Wilted-Pamphlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,214

lifetime

Volume

$8.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 05-08 06:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Crypto

37% — —

Politics

20% 0% $-37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 710 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	3	$648	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-05 19:18
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$604	779	779	+0	open	—	05-05 15:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	10	$546	1,703	1,703	+0	No	$-37	05-08 06:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$522	600	600	+0	open	—	05-07 09:03
sol updown 5m 1774876200	2	$64	55	55	+1	open	—	03-30 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 26?	5	$44	36	35	+1	open	—	04-26 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 28?	5	$43	37	37	+0	open	—	04-28 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	3	$40	32	31	+1	open	—	04-25 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 27?	3	$39	31	30	+1	open	—	04-27 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 25?	5	$38	36	34	+2	open	—	04-25 16:37
highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 21c	6	$38	30	29	+1	open	—	04-17 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 27?	4	$37	31	30	+1	open	—	04-27 02:39
highest temperature in dallas on april 21 2026 62 63f	6	$37	33	33	+0	open	—	04-21 23:19
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 27?	3	$35	29	28	+1	open	—	04-27 04:59
highest temperature in chicago on april 20 2026 56 57f	4	$35	34	33	+2	open	—	04-20 21:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 26?	4	$35	29	28	+1	open	—	04-26 14:47
highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 27c	11	$34	27	27	+0	open	—	04-18 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	6	$33	27	26	+1	open	—	04-27 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 26?	7	$30	25	24	+1	open	—	04-26 21:43
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	6	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 14:29
highest temperature in toronto on april 15 2026 18corbelow	4	$30	34	34	+0	open	—	04-15 16:56
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 30c	5	$28	25	24	+0	open	—	04-18 17:09
highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 20c	3	$26	22	22	+0	open	—	04-24 15:26
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 23c	3	$26	25	24	+1	open	—	04-22 07:52
highest temperature in miami on april 19 2026 88 89f	3	$25	21	20	+1	open	—	04-19 20:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?	3	$24	21	20	+1	open	—	04-25 16:30
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 21c	3	$24	20	20	+1	open	—	04-24 07:20
highest temperature in taipei on april 18 2026 27c	8	$23	23	22	+1	open	—	04-18 04:40
highest temperature in singapore on april 24 2026 33c	6	$22	19	18	+1	open	—	04-24 07:15
highest temperature in beijing on april 23 2026 25c	7	$22	18	18	+0	open	—	04-23 08:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 06:16:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x0c4798…
05-07 09:37:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	421	11¢	$47	0x57eeb3…
05-07 09:33:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xe050c9…
05-07 09:03:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	44¢	$264	0xc9f764…
05-07 08:12:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	43¢	$258	0x513d70…
05-07 07:50:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	15¢	$4	0xcf4d26…
05-07 07:46:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,248	16¢	$202	0x8c72e1…
05-07 07:42:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xc5fcb3…
05-07 07:38:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,634	17¢	$279	0xfc7cee…
05-07 07:38:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xe87f1f…
05-07 07:38:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0eface…
05-07 07:38:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	17¢	$11	0xbee31a…
05-05 19:18:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1,200	27¢	$324	0x6ccf51…
05-05 18:37:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	867	27¢	$234	0xab0871…
05-05 18:36:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	333	27¢	$90	0xfcc92a…
05-05 15:46:56	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	779	39¢	$304	0x8a25e5…
05-05 14:41:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	779	39¢	$300	0x061589…
04-28 07:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xa3d19f…
04-28 07:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xf7419a…
04-28 07:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	31	89¢	$27	0x9a6984…
04-28 07:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x023a3c…
04-28 06:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x986dac…
04-28 05:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0xe8a5e5…
04-28 00:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc5f2aa…
04-28 00:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x45d13f…
04-27 23:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0xced662…
04-27 23:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0xcc6525…
04-27 23:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x346096…
04-27 23:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	49	15¢	$7	0xd060bf…
04-27 23:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xe8b3ba…
04-27 23:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x1a4e35…
04-27 23:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x52ef43…
04-27 23:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	21	41¢	$8	0xde22b7…
04-27 23:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x700cdb…
04-27 23:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xdee432…
04-27 23:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0x3d94ff…
04-27 23:42:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf36e6b…
04-27 23:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xc09b42…
04-27 23:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xc502b9…
04-27 23:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x47035e…
04-27 23:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x08385a…
04-27 23:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x839396…
04-27 23:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0xae6ec8…
04-27 23:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x9a5974…
04-27 23:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0x4fb4c8…
04-27 23:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4a11aa…
04-27 23:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x471dc9…
04-27 23:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x3baca6…
04-27 23:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	24	35¢	$8	0x41c644…
04-27 23:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xff6ebb…
04-27 23:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x82b578…
04-27 23:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xac0b76…
04-27 23:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x87bd98…
04-27 23:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x7c78a9…
04-27 23:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x00e12e…
04-27 23:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xeb8e50…
04-27 23:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x0d9032…
04-27 23:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa32d16…
04-27 23:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x6cf535…
04-27 23:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x1af56b…
04-27 23:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf55319…
04-27 23:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x752ebb…
04-27 23:40:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x06e3eb…
04-27 15:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xdcb543…
04-27 15:01:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x467f26…
04-27 15:00:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	13	94¢	$13	0x7106b5…
04-27 14:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x5f6f5d…
04-27 14:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xe44392…
04-27 14:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x5f5e2e…
04-27 14:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0x43e456…
04-27 14:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0x23398b…
04-27 14:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4a23ad…
04-27 14:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcdb882…
04-27 14:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x175ad1…
04-27 14:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x20c918…
04-27 12:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xeecaf0…
04-27 12:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xadd433…
04-27 12:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xd582f8…
04-27 12:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x93daa6…
04-27 10:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xb3afaa…
04-27 04:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x812813…
04-27 04:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0xa59efd…
04-27 04:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xfb73af…
04-27 02:39:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x00bf29…
04-27 02:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	29	89¢	$26	0x91f6d7…
04-27 02:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb0bc0b…
04-27 00:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x7d2a6a…
04-27 00:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x24af83…
04-27 00:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x5abc4a…
04-27 00:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb476ac…
04-26 23:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x6b703b…
04-26 23:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x079a92…
04-26 23:42:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x0d3394…
04-26 23:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xef35e0…
04-26 23:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x9867c0…
04-26 23:41:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x6bd274…
04-26 23:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x047d8f…
04-26 23:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0x61f546…
04-26 23:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0xaa7dc0…
04-26 23:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x160290…