Scaly-Nucleotide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

119

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$4.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$79

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-17 13:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

78% 79% +$388

Crypto

17% 38% -$366

Sports

5% 56% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes		+256	$100	29¢	$73	-$27	10-17 13:25
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+183	$10	3¢	$6	-$4	10-17 13:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 1pt5	1	$372	505	+505	Over	+$133	07-09 20:11
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 17?	2	$362	407	+407	No	-$362	05-17 10:42
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$304	341	+341	France	+$38	06-30 20:33
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners second half total 5pt5	1	$187	304	+304	Over	+$117	06-30 17:48
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Canada	1	$153	173	+173	Canada	+$21	05-24 15:42
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total away 0pt5	1	$152	190	+190	Under	+$38	06-23 21:17
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia	1	$130	153	+153	Czechia	+$23	05-23 14:36
atp meza ambrogi 2026 03 31 match total 23pt5	1	$130	131	+131	Over	+$1	03-31 20:49
World Championships: Germany vs. Hungary	1	$116	130	+130	Germany	+$14	05-22 05:16
atp bennan halys 2026 03 30 match total 23pt5	1	$109	111	+111	Over	+$2	03-30 16:21
atp barrena varilla 2026 03 26 match total 21pt5	2	$108	109	+109	Over	+$1	03-26 22:51
atp etcheve gomez 2026 03 31 match total 21pt5	1	$104	105	+105	Over	+$1	03-31 20:33
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$100	256	+256	open	—	10-17 13:25
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$100	122	+122	Yes	+$22	05-14 12:34
atp santos bueno 2026 03 30 match total 21pt5	1	$99	100	+100	Over	+$1	03-30 21:59
atp santos bueno 2026 03 30 match total 22pt5	1	$99	100	+100	Over	+$1	03-30 21:55
wta kuderme oliynyk 2026 03 31 match total 23pt5	1	$99	100	+100	Over	+$1	03-31 20:30
atp martine busta 2026 03 27 match total 23pt5	1	$99	99	+99	Over	+$0	03-27 14:44
wta stearns kessler 2026 04 02 match total 21pt5	1	$96	97	+97	Over	+$1	04-02 16:24
wta osorio ortenzi 2026 04 01 match total 23pt5	1	$94	95	+95	Over	+$1	04-02 19:44
wta ribera tikhono 2026 03 29 match total 23pt5	1	$94	95	+95	Over	+$1	03-29 20:51
nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29 total 7pt5	1	$94	95	+95	Under	+$1	03-29 18:39
wta osorio ortenzi 2026 04 01 match total 22pt5	1	$94	95	+95	Over	+$1	04-02 19:37
atp bolt andrade 2026 03 29 match total 23pt5	1	$89	90	+90	Over	+$1	03-29 20:08
atp basavar draxl 2026 03 31 match total 23pt5	1	$89	90	+90	Over	+$1	03-31 20:35
wta ortenzi riera 2026 04 03 match total 22pt5	1	$89	90	+90	Over	+$1	04-03 17:20
wta ortenzi riera 2026 04 03 match total 21pt5	1	$89	90	+90	Over	+$1	04-03 17:16
atp gomez tabur 2026 03 29 match total 22pt5	1	$85	86	+86	Over	+$1	03-29 17:43
atp basavar draxl 2026 03 31 match total 22pt5	1	$84	85	+85	Over	+$1	03-31 20:22
atp winegar alujas 2026 03 31 match total 21pt5	1	$83	84	+84	Over	+$1	03-31 21:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 13:25:29	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xae731d…
10-17 13:24:27	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	183	5¢	$10	0x467198…
07-09 20:11:16	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	505	74¢	$372	0xb940b2…
07-07 17:45:07	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xba2f0a…
07-06 20:54:56	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x784b48…
07-06 18:17:02	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xba6dfb…
07-04 18:50:43	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x2621ca…
06-30 20:33:46	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	341	89¢	$304	0x3174eb…
06-30 17:48:46	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners second half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	304	61¢	$187	0xcfdcac…
06-23 21:17:46	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	190	80¢	$152	0x0c0334…
06-11 19:43:45	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0x0bdf5d…
05-24 15:42:13	World Championships: Slovakia vs. Canada	Canada	BUY	173	88¢	$153	0x7aba54…
05-23 14:36:52	World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia	Czechia	BUY	153	85¢	$130	0x6f7ce4…
05-22 05:16:23	World Championships: Germany vs. Hungary	Germany	BUY	130	89¢	$116	0xb8b5c8…
05-21 15:18:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xbed68e…
05-21 04:19:15	World Championships: Denmark vs. Slovakia	Denmark	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xef8625…
05-20 18:27:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x63f397…
05-20 18:27:35	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x6d0b6b…
05-20 18:27:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc18ecf…
05-17 10:42:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3bc25e…
05-17 10:40:52	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	406	89¢	$361	0x48c9c7…
05-17 10:26:22	World Championships: Italy vs. Slovakia	Italy	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x5fe756…
05-14 18:27:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x92f571…
05-14 18:27:15	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x861aad…
05-14 18:13:25	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x940799…
05-14 12:34:56	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x9c0015…
05-12 15:03:08	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	94	3¢	$3	0xad5956…
05-12 15:02:59	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xfaa97b…
05-12 15:02:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xd861da…
05-06 20:28:15	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xae12b6…
05-06 16:40:54	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x93a616…
05-06 16:40:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4013bf…
05-05 19:24:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0x6361af…
05-05 19:24:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	433	1¢	$5	0xee7cc4…
05-05 19:24:12	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	262	2¢	$5	0xc5d569…
05-05 19:23:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x50ffa2…
05-05 19:23:42	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x6ac156…
04-28 06:09:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xb49b96…
04-21 14:29:46	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x3fc93e…
04-21 14:29:34	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x6e107f…
04-21 14:29:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xf8a1a0…
04-21 14:29:10	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x65e728…
04-03 17:20:41	wta ortenzi riera 2026 04 03 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x5d8a3c…
04-03 17:16:11	wta ortenzi riera 2026 04 03 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xac3a5c…
04-03 10:00:09	atp callejo paulson 2026 04 03 first set total 8pt5	Under	BUY	796	0¢	$1	0x0fa926…
04-02 19:44:29	wta osorio ortenzi 2026 04 01 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x223bbf…
04-02 19:37:09	wta osorio ortenzi 2026 04 01 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x228349…
04-02 16:24:47	wta stearns kessler 2026 04 02 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0xaaee2c…
03-31 21:34:41	atp winegar alujas 2026 03 31 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x5e7090…
03-31 20:49:29	atp meza ambrogi 2026 03 31 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xec1bce…
03-31 20:35:53	atp basavar draxl 2026 03 31 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x5f3790…
03-31 20:33:27	atp etcheve gomez 2026 03 31 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x94e838…
03-31 20:30:39	wta kuderme oliynyk 2026 03 31 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xec5434…
03-31 20:22:29	atp basavar draxl 2026 03 31 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x4d9191…
03-30 22:06:19	atp villanu aboian 2026 03 30 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x28751e…
03-30 21:59:03	atp santos bueno 2026 03 30 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x391e5e…
03-30 21:55:51	atp santos bueno 2026 03 30 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfd9cda…
03-30 16:21:05	atp bennan halys 2026 03 30 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	111	99¢	$109	0xfc0878…
03-30 13:02:30	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	125	2¢	$2	0x89badf…
03-29 20:51:52	wta ribera tikhono 2026 03 29 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xfe2ea7…
03-29 20:08:10	atp bolt andrade 2026 03 29 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x3138b6…
03-29 19:30:28	atp draxl galarne 2026 03 29 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x5a5f78…
03-29 18:39:14	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x56d6eb…
03-29 17:53:26	atp jones blanc 2026 03 29 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x37dce3…
03-29 17:43:16	atp gomez tabur 2026 03 29 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xb3a49b…
03-29 17:42:34	atp gomez tabur 2026 03 29 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9e30b7…
03-29 09:51:54	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	961	0¢	$1	0xeb9514…
03-28 21:17:02	nhl ana edm 2026 03 28 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9b0959…
03-28 21:12:56	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1814ec…
03-28 19:01:50	nhl ott tb 2026 03 28 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x229d8d…
03-28 19:01:18	nhl fla nyi 2026 03 28 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe4a8b9…
03-27 18:06:33	wta sherif gormaz 2026 03 27 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2c7038…
03-27 14:44:53	atp martine busta 2026 03 27 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xe6db83…
03-26 23:03:45	atp barrena varilla 2026 03 26 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5d6054…
03-26 22:51:47	atp barrena varilla 2026 03 26 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x14f6a5…
03-26 22:43:35	atp barrena varilla 2026 03 26 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xafd324…
03-25 18:41:15	wta rybakin pegula 2026 03 25 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x666951…
03-25 15:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4f9438…
03-25 15:02:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1b5900…
03-25 14:54:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xed9c5c…
03-25 14:53:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeec0d9…
03-24 13:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x08d1a6…
03-24 12:48:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x8c4015…
03-24 12:45:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x192f37…
03-24 08:44:53	uef tur rom 2026 03 26 tur	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x4fe132…
03-24 08:44:15	uef den mac 2026 03 26 den	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x77a20a…
03-24 08:44:03	uef ita nir 2026 03 26 ita	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x3e2df2…
03-24 08:41:53	bitcoin above 70k on march 24	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x70df9b…
03-23 17:26:11	cehl kom dyn 2026 03 23	Dynamo Pardubice	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xeec98f…
03-23 17:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x9cc581…
03-23 17:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1b5628…
03-23 17:07:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xca0ecd…
03-23 17:06:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xfc164b…
03-23 17:02:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x9640e5…
03-23 17:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x503705…
03-23 16:54:51	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd2059a…
03-22 18:31:11	solana up or down march 22 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x38f9cf…
03-22 18:22:17	solana up or down march 22 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xdfd967…
03-22 18:05:03	Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xe253e1…
03-22 11:53:37	bitcoin above 68k on march 22	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x28255d…