Uncommon-Jailhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$45

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

274

lifetime

Volume

$7.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$1.89K

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 07-17 13:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

84% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

7% 0% $-4

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+4,018	$1,823	46¢	$1.9K	+$45	07-17 13:11
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	-32	$-20	66¢	$-21	$-0	06-13 12:11
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	-5	$-4	92¢	$-4	$-0	06-13 12:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$2.1K	1,377	1,377	+0	open	—	07-10 21:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$1.8K	4,018	0	+4,018	open	—	07-17 13:11
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	1	$614	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	07-06 17:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$513	789	0	+789	open	—	07-05 15:20
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	3	$415	10,810	0	+10,810	open	—	06-18 00:12
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	2	$355	323	323	+0	open	—	07-11 21:27
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	1	$300	458	0	+458	open	—	05-30 15:25
starmer out by june 22 2026	3	$242	613	0	+613	open	—	06-21 16:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	05-25 15:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$35	21	21	+0	open	—	04-25 15:56
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$29	0	36	-36	open	—	06-13 12:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$25	0	32	-32	open	—	06-13 12:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	05-23 18:46
btc updown 5m 1774630500	4	$21	17	16	+0	open	—	03-27 17:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	1	$20	0	32	-32	open	—	06-13 12:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	2,857	0	+2,857	open	—	06-16 19:18
btc updown 5m 1774635600	4	$16	16	16	+0	open	—	03-27 18:22
btc updown 5m 1774736700	4	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	03-28 22:29
btc updown 5m 1774635900	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	03-27 18:28
btc updown 5m 1774580100	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-27 03:02
btc updown 5m 1774628100	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-27 16:21
btc updown 5m 1774634100	3	$14	16	9	+7	open	—	03-27 17:57
btc updown 5m 1774627200	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-27 16:06
btc updown 5m 1774638600	3	$14	17	10	+8	open	—	03-27 19:12
btc updown 5m 1774629000	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	03-27 16:34
btc updown 5m 1774629900	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-27 16:51
btc updown 5m 1774638900	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-27 19:21
btc updown 5m 1774638000	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-27 19:07
btc updown 5m 1774665900	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-28 02:50
btc updown 5m 1774636800	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-27 18:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 13:11:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,592	49¢	$780	0xf6e8dd…
07-17 01:52:31	btc updown 5m 1784253000	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x9abd5e…
07-17 01:50:54	btc updown 5m 1784253000	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x247f92…
07-17 01:50:46	btc updown 5m 1784253000	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xd172b8…
07-17 01:50:15	btc updown 5m 1784253000	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xec9e9c…
07-17 01:47:52	btc updown 5m 1784252700	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbd1c5e…
07-17 01:46:43	btc updown 5m 1784252700	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x154f0d…
07-16 18:13:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	652	46¢	$300	0x5b0822…
07-16 17:38:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	667	45¢	$300	0xbbef47…
07-11 21:27:02	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	SELL	323	48¢	$155	0x32fdc7…
07-11 15:14:29	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x5492fb…
07-10 21:12:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,377	94¢	$1,294	0xf0b101…
07-07 11:54:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,108	40¢	$443	0x257f27…
07-06 17:02:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1,077	57¢	$614	0x67b24d…
07-05 15:20:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	789	65¢	$513	0x56d2f5…
06-21 16:44:07	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	114	41¢	$47	0x9fcaa8…
06-21 16:43:17	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	210	43¢	$90	0x2173d4…
06-21 14:28:56	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	289	36¢	$105	0x888ccd…
06-18 00:12:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe0350a…
06-16 19:18:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,857	1¢	$20	0x6c5cdc…
06-13 12:13:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	284	37¢	$105	0x0c61d6…
06-13 12:12:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	32	78¢	$25	0x0b9a0f…
06-13 12:11:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x20a64f…
06-13 12:11:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	82¢	$29	0x080395…
06-13 12:11:30	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	32	64¢	$20	0x5195dc…
06-13 12:11:21	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xe409d9…
06-12 18:29:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0xda459e…
06-12 17:12:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0x7e724e…
06-11 21:54:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	279	57¢	$159	0xcb28fd…
06-01 17:41:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	145	62¢	$90	0x64898b…
05-30 15:26:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	526	57¢	$300	0xab1cba…
05-30 15:25:09	Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	458	66¢	$300	0x958dfd…
05-29 18:13:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x49cc0c…
05-25 15:29:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x12a530…
05-23 23:52:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x6fc670…
05-23 18:46:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	15	88¢	$14	0x074d17…
04-25 15:57:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x062889…
04-25 15:57:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb54f87…
04-25 15:56:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xa75eb1…
04-18 13:28:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x60a1e5…
03-30 15:02:43	btc updown 5m 1774882800	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x029272…
03-30 02:06:46	btc updown 5m 1774836300	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x6cb284…
03-30 01:49:48	btc updown 15m 1774835100	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x77a46f…
03-30 00:24:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x936412…
03-30 00:20:04	btc updown 15m 1774829700	Down	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xd642df…
03-30 00:16:54	btc updown 15m 1774829700	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe88110…
03-30 00:06:16	btc updown 5m 1774829100	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xbf8927…
03-30 00:06:04	btc updown 5m 1774829100	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x927b77…
03-29 20:14:46	btc updown 4h 1774814400	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc19562…
03-29 16:40:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb03a3c…
03-29 16:40:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xbb0b4a…
03-29 16:11:52	btc updown 4h 1774800000	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x92904f…
03-29 15:35:52	btc updown 5m 1774798500	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xb31c42…
03-29 15:35:40	btc updown 5m 1774798500	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7aab24…
03-29 01:49:02	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x523f5e…
03-29 01:17:14	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xad397f…
03-29 01:14:56	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x528d21…
03-29 01:14:08	btc updown 4h 1774742400	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x41156d…
03-29 00:36:48	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x444940…
03-29 00:25:04	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x7c8f1d…
03-29 00:06:24	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4fb3e4…
03-29 00:00:14	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x8347c2…
03-28 23:34:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xcc873e…
03-28 23:07:32	btc updown 5m 1774739100	Up	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xc864ab…
03-28 23:07:20	btc updown 5m 1774739100	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xef5d33…
03-28 23:05:56	btc updown 5m 1774739100	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa8b02f…
03-28 23:01:38	btc updown 5m 1774738500	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x79bfec…
03-28 23:00:48	btc updown 5m 1774738800	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x71f125…
03-28 22:56:40	btc updown 5m 1774738500	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xc913d8…
03-28 22:52:46	btc updown 5m 1774738200	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x12f093…
03-28 22:50:20	btc updown 5m 1774737900	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x59639e…
03-28 22:48:16	btc updown 5m 1774737900	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf6b20e…
03-28 22:36:44	btc updown 5m 1774737300	Down	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x4f3c7d…
03-28 22:36:18	btc updown 5m 1774737000	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0xd2edbc…
03-28 22:35:50	btc updown 5m 1774737300	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0xf39920…
03-28 22:35:22	btc updown 5m 1774737300	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x981955…
03-28 22:33:52	btc updown 5m 1774737000	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9ec860…
03-28 22:32:06	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xa62e0b…
03-28 22:29:38	btc updown 5m 1774736700	Down	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x000da4…
03-28 22:28:12	btc updown 5m 1774736700	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe12db0…
03-28 22:26:48	btc updown 5m 1774736700	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0xf39f1f…
03-28 22:25:34	btc updown 5m 1774736700	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x72fac6…
03-28 22:16:28	btc updown 5m 1774736100	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x2f1eea…
03-28 22:15:16	btc updown 5m 1774736100	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf7eef1…
03-28 22:13:30	btc updown 5m 1774735800	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x21930e…
03-28 22:13:02	btc updown 5m 1774735800	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x15aaa7…
03-28 22:07:40	btc updown 5m 1774735500	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5efb94…
03-28 22:02:28	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x685a84…
03-28 22:01:34	btc updown 5m 1774735200	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x40a310…
03-28 22:00:36	btc updown 5m 1774735200	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x5408cb…
03-28 21:59:24	btc updown 5m 1774734900	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0xf2d942…
03-28 21:58:04	btc updown 5m 1774734900	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xae2df2…
03-28 21:55:30	btc updown 5m 1774734900	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xcdf4fb…
03-28 21:55:20	btc updown 5m 1774734900	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe37a73…
03-28 21:50:24	btc updown 5m 1774734600	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x30a9cc…
03-28 19:25:22	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa72d64…
03-28 19:17:12	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc36c9b…
03-28 18:10:31	btc updown 5m 1774721400	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x624faa…
03-28 18:06:13	btc updown 5m 1774720800	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1e541a…
03-28 18:03:41	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x53148b…