Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 9PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$146,560

Trades

8,884

Unique wallets

607

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-01-26

First seen

2026-01-25

last 01-26 04:02

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +32,860 (anon) +9,247 (anon) +4,872 (anon) +4,379 (anon) +3,320 (anon) +3,207 (anon) +3,148 Gigantic-Cocktail +2,381

NO holders

(anon) +16,520 Tremendous-Closet +16,008 (anon) +6,172 (anon) +4,809 (anon) +4,128 (anon) +3,208 (anon) +3,172 (anon) +2,883

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -4.7¢ (top1%: 22% YES on $82.6K vs crowd: 27% YES on $117.4K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	65	$18.2K	$66.0K	$47.8K
🐬 Dolphin	139	$6.4K	$11.0K	$4.6K
🐟 Fish	210	$5.2K	$7.5K	$2.3K
🦐 Shrimp	193	$1.5K	$1.7K	$121

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	66	$18.1K	$64.5K	$46.4K
🏆 Top 5%	66	$2.7K	$2.9K	$212
✅ Top 10%	36	$996	$1.2K	$226
Median	50	$214	$600	$386
Below median	187	$1.1K	$2.6K	$1.5K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	84	$1.9K	$2.8K	$918
🔻 Bottom 5%	76	$2.9K	$5.4K	$2.5K
💀 Bottom 1%	42	$3.5K	$6.2K	$2.7K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0xfd35…fee4	Up	+32,860	$33	$33	12	01-26 03:09
(anonymous) 0xba26…23c9	Down	+16,520	$16,495	$16,495	27	01-26 03:08
Tremendous-Closet 0x751a…9ea1	Down	+16,008	$15,992	$15,992	26	01-26 03:05
(anonymous) 0xe594…7052	Up	+9,247	$3,164	$3,164	161	01-26 02:55
(anonymous) 0xe594…7052	Down	+6,172	$2,471	$2,471	135	01-26 02:50
(anonymous) 0x93c2…c072	Up	+4,872	$1,655	$1,655	56	01-26 02:56
(anonymous) 0x1d77…468a	Down	+4,809	$4,804	$4,804	38	01-26 03:59
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+4,379	$1,340	$1,340	71	01-26 02:55
(anonymous) 0x93c2…c072	Down	+4,128	$2,513	$2,513	76	01-26 02:58
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+3,320	$1,372	$1,372	136	01-26 02:56
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	Down	+3,208	$1,712	$1,712	120	01-26 02:56
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	Up	+3,207	$1,567	$1,567	92	01-26 02:56
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Down	+3,172	$1,589	$1,589	270	01-26 02:57
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Up	+3,148	$1,462	$1,462	288	01-26 02:54
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+2,883	$1,339	$1,339	58	01-26 02:50
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+2,715	$1,246	$1,246	112	01-26 02:50
(anonymous) 0x11d0…4be9	Down	+2,625	$2,622	$2,622	3	01-26 03:09
Gigantic-Cocktail 0x87f4…a77d	Up	+2,381	$1,149	$1,149	5	01-26 02:49
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Up	+2,135	$931	$931	134	01-26 02:55
0x2e9e36fe521d642aa7ca89db8b8711a3d607c4ef 0x2e9e…c4ef	Up	+2,063	$39	$55	9	01-26 02:57
Smart-Compassion 0xd189…06f4	Down	+2,052	$2,032	$2,032	31	01-26 03:00
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Down	+2,044	$1,090	$1,090	153	01-26 02:55
(anonymous) 0x4924…fac2	Down	+1,294	$671	$671	99	01-26 02:55
(anonymous) 0x4924…fac2	Up	+1,270	$596	$596	109	01-26 02:57
(anonymous) 0xf1d5…155a	Down	+1,236	$655	$655	27	01-26 02:22
(anonymous) 0x1022…5842	Down	+1,217	$621	$621	207	01-26 02:57
(anonymous) 0x1022…5842	Up	+1,207	$624	$624	228	01-26 02:57
Sarcastic-Commandment 0x8ebf…83ce	Down	+1,111	$1,110	$1,110	1	01-26 03:00
(anonymous) 0xba6f…926c	Up	+1,000	$1	$1	1	01-26 03:59
(anonymous) 0x3b23…6903	Up	+1,000	$1,054	$1,330	52	01-26 02:57
(anonymous) 0x6b1b…1923	Down	+956	$468	$468	45	01-26 02:52
(anonymous) 0x82c8…7075	Down	+932	$603	$603	73	01-26 02:44
(anonymous) 0x6b1b…1923	Up	+923	$491	$491	42	01-26 02:52
(anonymous) 0xa2a6…489c	Up	+902	$260	$260	16	01-26 02:52
(anonymous) 0x82c8…7075	Up	+878	$345	$345	45	01-26 02:43
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	Up	+772	$320	$320	71	01-26 02:56
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	Down	+767	$444	$444	67	01-26 02:55
Motherly-Maternity 0xc873…0502	Down	+750	$749	$749	1	01-26 03:05
(anonymous) 0x8e65…e8a4	Down	+733	$379	$379	20	01-26 01:52
Disloyal-Spree 0xaf0e…3197	Down	+673	$600	$600	2	01-26 02:56
(anonymous) 0x1c3a…6aad	Down	+664	$332	$332	6	01-26 02:22
(anonymous) 0x31ea…6f62	Up	+600	$306	$306	1	01-25 20:45
Abandoned-Saxophone 0x32a2…505c	Down	+527	$287	$287	61	01-26 02:51
(anonymous) 0x5933…d728	Up	+500	$300	$300	38	01-26 02:51
Admirable-Merchant 0x88db…3843	Down	+500	$215	$215	14	01-26 02:42
Abandoned-Saxophone 0x32a2…505c	Up	+492	$234	$234	54	01-26 02:52
(anonymous) 0xabb6…db26	Down	+450	$220	$220	1	01-25 20:45
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	Down	+442	$241	$241	77	01-26 02:55
(anonymous) 0x0780…5956	Up	+406	$140	$140	1	01-26 02:02
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	Up	+403	$192	$192	89	01-26 02:55
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	Down	+403	$246	$1,570	305	01-26 02:54
(anonymous) 0x8a44…57c5	Up	+400	$331	$331	2	01-26 02:31
(anonymous) 0xaa1d…c2b8	Down	+400	$370	$370	2	01-26 02:53
(anonymous) 0x69af…39c4	Down	+400	$396	$396	6	01-26 02:59
(anonymous) 0x6238…0523	Up	+360	$7	$7	1	01-26 02:57
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	Up	+340	$7	$7	11	01-26 02:57
(anonymous) 0xb548…08f3	Up	+338	$131	$2,220	252	01-26 02:56
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	Up	+338	$124	$1,670	380	01-26 02:58
(anonymous) 0x829b…5139	Up	+312	$157	$698	29	01-26 02:53
(anonymous) 0xd713…0943	Up	+307	$208	$578	139	01-26 02:53