Artistic-Mud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$253

Unrealized P&L

+$98

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

Trades

11,053

lifetime

Volume

$2.13M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$193

Open exposure

$3.93K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-05 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% 90% +$171

Politics

41% 100% +$82

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No		+4,000	$3,832	98¢	$3.9K	+$98	05-29 07:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	289	$241.0K	123,704	120,835	+2,869	open	—	02-02 14:39
will the us strike somalia next 656	87	$73.0K	36,677	36,779	-102	open	—	01-25 02:42
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	13	$51.6K	50,700	1,000	+49,700	open	—	01-04 13:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	191	$40.4K	32,010	18,867	+13,143	open	—	02-02 14:45
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	172	$38.5K	32,650	26,595	+6,055	open	—	01-30 04:48
will israel nuke iran by january 31	43	$30.7K	15,432	15,432	+0	open	—	01-23 04:42
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	131	$27.5K	15,664	12,785	+2,880	open	—	02-11 15:07
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	46	$26.5K	13,020	14,015	-995	open	—	01-23 21:58
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	122	$21.2K	17,844	17,165	+680	open	—	01-30 23:28
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	33	$21.0K	12,640	9,000	+3,640	open	—	01-31 12:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	49	$19.0K	12,532	8,566	+3,966	open	—	01-29 23:02
will the us strike iran next 433	44	$18.2K	12,451	5,900	+6,551	open	—	01-23 23:17
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	105	$17.7K	11,943	11,847	+96	open	—	01-30 14:51
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	27	$17.6K	8,975	9,067	-92	open	—	01-31 02:18
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	39	$17.2K	15,386	2,500	+12,886	open	—	01-28 10:55
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	17	$17.1K	10,925	6,641	+4,284	open	—	01-23 20:27
will zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the world economic forum	63	$17.1K	15,394	2,001	+13,393	open	—	01-23 23:40
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	109	$16.7K	10,530	10,530	+0	No	+$51	03-25 19:29
italy nordio reform referendum passes	90	$16.5K	11,473	11,555	-83	open	—	03-24 07:11
netanyahu out by march 31 854	23	$16.2K	7,888	8,888	-1,000	open	—	03-19 19:19
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	178	$15.4K	8,100	7,800	+300	open	—	02-05 16:48
will seguro win all of portugals districts	39	$14.4K	8,202	8,567	-365	open	—	02-08 20:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	49	$14.2K	8,194	6,900	+1,294	open	—	03-26 16:13
Will the US strike Somalia next?	56	$13.8K	8,494	5,831	+2,663	open	—	01-15 23:19
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	53	$13.6K	7,056	7,651	-595	open	—	01-28 18:12
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	47	$13.5K	7,278	7,685	-406	open	—	01-28 15:21
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	19	$12.8K	13,029	0	+13,029	open	—	02-03 20:27
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	19	$12.7K	6,000	7,000	-1,000	open	—	01-28 11:55
us anti cartel operation on foreign soil by december 31	2	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	01-02 23:36
will edgex launch a token in 2025	9	$12.0K	11,992	0	+11,992	open	—	01-01 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 18:01:10	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	616	100¢	$614	0x6d27aa…
06-05 18:00:43	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xff5bb2…
06-05 17:57:39	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xadbf6c…
06-05 17:57:39	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9bd030…
06-05 17:57:39	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x77b385…
06-05 17:57:39	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3552e9…
06-05 17:57:37	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf8471c…
06-05 17:57:37	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcb3b9c…
06-05 17:57:37	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xafee70…
06-05 17:57:37	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9d9470…
06-05 17:57:37	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x79240e…
06-05 17:57:37	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x4012b6…
06-05 17:57:37	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x3758ac…
06-05 17:57:37	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x353b53…
06-05 17:57:37	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x330932…
06-05 17:57:37	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0247a6…
06-05 17:57:36	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	950	100¢	$948	0x07d398…
05-29 07:44:53	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,916	0xff1bcf…
05-29 07:43:18	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,916	0x528ac6…
05-18 19:39:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	278	6¢	$17	0x5820b5…
05-18 19:21:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xa84a4f…
05-03 08:43:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0xec89d2…
04-30 20:10:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x594bf5…
04-30 20:10:12	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0x35a49a…
04-30 10:33:56	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$293	0x306f99…
04-30 10:32:18	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$293	0x704a61…
04-30 10:31:32	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0x369443…
04-30 10:31:06	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,081	99¢	$1,075	0x6802d3…
04-30 10:30:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	588	99¢	$582	0xc11ccf…
04-17 07:33:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	1,326	96¢	$1,275	0x0ff393…
03-31 21:18:17	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x7b6750…
03-31 19:38:17	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x26abb2…
03-31 17:19:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	469	44¢	$207	0x275a83…
03-31 17:19:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0xbf2f10…
03-31 17:19:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x86ffbe…
03-31 17:19:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0x134b0f…
03-31 16:44:17	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	261	88¢	$229	0xab8b9a…
03-31 16:40:49	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xc7d335…
03-31 16:06:21	nhl car cbj 2026 03 31	Hurricanes	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0xc3f9aa…
03-31 16:05:37	nhl wpg chi 2026 03 31	Jets	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0xc3a1dd…
03-31 16:05:09	nhl nj nyr 2026 03 31	Devils	BUY	500	54¢	$270	0x4ed1e7…
03-31 16:04:25	nhl ott fla 2026 03 31	Senators	BUY	500	63¢	$315	0xd64101…
03-31 15:44:31	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x886b14…
03-31 15:22:19	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x19a55d…
03-31 15:15:45	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	92¢	$49	0x94f5e6…
03-31 11:38:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0xb9ad31…
03-31 11:19:49	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	192	99¢	$191	0x8d97f4…
03-31 08:08:33	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xd8e635…
03-31 08:08:23	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x109b39…
03-30 18:07:17	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	No	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x872428…
03-30 17:29:53	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1a7c1b…
03-30 14:47:41	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x78b640…
03-30 13:58:27	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x335299…
03-30 13:40:15	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0x30abf8…
03-30 13:31:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	72	94¢	$68	0x76d1d3…
03-30 13:30:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x54bffe…
03-30 13:30:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x4c2a19…
03-30 13:30:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x84e970…
03-30 13:22:54	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	BUY	480	20¢	$96	0xb3948c…
03-30 13:08:12	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	264	98¢	$259	0x6573d8…
03-30 11:47:40	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x535177…
03-30 11:43:28	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x2b8b5e…
03-30 11:09:12	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x6378d3…
03-29 20:33:50	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	89	2¢	$1	0xab27de…
03-29 20:33:20	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x6c7840…
03-29 20:33:18	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	361	2¢	$5	0x530bc8…
03-29 20:07:32	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x66898b…
03-29 20:07:28	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	300	86¢	$259	0xd2a4ad…
03-29 20:07:20	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x29c7eb…
03-29 19:53:34	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x9967f7…
03-29 19:53:34	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	124	79¢	$98	0x0af3d5…
03-29 19:53:30	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	25	79¢	$20	0xb0090e…
03-29 19:53:30	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	441	79¢	$349	0x28e108…
03-29 12:45:16	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	SELL	180	100¢	$179	0x170a10…
03-29 07:24:08	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2fc0bd…
03-29 05:30:38	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xda3c3f…
03-29 05:24:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	BUY	122	96¢	$117	0x3ed96e…
03-29 04:45:50	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x203128…
03-29 02:06:58	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	914	83¢	$757	0x74317f…
03-29 02:04:58	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	300	29¢	$87	0xe5c7c4…
03-29 00:01:40	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x372c0d…
03-28 21:04:30	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	90	22¢	$20	0x644831…
03-28 21:01:56	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x260ffa…
03-28 21:01:40	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	91	22¢	$20	0x140905…
03-28 21:00:10	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0x496b16…
03-28 20:59:20	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xc3997d…
03-28 20:58:18	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	124	22¢	$27	0x9a380c…
03-28 20:25:22	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	1,000	11¢	$110	0xedb365…
03-28 18:36:37	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	No	SELL	150	87¢	$130	0x080ad8…
03-28 14:53:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x1f7184…
03-28 14:53:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xc6ab2a…
03-28 11:47:55	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	No	SELL	300	93¢	$279	0x7177ff…
03-28 10:09:27	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x97c69d…
03-28 09:35:01	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x2c5bdc…
03-27 19:54:49	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	SELL	300	100¢	$298	0x319427…
03-27 18:39:29	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x73d07d…
03-27 17:32:25	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	192	98¢	$189	0x856bdd…
03-27 17:04:47	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x1ab98b…
03-27 16:38:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	326	12¢	$39	0x53c0bc…
03-27 16:38:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x4074be…