Cooked-Plume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$580

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

1,505

Trades

4,100

lifetime

Volume

$8.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-26 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 49% -$155

Other

11% 23% -$467

Sports

8% 35% +$45

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 620 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	7	$315	248	119	+129	No	+$44	07-24 17:47
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	4	$244	458	0	+458	Yes	-$244	07-30 05:49
nhl col stl 2026 04 07	2	$133	83	83	+0	Avalanche	+$33	04-08 04:27
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$99	215	0	+215	Yes	-$99	06-09 23:40
nhl col wsh 2026 03 22	2	$91	56	56	+0	Avalanche	+$21	03-22 19:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$91	431	0	+431	No	-$91	09-14 03:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$54	14,533	0	+14,533	No	-$54	09-16 02:19
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$46	30	30	+0	Canadiens	+$13	05-11 02:56
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	1	$40	78	0	+78	Golden Knights	-$40	05-25 02:06
nba por den 2026 04 06	3	$37	82	0	+82	Nuggets	+$45	04-07 02:34
Oilers vs. Ducks	2	$35	53	51	+1	Ducks	+$16	04-27 03:26
nba tor den 2026 03 20	1	$31	50	0	+50	Nuggets	+$19	03-21 01:22
mlb lad col 2026 08 18	1	$24	68	0	+68	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$24	08-18 23:55
Avalanche vs. Wild	1	$23	40	0	+40	Avalanche	+$17	05-12 00:13
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$23	600	600	+0	open	—	09-16 02:18
wta rybakin kostyuk 2026 03 21	2	$23	13	13	+0	Elena Rybakina	+$3	03-22 21:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	6,807	0	+6,807	No	-$20	06-02 03:23
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	1	$20	47	0	+47	Hurricanes	-$20	05-26 03:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 06:30 UTC	2	$19	21	21	+0	Down	+$9	07-03 06:34
nba den lal 2026 03 14	3	$19	50	0	+50	Lakers	-$19	03-15 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$19	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	05-16 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	10	$18	40	0	+40	Down	-$3	05-15 13:47
nhl car pit 2026 03 22	2	$17	10	10	+0	Hurricanes	+$3	03-22 21:51
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	2	$16	20	20	+0	Ducks	+$3	05-11 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	8	$15	30	0	+30	Down	$0	04-28 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	15	$15	29	0	+29	Down	+$3	10-04 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	15	$15	34	0	+34	Up	+$10	10-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	15	$15	43	0	+43	Up	-$5	10-02 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	15	$15	22	0	+22	Up	-$2	10-03 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	15	$15	23	0	+23	Down	$0	10-06 13:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 03:04:09	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	104	0¢	$0	0xdcecf7…
10-26 03:04:08	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xc098d1…
10-26 03:04:03	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xbd4a9a…
10-19 05:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfa2f72…
10-19 05:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc6c932…
10-19 05:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xb31d93…
10-10 00:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x960821…
10-10 00:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x12230f…
10-10 00:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3f4033…
10-10 00:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbe7029…
10-10 00:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4f1d7f…
10-10 00:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe598f4…
10-10 00:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc05be3…
10-09 23:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xde094f…
10-09 23:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbe44fc…
10-09 23:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcff5eb…
10-09 23:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2af013…
10-09 23:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc9293f…
10-09 23:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb1d5f6…
10-09 23:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x7ff714…
10-09 23:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd7ddae…
10-09 23:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb8bdf1…
10-09 23:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x20fcc0…
10-09 23:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf75def…
10-09 23:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x95dffa…
10-09 22:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdf3f13…
10-09 22:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x514cf8…
10-09 22:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0991d7…
10-09 22:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xec0ed6…
10-09 22:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcd559e…
10-09 22:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa5c23f…
10-09 22:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcb3bec…
10-09 22:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa138bc…
10-09 22:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3e05cc…
10-09 22:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa1ce6b…
10-09 22:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbbe116…
10-09 22:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x05ab35…
10-09 21:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x904334…
10-09 21:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x807733…
10-09 21:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa3ef03…
10-09 21:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9b862e…
10-09 21:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6357b7…
10-09 21:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd09069…
10-09 21:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xea91d8…
10-09 21:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdc31ff…
10-09 21:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x45a8fc…
10-09 21:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb211e8…
10-09 21:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa821e8…
10-09 21:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x778559…
10-09 21:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9a119a…
10-09 21:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x37c397…
10-09 20:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x004368…
10-09 20:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc0cdc2…
10-09 20:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfa9957…
10-09 20:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x23381c…
10-09 20:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3ac319…
10-09 20:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd7f38d…
10-09 20:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x63b4a7…
10-09 20:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaedcc4…
10-09 20:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa25d61…
10-09 20:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4c47df…
10-09 20:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x471a6d…
10-09 20:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe93f76…
10-09 20:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf1df34…
10-09 20:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x48aaa0…
10-09 20:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xeb8201…
10-09 20:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe46d7c…
10-09 20:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x743812…
10-09 20:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x372f81…
10-09 20:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb10e1a…
10-09 19:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x04239b…
10-09 19:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xebc393…
10-09 19:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3f38c4…
10-09 19:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe30f55…
10-09 19:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb89283…
10-09 19:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x295584…
10-09 18:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	152	5¢	$8	0xd3383d…
10-09 18:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	65	4¢	$3	0x2e95ea…
10-09 18:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	87	3¢	$3	0x938133…
10-07 03:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x81be88…
10-07 03:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1b0af7…
10-07 03:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xff580d…
10-07 03:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6dc051…
10-07 02:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x32a83e…
10-07 02:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd60ea8…
10-07 02:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfc35c0…
10-07 02:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x00fde3…
10-07 02:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x71371a…
10-07 02:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6aa9c8…
10-07 02:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x48a3e0…
10-07 02:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xee7c21…
10-07 02:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbe683a…
10-07 02:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5f343d…
10-07 02:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3ff4e1…
10-07 02:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x60e4a1…
10-07 02:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbe8c12…
10-07 02:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb1d161…
10-07 02:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x75c472…
10-07 02:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x701418…
10-07 02:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x069562…