will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe269e9…
09-29 01:21:05	will meta dip to 680 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x16dee9…
09-28 15:39:02	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe5dfae…
09-28 05:07:39	will coin dip to 177 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x00c4dd…
09-27 21:04:44	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7d1869…
09-27 05:58:41	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1b0ab8…
09-26 19:06:27	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe1a2bd…
09-26 07:23:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4370c2…
09-25 20:59:44	will ewy dip to 182 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd9367b…
09-24 00:09:34	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdd2bfb…
09-23 15:58:53	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xddce92…
09-23 07:53:41	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2342a0…
09-21 22:08:57	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe18ffa…
09-21 14:08:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x69da67…
09-21 06:00:42	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8d08b8…
09-20 21:47:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 21?	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x555fa5…
09-19 07:13:06	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x026709…
09-18 04:57:28	shipping targeted in hormuz on september 23 2026 20260917	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x40f659…
09-17 19:26:49	will xauusd dip to 4300 by september 14 2026 from september 17	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc97e6e…
09-17 05:14:45	spy closes above 755 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x22eabe…
09-16 20:52:16	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc523cd…
09-16 12:51:27	will warsh say labor force during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x94e9f0…
09-16 04:05:00	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x50a71d…
09-15 08:04:30	wti up or down on september 15 2026	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x435d0e…
09-14 23:16:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x90f303…
09-14 15:07:04	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x58fac3…
09-14 07:05:39	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x3648b6…
09-14 07:04:33	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbf8888…
09-13 23:02:57	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x8fc0c0…
09-10 09:03:46	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2308ab…
09-10 01:02:22	will wti dip to 95 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xf73059…
09-07 23:41:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x120ac9…
09-07 08:50:57	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x9d2ac0…
09-04 00:10:30	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf1aa25…
09-03 08:00:43	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x474408…
09-02 12:40:52	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x66b2ec…
09-01 17:49:12	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdbd1e5…
09-01 07:09:57	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7fd4bb…
08-29 22:46:57	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf3277e…
08-29 14:44:19	will nvda dip to 216 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x572035…
08-24 01:39:31	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x97013c…
08-24 01:12:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x7185da…
08-23 01:24:46	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x17903c…
08-22 14:19:12	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x48e425…
08-22 04:50:33	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb9ab6f…
08-17 04:17:25	will pltr reach 177 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xd3c716…
08-14 13:34:16	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x661d1e…
08-13 14:24:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x9094c8…
08-13 06:23:24	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xe00452…
08-06 18:45:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6350b4…
08-06 10:44:41	xauusd up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x549f21…
08-05 02:26:45	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x066b6c…
08-04 18:25:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x939dbd…
08-04 10:22:47	met quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 2pt29	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd1cb59…
08-04 02:21:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc87389…
08-03 18:05:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xf280cf…
08-03 10:05:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x0eff54…
08-02 21:08:05	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xa3d176…
08-02 00:02:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x06ecdb…
08-01 15:47:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x4fb9c8…
08-01 04:40:06	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc9d87b…
07-31 20:34:26	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdfa7ad…