Cooked-Plume — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

4,186 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$86

$8.39K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 11-05 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 49% -$186

Other

11% 23% -$467

Sports

8% 35% +$45

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 620 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	7	$315	248	119	+129	No	+$44	07-24 17:47
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	4	$244	458	0	+458	Yes	-$244	07-30 05:49
nhl col stl 2026 04 07	2	$133	83	83	+0	Avalanche	+$33	04-08 04:27
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$99	215	0	+215	Yes	-$99	06-09 23:40
nhl col wsh 2026 03 22	2	$91	56	56	+0	Avalanche	+$21	03-22 19:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$91	431	0	+431	No	-$91	09-14 03:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$54	14,533	0	+14,533	No	-$54	09-16 02:19
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$46	30	30	+0	Canadiens	+$13	05-11 02:56
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	1	$40	78	0	+78	Golden Knights	-$40	05-25 02:06
nba por den 2026 04 06	3	$37	82	0	+82	Nuggets	+$45	04-07 02:34
Oilers vs. Ducks	2	$35	53	51	+1	Ducks	+$16	04-27 03:26
nba tor den 2026 03 20	1	$31	50	0	+50	Nuggets	+$19	03-21 01:22
mlb lad col 2026 08 18	1	$24	68	0	+68	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$24	08-18 23:55
Avalanche vs. Wild	1	$23	40	0	+40	Avalanche	+$17	05-12 00:13
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$23	600	600	+0	open	—	09-16 02:18
wta rybakin kostyuk 2026 03 21	2	$23	13	13	+0	Elena Rybakina	+$3	03-22 21:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	6,807	0	+6,807	No	-$20	06-02 03:23
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	1	$20	47	0	+47	Hurricanes	-$20	05-26 03:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 06:30 UTC	2	$19	21	21	+0	Down	+$9	07-03 06:34
nba den lal 2026 03 14	3	$19	50	0	+50	Lakers	-$19	03-15 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$19	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	05-16 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	10	$18	40	0	+40	Down	-$3	05-15 13:47
nhl car pit 2026 03 22	2	$17	10	10	+0	Hurricanes	+$3	03-22 21:51
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	2	$16	20	20	+0	Ducks	+$3	05-11 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	8	$15	30	0	+30	Down	$0	04-28 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	15	$15	29	0	+29	Down	+$3	10-04 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	15	$15	34	0	+34	Up	+$10	10-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	15	$15	43	0	+43	Up	-$5	10-02 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	15	$15	22	0	+22	Up	-$2	10-03 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	15	$15	23	0	+23	Down	$0	10-06 13:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa135ac…
11-05 17:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x892f29…
11-05 17:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x875d25…
11-05 17:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x028d74…
11-05 17:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0c3818…
11-05 17:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x269263…
11-05 17:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8a8d5b…
11-05 17:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa54f89…
11-05 16:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa7824f…
11-05 16:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa8abb2…
11-05 16:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe86e5f…
11-05 16:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x173325…
11-05 16:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9e83e5…
11-05 16:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb61af1…
11-05 16:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfa0f32…
11-05 16:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6708c5…
11-05 16:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf09091…
11-05 15:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf8a588…
11-05 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4a6fea…
11-05 14:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x803df9…
11-05 14:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x50ea2d…
11-05 14:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x52575a…
11-05 14:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7e0ca7…
11-05 14:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6741cd…
11-05 13:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0bab5c…
11-05 13:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf7cd91…
11-05 13:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7a97e3…
11-05 13:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x23e564…
11-05 12:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbd5cc6…
11-05 12:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x64ead0…
11-05 12:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x65ea8a…
11-05 12:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc031c3…
11-05 12:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcd1214…
11-05 12:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x19417a…
11-05 12:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x761744…
11-05 11:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3625d0…
11-05 11:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9ac146…
11-05 11:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb6ad52…
11-05 11:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3bf769…
11-05 10:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x102688…
11-05 10:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1f319c…
11-05 10:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc2aa79…
11-05 10:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x19e978…
11-05 10:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe2f24e…
11-05 09:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbff201…
11-05 09:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5255d8…
11-05 09:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1dd120…
11-05 09:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdf26b0…
11-05 09:00:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-05 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4e97ff…
11-05 08:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe50eea…
11-05 08:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x06d5e6…
11-05 08:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x52319a…
11-05 08:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xae58a1…
11-05 08:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbfa966…
11-05 08:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x109a77…
11-05 08:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6b5543…
11-05 07:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2bba19…
11-05 07:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd85b1d…
11-05 07:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x81c833…
11-05 07:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x78c13b…
11-05 07:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x949c27…
11-05 07:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xca88be…
11-05 03:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xcf3806…
11-05 03:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x19ab93…
11-05 03:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x982006…
11-05 03:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x05dff6…
11-05 03:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x726100…
11-04 23:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa54bd0…
11-04 23:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xba6f5f…
11-04 23:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2e741f…
11-04 23:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7d3682…
11-04 22:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x797d41…
11-04 22:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa064b3…
11-04 22:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x82063d…
11-04 22:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x06187c…
11-04 22:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3e36c7…
11-04 22:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x815d29…
11-04 21:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf83f0a…
11-04 21:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8929ad…
11-04 21:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe6bb56…
11-04 21:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x676eb4…
11-04 21:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd313dc…
11-04 21:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc8ca80…
11-04 21:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4babea…
11-04 21:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xce3479…
11-04 20:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xecf328…
10-26 03:04:09	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	104	0¢	$0	0xdcecf7…
10-26 03:04:08	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xc098d1…
10-26 03:04:03	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xbd4a9a…
10-19 05:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfa2f72…
10-19 05:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc6c932…
10-19 05:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xb31d93…
10-10 00:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x960821…
10-10 00:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x12230f…
10-10 00:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3f4033…
10-10 00:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbe7029…
10-10 00:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4f1d7f…
10-10 00:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe598f4…
10-10 00:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc05be3…
10-09 23:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xde094f…