Fearful-Conflict — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,232 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$8.13K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 07-07 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 68% -$23

Other

21% 48% -$39

Sports

7% 47% -$47

Politics

2% 42% -$8

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+19	$4	4¢	$1	-$3	07-03 00:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+5	$4	10¢	$0	-$4	06-25 04:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on june 10 2026	6	$24	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	06-10 15:22
cs2 tyloo lgc 2026 06 09	2	$22	14	14	+0	Legacy	+$2	06-09 15:37
cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	2	$21	12	12	+0	Legacy	+$1	06-08 18:32
cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09	2	$20	18	18	+0	B8	$0	06-09 18:24
will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	5	$20	28	22	+6	Yes	$0	07-01 16:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-11 09:26
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7am et	4	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	06-09 11:49
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2am et	3	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	06-08 06:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 05:35 UTC	4	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	06-08 05:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 06:35 UTC	3	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	06-08 06:38
dota2 lgd liquid 2026 06 05	2	$16	5	15	-10	LGD Gaming	+$1	06-05 13:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	6	$15	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-08 21:44
fif hkg mng 2026 06 05 total 1pt5	3	$14	10	5	+5	Over	+$0	06-05 12:49
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 4.5	3	$14	10	5	+5	Under	+$0	06-05 12:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 03:40 UTC	3	$13	10	5	+5	Up	+$1	06-08 03:43
Parma: Alycia Parks vs Mary Stoiana	4	$13	10	10	+0	Alycia Parks	-$2	05-11 17:20
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	4	$13	10	10	+0	No	-$3	05-23 18:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-09 16:00 UTC	3	$12	10	5	+5	Up	-$3	06-09 18:58
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread home 3pt5	2	$12	8	8	+0	Spurs	+$2	06-11 01:32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic	4	$12	10	10	+0	Dino Prizmic	+$2	05-08 17:40
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	3	$12	14	14	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	-$2	05-13 02:13
cs2 tyloo lgc 2026 06 09 game2	2	$12	7	7	+0	Legacy	+$2	06-09 15:44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$12	29	18	+11	No	$0	07-02 21:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 12:37
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 19:00 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	06-08 19:03
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	2	$11	11	11	+0	No	+$2	05-18 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	06-08 18:39
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$10	8	8	+0	G2	+$0	05-12 12:29
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-15 07:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 22:45:28	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x0b38a7…
07-06 15:48:41	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x2f4c51…
07-06 01:43:26	will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	No	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0xb67c36…
07-05 23:50:11	England to score first vs. Mexico?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x5729e6…
07-05 16:44:01	bkfibaqas sau qat 2026 07 05	Saudi Arabia	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x2aeafa…
07-05 10:41:58	bkfibaqas sau qat 2026 07 05	Saudi Arabia	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3ef17f…
07-04 20:01:05	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xe999d9…
07-04 19:51:34	atp tiafoe bublik 2026 07 04	Alexander Bublik	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x385c90…
07-04 18:56:43	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x30489c…
07-04 18:49:40	atp tiafoe bublik 2026 07 04	Alexander Bublik	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf6210c…
07-04 18:34:56	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5cb4fe…
07-04 06:48:11	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 penalty shootout	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9a6ec3…
07-04 06:25:59	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x4383aa…
07-04 01:24:47	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2ae05e…
07-04 01:20:07	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x8e9981…
07-03 00:57:35	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x548bda…
07-03 00:19:34	England to score first vs. Mexico?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbd4699…
07-02 23:34:49	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x58c633…
07-02 21:44:32	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xe6395e…
07-02 21:41:07	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3b0ebd…
07-02 21:40:49	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x49f699…
07-02 06:35:58	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x48bd23…
07-02 06:06:50	will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x68a401…
07-01 20:31:52	wnba atl wsh 2026 07 02	Atlanta Dream	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x276e2a…
07-01 17:09:53	France leading at halftime?	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x4e0811…
07-01 16:54:28	Argentina to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x460496…
07-01 16:51:52	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0x0e6a79…
07-01 16:51:08	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x3e2401…
07-01 16:40:35	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x6ddf23…
07-01 16:26:49	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x9e40a3…
07-01 16:10:49	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xdce427…
07-01 16:09:29	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xc2aa70…
07-01 16:08:11	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	No	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0xacc4ff…
07-01 13:46:50	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x7bb1d5…
07-01 13:41:46	will nvda reach 232 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xcef92a…
07-01 13:02:43	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb70dab…
07-01 13:01:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x016b2b…
07-01 12:58:11	will nvda reach 232 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xddb88b…
07-01 12:57:01	atp rinderk damm 2026 07 01 first set winner Rinderknech vs Damm	Rinderknech	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x08fe2d…
07-01 12:44:55	France leading at halftime?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb04b19…
06-30 00:50:07	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$3	0x06818d…
06-30 00:22:22	bitcoin above 62k on june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfcfeff…
06-29 16:50:17	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xd1b1a9…
06-29 12:44:40	wta sawangk chwalin 2026 06 29	Maja Chwalinska	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xb4f39c…
06-29 12:37:47	wta sawangk chwalin 2026 06 29	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xefa3bb…
06-29 12:36:59	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb198d3…
06-29 12:32:23	atp trungel damm 2026 06 29	Martin Damm	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x045b04…
06-29 11:37:23	atp trungel damm 2026 06 29	Martin Damm	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xac9e86…
06-29 11:35:04	atp rublev safiull 2026 06 29 set 2 winner Rublev vs Safiullin	Safiullin	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x7e8dcf…
06-29 11:18:52	atp rublev safiull 2026 06 29 set 2 winner Rublev vs Safiullin	Safiullin	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4323be…
06-29 11:18:34	atp rublev safiull 2026 06 29	Andrey Rublev	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xf331c9…
06-29 10:26:40	atp mochizu basing 2026 06 29	Shintaro Mochizuki	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc2fe68…
06-29 03:46:20	bitcoin above 62k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x77f628…
06-28 22:02:59	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3396b3…
06-28 21:16:34	wta willia joint 2026 06 29	Maya Joint	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe6b451…
06-28 21:13:55	wta ruzic raducan 2026 06 29	Emma Raducanu	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xc646e5…
06-28 20:54:22	atp rublev safiull 2026 06 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x811c50…
06-28 13:27:13	atp zheng norrie 2026 06 29	Cameron Norrie	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x054c6c…
06-28 03:41:22	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x528026…
06-28 03:27:23	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x8525af…
06-28 02:47:20	Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x665b1d…
06-28 02:18:53	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe8fbda…
06-28 02:04:28	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x716aaa…
06-28 01:50:04	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x5bfaf3…
06-27 03:36:26	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x6aa48a…
06-27 03:23:01	itf wan guo 2026 06 27	Meiqi Guo	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xe2aa2c…
06-27 03:06:46	itf wan guo 2026 06 27	Meiqi Guo	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9fb900…
06-27 02:50:14	IR Iran leading at halftime?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x59d9a5…
06-27 00:07:25	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc4564e…
06-26 23:50:14	Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$3	0x2225a8…
06-26 22:45:11	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6e0d94…
06-26 20:55:32	itf aksu kubarev 2026 06 26	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc871e1…
06-26 00:18:07	IR Iran leading at halftime?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x50ae2a…
06-26 00:13:17	Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xd3e290…
06-25 19:28:49	Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x78d8c8…
06-25 19:15:37	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$3	0x744da4…
06-25 04:55:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x18f0f7…
06-25 03:27:08	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0a11b4…
06-25 03:24:20	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4f7f78…
06-25 03:11:01	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xa21a17…
06-25 03:06:40	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x517fa1…
06-25 00:54:01	Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0c629c…
06-25 00:52:55	Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x5dcc67…
06-24 17:05:05	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x6bb9ef…
06-23 17:14:49	Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x40cf36…
06-23 16:51:55	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x858510…
06-23 14:13:07	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x54fed9…
06-23 13:50:38	wta krueger knutson 2026 06 23 first set winner Krueger vs Knutson	Krueger	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x9daed6…
06-23 13:47:41	wta krueger knutson 2026 06 23 first set winner Krueger vs Knutson	Krueger	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc50e32…
06-23 13:33:52	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd2ab01…
06-23 12:40:20	will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	No	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x9af1e0…
06-23 12:31:50	atp arnaldi hussey 2026 06 23	Giles Hussey	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x14d613…
06-23 11:59:17	atp struff borges 2026 06 23	Nuno Borges	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x442157…
06-23 11:58:26	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa2b0de…
06-23 11:58:23	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9d345a…
06-23 11:56:41	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x535201…
06-23 11:56:05	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	No	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x2bbb12…
06-23 11:55:17	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x04a2d6…
06-23 11:53:07	atp arnaldi hussey 2026 06 23	Giles Hussey	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x092b6f…
06-15 02:50:24	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xfe2c18…