Passionate-Mukluk — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$41

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved (90d)

358

Trades (90d)

451

822 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$852

$1.69K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-10 19:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 65% -$104

Tech

3% 0% -$57

Politics

3% 62% -$6

Other

3% 55% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	—	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	11-10 19:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 23:15 UTC	35	$76	82	81	+1	Up	+$7	01-25 23:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 22:45 UTC	19	$74	56	55	+1	Down	+$2	02-09 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	20	$70	73	62	+11	Down	-$6	02-09 23:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 21:45 UTC	19	$68	69	60	+9	Up	-$3	02-09 21:53
bitcoin up or down january 26 1am et	35	$58	58	56	+2	Up	+$1	01-26 07:47
bitcoin up or down january 25 9pm et	34	$56	95	89	+6	Down	-$3	01-26 02:50
bitcoin up or down january 25 8pm et	48	$45	971	971	+0	Up	-$1	01-26 01:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 21:00 UTC	9	$34	30	27	+3	Down	+$1	02-09 21:14
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	1	$33	53	0	+53	No	-$33	05-28 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$27	66	2	+64	Down	-$25	06-02 16:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:45 UTC	13	$16	15	10	+5	Down	-$1	02-09 20:58
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	1	$15	33	0	+33	No	-$15	05-28 20:23
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 22:15 UTC	3	$14	10	5	+5	Down	+$1	02-09 22:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 21:30 UTC	4	$13	13	8	+5	Down	$0	02-09 21:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:00 UTC	4	$12	9	8	+1	Up	+$4	02-09 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 01:15 UTC	5	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	02-10 01:24
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	2	$9	43	0	+43	Yes	-$9	05-28 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	10-10 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-10 04:43
will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	1	$8	9	0	+9	Yes	+$1	04-02 00:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 00:30 UTC	7	$8	72	72	+0	Down	-$1	01-26 00:43
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	05-05 10:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 23:45 UTC	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	01-25 23:55
bitcoin up or down january 26 2am et	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	$0	01-26 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$7	5	2	+3	Down	$0	10-06 15:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 00:00 UTC	4	$6	4	4	+0	Up	$0	01-26 00:14
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$6	13	13	+0	No	-$6	05-05 19:20
will trump say ceasefire or peace deal during address to the nation	3	$6	7	2	+6	No	-$4	04-02 01:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:20 UTC	5	$6	11	4	+8	Up	$0	02-18 20:24
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$6	22	22	+0	No	+$2	01-03 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 19:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x39996b…
11-10 19:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x78bcde…
11-10 16:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xac68df…
11-10 15:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe04606…
11-10 14:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x4a6029…
11-10 12:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x407860…
11-10 12:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7c9b5a…
11-10 11:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x48dace…
11-10 11:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3a5f5e…
11-10 11:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x35813b…
11-10 11:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xb84ee8…
11-10 10:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x6654f6…
11-10 10:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x2d3692…
11-10 06:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x38ed23…
11-10 03:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x79f41b…
11-09 23:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb91614…
11-09 23:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x897d3a…
11-09 21:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x944f57…
11-09 21:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x51c193…
11-09 21:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x106456…
11-09 21:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x07889c…
11-09 21:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xfb160b…
11-09 18:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x8880ba…
11-09 18:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x52aabe…
11-09 18:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf18e7e…
11-09 17:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x7d86ae…
11-09 14:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x04fcfa…
11-09 14:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x39de40…
11-09 13:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2df0a4…
11-09 11:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xba15c2…
11-09 10:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x3353cf…
11-09 10:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xfd5239…
11-09 10:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf20457…
11-09 09:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe21eb4…
11-09 00:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x39bdf0…
11-09 00:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa81a47…
11-08 23:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x194043…
10-20 22:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xebbbc6…
10-20 22:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x27b6e9…
10-20 19:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xa70a53…
10-20 19:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x70f587…
10-20 17:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xe10bd0…
10-20 17:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xea8b8b…
10-20 17:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x6a4336…
10-20 16:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$1	0xc018f1…
10-20 16:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x708821…
10-20 13:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xa96414…
10-20 13:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x71839a…
10-20 13:24:29	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x49dae4…
10-20 13:23:45	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x784a3c…
10-20 10:52:51	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x6917c3…
10-20 09:23:14	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x28dd31…
10-20 09:13:45	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xb28c5e…
10-20 09:13:09	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x79facb…
10-20 09:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x880680…
10-20 08:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3fb4b4…
10-20 07:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xee5778…
10-20 07:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x86c1c0…
10-20 07:48:52	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3a10ff…
10-20 06:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xfc6699…
10-20 06:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa9a6ed…
10-20 05:22:51	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7c6691…
10-20 04:57:54	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x4249c9…
10-20 01:53:33	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x1145dc…
10-20 01:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x869fbd…
10-20 00:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1b617a…
10-20 00:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x5c31b6…
10-16 15:48:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xb111dc…
10-16 15:48:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x47514a…
10-16 13:07:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x469ac0…
10-16 12:18:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x8eb465…
10-16 10:53:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x9b5654…
10-16 09:57:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x240e1f…
10-16 08:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5f59dd…
10-16 07:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x2feee9…
10-16 07:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x97b450…
10-16 07:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x1cf023…
10-16 07:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7c43b1…
10-16 07:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6c1e0a…
10-16 07:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x96c11b…
10-16 06:08:49	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x321b6e…
10-16 06:07:49	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa894f3…
10-16 05:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x30f035…
10-16 05:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x63cebb…
10-16 05:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x41a687…
10-16 05:07:51	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xecb8a9…
10-16 04:39:40	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x0cc493…
10-16 04:38:28	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xaa9ce4…
10-16 04:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x1339a8…
10-16 03:42:39	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xeb92bc…
10-16 01:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xba0f7a…
10-16 01:42:57	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xecdb61…
10-16 01:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc06e31…
10-16 01:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xda5975…
10-16 01:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa56323…
10-16 00:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x20ad78…
10-15 23:42:49	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa3adf5…
10-15 23:28:15	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xc53747…
10-15 22:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x859834…
10-15 21:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5757b6…