Realized P&L
+$3.06K
Unrealized P&L
+$387
Hit rate
85.6%
Resolved
165
Trades
1,098
lifetime
Volume
$164.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$150
Open exposure
$8.02K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-22 22:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Politics
48% 76% +$1,048
Other
39% 61% +$3,549
Sports
12% 72% -$1,532
Tech
1% 100% +$7
Crypto
0% 75% +$13
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +4,300 $3,898 92¢ $4.0K +$80 10-13 18:33
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $961 96¢ $956 -$5 10-22 22:24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $870 92¢ $915 +$45 09-15 23:55
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $729 68¢ $685 -$44 10-20 19:30
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,500 -$685 38¢ $-574 +$111 08-02 10:30
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +500 $260 92¢ $458 +$198 07-24 15:06
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +100 $91 98¢ $98 +$7 08-25 12:48
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -100 -$95 97¢ $-97 -$1 06-25 07:26
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$58 4¢ $-71 -$13 09-23 13:23
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +300 $53 18¢ $55 +$1 09-10 07:08
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $48 5¢ $52 +$4 08-17 19:09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +500 $40 10¢ $49 +$9 10-21 22:04
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +50 $40 73¢ $36 -$4 09-30 12:16