Definitive-Quart — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.9%

Resolved

302

Trades

1,386

lifetime

Volume

$1.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-28 18:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

81% 24% -$126

Politics

16% 42% -$1

Crypto

3% 0% $0

Tech

1% 20% +$1

Sports

0% 11% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	19	$305	7,041	7,041	+0	No	-$63	06-13 01:50
will green left win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	5	$54	217	217	+0	Yes	+$2	03-24 18:50
will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	13	$54	295	295	+0	Yes	+$2	03-23 09:41
United States to win the second half?	3	$49	80	13	+67	No	-$25	06-13 02:26
will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2	18	$47	275	275	+0	No	+$3	03-23 09:36
will laguardia airport lga be open to departures by 200 pm et on march 23 2026	12	$41	412	412	+0	Yes	+$7	03-23 18:40
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 13c	12	$39	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	03-22 09:24
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	2	$30	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	03-20 10:45
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	22	$28	364	364	+0	Yes	+$4	04-20 06:02
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on April 28?	6	$22	320	320	+0	Yes	-$8	04-28 15:00
will green left win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	25	$21	305	228	+77	No	+$1	03-24 21:14
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	15	$21	258	258	+0	Yes	+$3	04-20 14:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	12	$20	166	166	+0	open	—	07-28 18:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2	20	$18	360	465	-105	No	+$7	03-23 09:59
will danish peoples party win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	16	$17	312	223	+89	No	$0	03-24 21:56
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	17	$17	167	167	+0	No	$0	03-22 12:36
highest temperature in seoul on march 30 2026 19c	13	$17	200	51	+149	No	-$7	03-30 06:59
spx opens up or down on march 20 2026	4	$16	50	50	+0	Down	$0	03-20 11:59
spx up or down on april 6 2026	13	$16	425	415	+10	Up	$0	04-06 19:54
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	06-10 06:51
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 100 119	2	$12	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	03-20 11:09
highest temperature in london on april 16 2026 19c	7	$11	151	151	+0	No	+$3	04-16 13:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	05-08 17:07
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	17	$10	144	144	+0	No	+$1	03-31 18:53
United States vs. Paraguay: Second half draw?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	-$10	06-13 02:28
wti up or down on april 20 2026	5	$10	205	205	+0	Up	$0	04-20 17:22
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 22 2026	7	$10	200	100	+100	Yes	-$2	03-22 12:41
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,700 in May?	4	$9	102	102	+0	Yes	+$9	04-30 04:10
highest temperature in london on april 16 2026 18c	7	$9	101	101	+0	Yes	+$1	04-16 13:22
highest temperature in seoul on march 30 2026 18c	4	$9	125	25	+100	Yes	-$4	03-30 05:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 18:05:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x0f09ef…
07-24 13:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xfd15dc…
07-24 13:36:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xfc2162…
07-24 12:04:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	4¢	$4	0x5bbc94…
07-24 05:03:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0xd77468…
07-24 04:51:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xed9079…
07-24 00:11:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x89f54a…
06-24 12:20:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0x002653…
06-24 10:26:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x67fbf2…
06-24 03:53:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x6c216f…
06-23 12:16:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0x1d9d0f…
06-23 04:37:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x0f1de0…
06-13 03:01:45	Paraguay to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0xf0041b…
06-13 02:28:57	United States vs. Paraguay: Second half draw?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x845c5f…
06-13 02:27:31	Will the announcers say "Captain" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?	No	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x7fa482…
06-13 02:26:09	United States to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x8321ca…
06-13 02:23:40	will the announcers say captain during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955335	No	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x642a7f…
06-13 02:22:10	will the announcers say captain during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955335	No	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x43040d…
06-13 02:13:37	United States to win the second half?	Yes	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x77985b…
06-13 02:06:06	United States to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xe2803b…
06-13 01:50:27	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	1,016	1¢	$11	0xd1d10a…
06-13 01:48:40	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	1,004	1¢	$12	0xdad51a…
06-13 01:47:57	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xae2b4a…
06-13 01:46:55	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$20	0x576be0…
06-13 01:46:39	will the announcers say history during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955344	No	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xab563d…
06-13 01:45:55	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x9a040c…
06-13 01:45:01	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$20	0xb872ed…
06-13 01:41:33	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$20	0xee69a5…
06-13 01:41:01	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x8c838b…
06-13 01:38:03	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x3ee199…
06-13 01:36:49	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	1,025	2¢	$20	0x23c86e…
06-13 01:35:54	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$10	0x6da61a…
06-13 01:34:54	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0xd9f0d9…
06-13 01:34:36	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$20	0x776c1a…
06-13 01:33:33	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x3f93ff…
06-13 01:33:09	will the announcers say mexico during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955346	No	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x4c6f0e…
06-13 01:32:21	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9aa332…
06-13 01:31:27	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0xb5e205…
06-13 01:31:27	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	93	7¢	$6	0x90d955…
06-13 01:31:27	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	97	7¢	$7	0x040274…
06-13 01:31:25	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	792	7¢	$55	0xd2bdc0…
06-13 01:24:48	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x874305…
06-13 01:22:13	will gio reyna be in the starting 11 for the usas first 2026 fifa world cup group stage match 20260611180532029	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x42b49c…
06-13 01:19:04	will gio reyna be in the starting 11 for the usas first 2026 fifa world cup group stage match 20260611180532029	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xcfb21c…
06-13 01:10:55	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 12?	Yes	SELL	52	1¢	$1	0x79da0c…
06-13 01:09:15	will future perform plutoski at 2026 fifa opening ceremony 20260610141530433	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x18b72b…
06-13 01:08:45	will future perform fuck up some commas at 2026 fifa opening ceremony 20260610141530427	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0xeea94e…
06-13 01:05:07	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x8462f8…
06-13 01:02:30	will gio reyna be in the starting 11 for the usas first 2026 fifa world cup group stage match 20260611180532029	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x252d86…
06-13 00:56:45	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb71fbc…
06-13 00:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12?	No	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x930728…
06-13 00:34:33	Will Future perform "Fuck Up Some Commas" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xf35c5a…
06-13 00:28:04	will max arfsten be in the starting 11 for the usas first 2026 fifa world cup group stage match 20260611180532013	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x4bcbbb…
06-13 00:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xd4ede5…
06-13 00:24:03	will joe scally be in the starting 11 for the usas first 2026 fifa world cup group stage match 20260611180532021	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x4d306e…
06-13 00:24:01	will future perform fuck up some commas at 2026 fifa opening ceremony 20260610141530427	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xb6f46e…
06-13 00:23:48	will future perform plutoski at 2026 fifa opening ceremony 20260610141530433	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x353f89…
06-13 00:22:07	will gio reyna be in the starting 11 for the usas first 2026 fifa world cup group stage match 20260611180532029	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xf0ef4f…
06-13 00:22:00	will brenden aaronson be in the starting 11 for the usas first 2026 fifa world cup group stage match 20260611180532027	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xabf2a5…
06-13 00:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x340a18…
06-13 00:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12?	No	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0x7890a9…
06-13 00:15:46	Will Brenden Aaronson be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage match?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x15cf29…
06-13 00:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12?	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x3492ea…
06-10 16:56:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	No	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0xf5501d…
06-10 16:33:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xacf8d4…
06-10 16:21:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x0f2a5c…
06-10 16:05:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	No	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x218e6d…
06-10 16:03:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	No	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x2b0ec1…
06-10 16:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x7a8023…
06-10 15:34:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?	No	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xb2ab9d…
06-10 15:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0xc3456c…
06-10 15:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	51	1¢	$1	0x1a49b1…
06-10 15:06:22	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 10?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb330c6…
06-10 15:05:48	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?	No	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x314184…
06-10 15:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$0	0xbd10b1…
06-10 15:03:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 10?	No	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0xf0d920…
06-10 14:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 10?	No	SELL	51	1¢	$0	0xabb3f5…
06-10 14:07:24	Will Graham Platner win between 70% and 75% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0xa9f733…
06-10 13:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xa20c5d…
06-10 13:41:37	Will Graham Platner win between 70% and 75% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x05e011…
06-10 13:36:57	r6siege to hltaur 2026 06 10	HL tauri Esports	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbf7c82…
06-10 06:51:00	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$7	0xd708d0…
05-31 12:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8d3d9f…
05-28 04:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5ea576…
05-24 14:55:48	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$6	0x3c2d08…
05-24 06:03:24	Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - OCS Champions Clash Playoffs	ZETA DIVISION	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa11547…
05-09 00:42:07	Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be less than $0.8B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x569f2b…
05-08 21:01:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x55d6aa…
05-08 21:01:07	Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6e573b…
05-08 20:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 8?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xca64ca…
05-08 20:44:14	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x301659…
05-08 20:43:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	52	1¢	$0	0x4c38bc…
05-08 20:43:04	Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x4aca28…
05-08 20:42:13	Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x649175…
05-08 20:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 8?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x74e59a…
05-08 20:36:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?	No	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xe09d22…
05-08 20:35:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?	No	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x40d0f9…
05-08 20:35:01	Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be less than $0.8B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xbee5d6…
05-08 20:34:20	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x8d8a06…
05-08 20:34:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x7e21fe…