Negative-Swell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

149

Trades

463

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-02 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

93% 92% +$1

Politics

6% 86% +$1

Sports

1% 86% -$2

Crypto

0% 88% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	22	$1.7K	849	849	+0	No	+$1	05-19 07:38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	21	$1.2K	595	595	+0	No	+$1	05-13 17:29
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	13	$1.0K	502	502	+0	No	+$1	05-22 02:16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	8	$941	478	478	+0	No	-$6	05-15 05:31
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	17	$771	391	391	+0	No	+$1	05-12 06:46
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	12	$738	372	372	+0	No	+$1	05-22 13:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	8	$708	356	356	+0	No	+$0	05-14 12:01
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	6	$707	356	356	+0	No	+$0	05-15 08:39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	8	$690	347	347	+0	No	+$1	05-12 06:02
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	22	$500	251	251	+0	No	+$0	05-12 16:01
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	4	$477	240	240	+0	No	+$0	05-16 08:24
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$467	234	234	+0	No	+$0	05-13 15:28
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	4	$448	225	225	+0	No	+$2	05-10 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	12	$437	225	225	+0	No	+$4	05-09 07:52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	5	$422	213	213	+0	No	+$0	05-07 16:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	7	$410	208	208	+0	No	+$1	05-08 03:38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	4	$367	184	184	+0	No	+$1	05-10 23:59
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 115 139	20	$318	161	161	+0	No	+$0	02-02 15:28
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$245	125	125	+0	No	+$1	05-20 23:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on May 20?	2	$243	122	122	+0	No	+$0	05-20 08:04
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	2	$241	121	121	+0	No	+$0	05-18 12:56
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$240	120	120	+0	No	+$0	05-18 05:20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$240	120	120	+0	No	+$0	05-16 18:59
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 16?	2	$238	120	120	+0	No	+$1	05-16 07:28
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	2	$237	119	119	+0	No	+$0	05-16 00:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	6	$236	119	119	+0	No	+$0	05-15 17:11
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$234	117	117	+0	No	+$0	05-13 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 20?	2	$232	116	116	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 11:24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$228	114	114	+0	No	+$0	05-11 14:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	3	$227	114	114	+0	No	+$1	05-11 06:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 14:40:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	48	83¢	$40	0x27e60b…
06-02 02:59:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x21ec00…
06-01 21:02:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x062ee1…
06-01 10:54:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x4b3e8a…
06-01 10:04:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x98d2f7…
06-01 02:57:59	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0xa9b1a5…
05-31 23:14:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x94c42a…
05-31 15:24:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x5058d6…
05-31 14:15:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7034ae…
05-31 14:00:35	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfc7a69…
05-31 13:50:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x46d336…
05-31 13:50:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x383405…
05-31 13:40:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7c041f…
05-31 03:03:01	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xb56f00…
05-31 01:51:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x7e1105…
05-30 17:05:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xb8b104…
05-30 17:04:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x5cebea…
05-30 15:58:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x21b9e3…
05-30 08:42:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xc10d43…
05-30 02:30:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$47	0x0a3833…
05-29 16:30:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3f3752…
05-29 16:26:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x49996d…
05-29 13:37:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8d2c2a…
05-29 13:36:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x90a06e…
05-29 10:50:52	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x398ea7…
05-29 08:15:30	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x16ded7…
05-29 07:18:46	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2ad9c2…
05-29 06:37:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5683e7…
05-29 06:31:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x879a73…
05-29 06:29:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf49127…
05-29 06:21:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x5e7107…
05-27 18:11:38	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x423274…
05-27 18:08:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x493087…
05-27 17:47:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5f405a…
05-27 17:41:30	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd259c3…
05-27 17:38:44	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-27 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc58fd1…
05-27 17:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6aacb0…
05-27 17:08:24	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x545415…
05-27 17:08:19	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbcf85f…
05-27 17:07:23	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xefb2d2…
05-27 17:07:12	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9107dd…
05-27 17:03:02	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7c02a3…
05-27 16:55:24	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x32d53f…
05-27 16:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4c2069…
05-27 16:36:40	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9529f9…
05-27 16:34:15	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x68698f…
05-27 16:02:19	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa7338a…
05-27 15:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbc3e70…
05-27 15:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x262967…
05-27 15:43:28	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb5ba83…
05-27 15:38:25	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x906f3c…
05-27 15:38:01	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x28cbed…
05-27 15:31:27	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x91049d…
05-27 15:29:00	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x035dec…
05-27 15:11:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x58166a…
05-27 15:09:56	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0b0aa7…
05-27 15:08:33	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf55d15…
05-27 15:02:49	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf5d3c1…
05-27 14:56:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x868a33…
05-27 14:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbcfbd1…
05-27 14:46:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8a8ac7…
05-27 14:44:28	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb99219…
05-27 14:38:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbc9684…
05-27 14:38:13	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb703ee…
05-27 14:31:57	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-27 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x85a54b…
05-27 14:28:32	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1bb0a8…
05-27 14:21:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x943a64…
05-27 14:19:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x32996e…
05-27 14:11:16	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-27 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x037d0b…
05-27 14:07:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x541f07…
05-27 14:01:58	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5acfc0…
05-27 13:58:28	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc5dd77…
05-27 13:52:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x58a4b4…
05-27 13:52:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x33889a…
05-27 13:49:10	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3ccf07…
05-27 13:47:58	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2e7e36…
05-27 13:23:23	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x066ba1…
05-27 13:18:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4cc2bd…
05-27 13:14:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x481f02…
05-27 13:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x79ca02…
05-27 13:09:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e3da6…
05-27 12:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xef9fa8…
05-27 12:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf94b3b…
05-27 12:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1638e7…
05-23 02:53:06	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Team Liquid ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Geek Fam ID	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x5f117c…
05-23 02:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x417ee0…
05-23 02:45:20	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x779916…
05-23 02:07:41	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3db30e…
05-23 02:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe5c4ae…
05-23 02:03:50	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Team Liquid ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Geek Fam ID	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4ead37…
05-22 15:45:25	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2	FUT Esports	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x535b8b…
05-22 14:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6dea6c…
05-22 13:48:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$80	0xbb9e0d…
05-22 13:48:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9e71e2…
05-22 13:47:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe064bb…
05-22 13:46:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x016f70…
05-22 13:45:43	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x404b90…
05-22 12:56:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0xee002b…
05-22 09:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 22?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x76894c…
05-22 09:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 22?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8d39c5…