Cooked-Plume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

-$72

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,626

lifetime

Volume

$4.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$228

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 07-24 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

74% — —

Sports

13% 60% +$30

Other

12% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 485 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	+129	$86	74¢	$96	+$10	07-24 17:47
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	+177	$115	39¢	$69	$-46	07-18 14:31
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+215	$99	30¢	$64	$-36	06-09 23:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	7	$315	248	119	+129	open	—	07-24 17:47
nhl col stl 2026 04 07	2	$133	83	83	+0	open	—	04-08 04:27
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	2	$115	177	0	+177	open	—	07-18 14:31
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$99	215	0	+215	open	—	06-09 23:40
nhl col wsh 2026 03 22	2	$91	56	56	+0	open	—	03-22 19:14
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$46	30	30	+0	Canadiens	+$13	05-11 02:56
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	1	$40	78	0	+78	open	—	05-25 02:06
nba por den 2026 04 06	3	$37	82	0	+82	open	—	04-07 02:34
Oilers vs. Ducks	2	$35	53	51	+1	open	—	04-27 03:26
nba tor den 2026 03 20	1	$31	50	0	+50	open	—	03-21 01:22
Avalanche vs. Wild	1	$23	40	0	+40	Avalanche	+$17	05-12 00:13
wta rybakin kostyuk 2026 03 21	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	03-22 21:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	6,807	0	+6,807	open	—	06-02 03:23
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	1	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	05-26 03:18
btc updown 5m 1783060200	2	$19	21	21	+0	open	—	07-03 06:34
nba den lal 2026 03 14	3	$19	50	0	+50	open	—	03-15 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$19	30	0	+30	open	—	05-16 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	10	$18	40	0	+40	open	—	05-15 13:47
nhl car pit 2026 03 22	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 21:51
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	2	$16	20	20	+0	Ducks	+$3	05-11 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	8	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	04-28 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	7	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	04-28 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	7	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	04-28 05:30
btc updown 15m 1770408000	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	02-06 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	7	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	04-28 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	6	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	04-28 03:25
btc updown 5m 1775633100	3	$15	21	9	+11	open	—	04-08 07:25
btc updown 15m 1770421500	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	02-06 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	7	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	5	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	04-28 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 17:47:03	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xc10dac…
07-22 22:31:39	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x0a36a9…
07-18 14:31:19	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	173	65¢	$112	0x1d1574…
07-18 02:40:24	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x185b53…
07-17 15:52:40	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	78	96¢	$76	0x306ead…
07-17 02:54:40	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x96f484…
07-16 21:55:35	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xe970bf…
07-07 17:16:37	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	112	84¢	$95	0xe77538…
07-06 05:01:38	btc updown 5m 1783314000	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf860b7…
07-06 04:56:41	btc updown 5m 1783313700	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x341f0a…
07-06 04:53:43	btc updown 5m 1783313400	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x351d92…
07-06 04:47:34	btc updown 5m 1783313100	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x5fcfda…
07-03 07:04:08	btc updown 5m 1783062300	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4b5e77…
07-03 06:55:25	btc updown 5m 1783061700	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x89ec71…
07-03 06:51:07	btc updown 5m 1783061400	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5f4523…
07-03 06:45:52	btc updown 5m 1783061100	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x49c004…
07-03 06:40:40	btc updown 5m 1783060800	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf9bcd3…
07-03 06:35:35	btc updown 5m 1783060500	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x030cdc…
07-03 06:34:19	btc updown 5m 1783060200	Down	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0x48594c…
07-03 06:30:53	btc updown 5m 1783060200	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xeebb24…
07-03 06:26:20	btc updown 5m 1783059900	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xefd74e…
07-03 06:23:58	btc updown 5m 1783059600	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe3c00a…
07-03 06:16:19	btc updown 5m 1783059300	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe2647b…
07-03 06:12:01	btc updown 5m 1783059000	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2541dc…
07-01 21:12:01	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xed65a9…
06-27 21:22:31	btc updown 5m 1782595200	Down	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x5efd99…
06-27 21:22:10	btc updown 5m 1782595200	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x16bb05…
06-27 21:02:02	btc updown 5m 1782594000	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x3b84cd…
06-27 20:47:25	btc updown 5m 1782593100	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x7469fd…
06-27 20:46:14	btc updown 5m 1782593100	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe9266d…
06-27 20:41:47	btc updown 5m 1782592800	Up	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x8bc03e…
06-27 20:41:34	btc updown 5m 1782592800	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6634f3…
06-27 20:25:46	btc updown 5m 1782591900	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xd600ce…
06-27 20:25:29	btc updown 5m 1782591900	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x8c3da6…
06-27 20:23:19	btc updown 5m 1782591600	Down	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x5965da…
06-27 20:22:13	btc updown 5m 1782591600	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x597f18…
06-27 20:21:20	btc updown 5m 1782591600	Down	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x9b3ddb…
06-27 20:21:11	btc updown 5m 1782591600	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb72fb8…
06-27 20:09:34	btc updown 5m 1782590700	Down	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x655bd7…
06-27 20:02:02	btc updown 5m 1782590400	Down	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xad3f0f…
06-27 20:01:04	btc updown 5m 1782590400	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x9bb129…
06-27 19:52:55	btc updown 5m 1782589800	Up	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x2ee785…
06-27 19:52:44	btc updown 5m 1782589800	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x91f2eb…
06-27 19:52:17	btc updown 5m 1782589800	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x181550…
06-27 19:51:32	btc updown 5m 1782589800	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x8810bb…
06-27 19:30:49	btc updown 5m 1782588600	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc92957…
06-27 19:18:10	btc updown 5m 1782587700	Up	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0x5cd65b…
06-27 19:17:53	btc updown 5m 1782587700	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xc5e6ac…
06-27 19:07:47	btc updown 5m 1782587100	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x06742e…
06-27 19:07:34	btc updown 5m 1782587100	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x107119…
06-27 19:03:40	btc updown 5m 1782586800	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x695f25…
06-27 18:38:22	btc updown 5m 1782585300	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x8911ca…
06-10 15:29:19	spy up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x59c88d…
06-09 23:40:58	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	215	46¢	$99	0x357ff8…
06-09 16:48:06	nhl car las 2026 06 09 spread away 1pt5	Hurricanes	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x622cb3…
06-09 16:46:55	mlb lad pit 2026 06 09	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x03bbd4…
06-02 03:23:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,930	0¢	$18	0xa8894c…
06-02 02:50:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	877	0¢	$3	0xc17a03…
05-26 03:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xf85375…
05-26 03:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x303a2c…
05-26 03:18:56	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x737801…
05-26 02:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa79042…
05-25 03:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6d33f8…
05-25 02:06:26	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Avalanche	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x84121a…
05-23 01:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x68e763…
05-23 00:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x61ffd0…
05-23 00:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x843f0c…
05-23 00:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x239ce0…
05-23 00:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xcc4da2…
05-23 00:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xd41015…
05-23 00:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0417bb…
05-23 00:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x03072a…
05-22 19:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x8a45e4…
05-22 19:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6770f0…
05-22 19:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x82d691…
05-22 19:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe0b091…
05-22 19:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x3ca6cd…
05-22 19:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x801714…
05-22 19:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xe71e3a…
05-22 19:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x86e191…
05-22 06:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x379ac4…
05-22 05:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x09eeaa…
05-22 05:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaee638…
05-21 02:18:18	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	230	0¢	$1	0x1f8671…
05-21 02:17:43	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1dfa6e…
05-21 02:17:25	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2cfabf…
05-20 19:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1dc8fb…
05-20 19:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf3c97a…
05-20 19:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x7f8517…
05-20 19:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x6012ba…
05-20 19:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x98f226…
05-20 19:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa13655…
05-20 19:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcb3d29…
05-20 19:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbafa8a…
05-20 19:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9cd863…
05-20 19:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe82eee…
05-20 19:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd1c6a3…
05-20 19:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x4286f8…
05-20 19:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x813a57…
05-20 19:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x7dac99…