Aware-Kinase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.91K

Unrealized P&L

-$7.59K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

570

lifetime

Volume

$1.14M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.01K

Open exposure

$4.92K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 13:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

72% — —

Other

23% 100% +$7,625

Sports

2% 100% +$1,286

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+20,951	$12,513	24¢	$4.9K	$-7,590	07-23 21:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	164	$359.9K	185,720	185,909	-188	open	—	03-04 16:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$161.9K	94,118	94,118	+0	open	—	03-29 11:53
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	162	$121.1K	128,703	0	+128,703	Yes	+$7,625	04-10 04:02
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	26	$102.9K	91,464	91,464	+0	open	—	02-28 09:20
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	22	$68.3K	67,844	67,844	+0	open	—	02-28 09:16
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$49.1K	27,639	51,449	-23,810	open	—	02-27 17:04
Fed rate hike in 2026?	21	$27.9K	50,951	30,000	+20,951	open	—	07-23 21:01
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	2	$26.4K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	02-17 15:17
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$26.3K	15,877	15,877	+0	open	—	03-07 02:12
lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	1	$24.4K	0	24,404	-24,404	open	—	01-01 12:54
lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	4	$23.7K	31,363	31,363	+0	open	—	07-12 11:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	76	$22.8K	29,605	29,605	+0	open	—	02-24 08:03
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$19.3K	13,889	13,889	+0	open	—	07-07 16:40
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$18.5K	16,073	16,073	+0	open	—	07-18 22:34
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$15.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	04-05 03:24
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	1	$11.8K	11,847	0	+11,847	open	—	02-28 08:02
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$10.0K	18,190	0	+18,190	open	—	07-13 10:10
lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	3	$9.2K	12,858	12,858	+0	open	—	07-09 10:18
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	19	$9.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-30 11:47
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$6.9K	4,428	4,428	+0	open	—	05-31 02:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$5.0K	9,168	9,168	+0	open	—	03-01 02:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$4.2K	45,302	0	+45,302	open	—	03-13 06:36
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	4	$4.0K	5,539	0	+5,539	open	—	06-15 04:48
lol g2 ly 2026 07 10	1	$3.0K	6,995	0	+6,995	open	—	07-10 09:19
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	2	$2.1K	1,562	1,562	+0	open	—	01-25 05:45
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2.0K	158,993	0	+158,993	open	—	03-08 13:00
lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11	1	$2.0K	14,286	0	+14,286	open	—	07-11 07:48
ufc raf mau4 2026 01 31	2	$1.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	02-01 03:16
ufc son sea1 2026 01 24	2	$1.3K	756	756	+0	open	—	01-25 05:44
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$1000	2,381	0	+2,381	open	—	02-19 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 21:01:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	23¢	$2,276	0x34c916…
07-23 20:56:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	26¢	$2,607	0xdda34a…
07-23 20:54:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	28¢	$2,800	0x70c63c…
07-23 13:10:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2,834	30¢	$850	0x56eb7c…
07-23 13:08:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x4302fa…
07-23 13:08:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2,207	30¢	$662	0x8afaf7…
07-23 13:04:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x759905…
07-23 12:54:03	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	768	30¢	$230	0x954a26…
07-23 12:52:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0x7081f9…
07-23 12:42:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xa869da…
07-23 08:59:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2,346	30¢	$704	0xd51782…
07-23 07:40:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	215	30¢	$65	0x0a6f5b…
07-22 17:46:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	5,034	36¢	$1,812	0xa35b5f…
07-22 17:44:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	14,522	35¢	$5,040	0xe96476…
07-20 12:41:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	8,712	47¢	$4,095	0xcb3a19…
07-20 12:00:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x94a363…
07-20 10:33:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	75	47¢	$35	0xc1069d…
07-20 10:13:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2,212	47¢	$1,040	0xe79755…
07-20 09:12:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xc482ba…
07-20 08:25:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	8,964	47¢	$4,213	0xf57c03…
07-18 22:34:00	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	16,073	46¢	$7,458	0x993186…
07-18 20:19:49	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	16,073	69¢	$11,090	0x1e03ef…
07-16 16:46:41	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2,766	49¢	$1,355	0xbb6259…
07-14 20:34:16	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	10,811	9¢	$1,000	0x444a79…
07-13 10:10:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	18,190	55¢	$10,050	0x59cbd9…
07-12 11:45:47	lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	19,231	20¢	$3,802	0xe5ec89…
07-12 11:06:41	lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	19,231	52¢	$10,000	0x4f969b…
07-12 09:29:16	lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	12,132	24¢	$2,909	0x1ec3c9…
07-12 08:44:31	lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	12,132	58¢	$7,000	0x4b4219…
07-11 07:48:44	lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11	LYON	BUY	14,286	14¢	$2,000	0x881fd1…
07-10 09:19:53	lol g2 ly 2026 07 10	G2 Esports	BUY	6,995	43¢	$3,000	0xb79263…
07-09 10:18:41	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	12,858	30¢	$3,858	0x0e5d10…
07-09 08:30:59	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	10,278	36¢	$3,700	0xc2973d…
07-08 22:16:05	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2,581	62¢	$1,600	0xec660e…
07-07 16:40:40	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	13,889	67¢	$9,294	0xcb75de…
07-07 16:22:35	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	13,889	72¢	$10,000	0x854d73…
06-29 14:22:58	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	1,852	27¢	$500	0x2e015a…
06-15 04:48:46	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	1,370	73¢	$1,000	0xa9442c…
06-15 04:48:34	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	1,397	72¢	$1,000	0xc753f7…
06-15 04:48:27	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	1,389	72¢	$1,000	0x26d286…
06-15 04:48:00	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	1,383	72¢	$1,000	0x885fb7…
06-15 02:32:42	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	4,762	21¢	$1,000	0x8750ca…
05-31 02:58:05	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	4,428	100¢	$4,423	0xcfd6c1…
05-31 01:46:13	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	4,428	56¢	$2,500	0xc56c8c…
05-07 07:49:09	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	1,786	28¢	$500	0x0673ca…
04-16 07:06:02	nba por sas 2026 04 19 spread home 10pt5	Spurs	BUY	933	54¢	$500	0x641a8b…
04-12 02:55:37	ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	Paulo Costa	BUY	1,562	32¢	$500	0xddc82f…
04-12 02:30:45	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Curtis Blaydes	BUY	1,319	38¢	$500	0x4720b2…
04-12 01:45:45	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Johnny Walker	BUY	1,282	39¢	$500	0xfffbff…
04-11 16:08:09	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	BUY	1,980	51¢	$1,000	0x460f41…
04-10 04:02:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20,144	93¢	$18,815	0xefd771…
04-09 17:21:13	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x398c75…
04-09 17:14:51	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	520	40¢	$207	0x695457…
04-05 03:24:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10,000	96¢	$9,600	0x3ee7ce…
04-02 05:04:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,470	60¢	$1,482	0x3fe64e…
04-02 05:04:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	550	60¢	$330	0x3924d3…
04-02 05:04:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x9564ea…
04-02 05:03:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	88	60¢	$53	0x708220…
04-02 05:03:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	60¢	$1,200	0x915e40…
04-02 05:03:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x415a18…
04-02 05:03:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4,817	60¢	$2,890	0xc1a631…
03-29 11:53:00	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	94,118	87¢	$81,896	0xbbffa2…
03-28 07:29:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	94,118	85¢	$80,000	0xc3605f…
03-28 06:53:45	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Israel Adesanya	BUY	1,724	58¢	$1,000	0x8f293b…
03-21 03:23:43	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	6,533	94¢	$6,148	0x2c716a…
03-21 03:10:15	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x83d8a6…
03-21 03:07:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xa40f21…
03-21 03:05:05	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x1c6258…
03-21 02:56:35	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdd564f…
03-21 02:55:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8a037b…
03-21 02:21:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x19bf1e…
03-21 02:20:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfc4bd4…
03-21 01:59:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x55697a…
03-21 01:26:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xef913a…
03-20 22:44:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x904d09…
03-20 22:39:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20,000	94¢	$18,820	0xa7d459…
03-20 21:44:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0x42a186…
03-20 20:23:33	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	167	94¢	$157	0xdd1ebc…
03-20 20:23:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x39b6df…
03-20 20:22:43	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x2ccf11…
03-20 20:22:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x2db12a…
03-20 20:21:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xdb8a40…
03-20 20:10:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	160	94¢	$151	0xd18a6d…
03-20 20:09:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x29ee1e…
03-20 20:09:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xc4c026…
03-20 20:09:33	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	191	94¢	$180	0x391fd6…
03-20 20:09:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x1a6059…
03-20 20:08:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	109	94¢	$103	0xab55c8…
03-20 20:08:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	91	94¢	$86	0x9fa9f4…
03-20 20:05:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xb41603…
03-20 20:03:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	119	94¢	$112	0xe428a2…
03-20 19:59:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	81	94¢	$76	0x9da23a…
03-20 19:58:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x6d282d…
03-20 19:57:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe6cd85…
03-20 19:57:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x21f29c…
03-20 19:54:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7d2620…
03-20 19:54:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe8b24a…
03-20 19:51:09	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe3ce04…
03-20 19:46:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xf7ef9e…
03-20 19:39:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x804a70…