Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,245

lifetime

Volume

$4.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

79% 57% -$91

Politics

20% 70% +$50

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+86	$5	3¢	$3	-$2	10-17 21:16
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	+39	$0	2¢	$1	+$0	10-28 19:04
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	+29	$0	1¢	$0	+$1	10-28 19:55
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+8	-$1	4¢	$0	+$1	10-28 06:25
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	+0	-$2	2¢	$0	+$2	10-06 00:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	53	$1.2K	2,487	2,487	+0	Mbappé	-$175	10-26 22:58
Paris curfew by October 21?	15	$481	352	350	+2	Yes	+$94	10-19 17:59
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	29	$224	3,014	3,014	+0	open	—	10-26 01:34
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	21	$200	1,422	1,112	+310	No	-$18	10-09 08:30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	30	$166	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	10-11 07:05
us strike on colombia by january 31	49	$128	2,304	3,474	-1,170	No	+$51	01-19 12:59
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	63	$119	1,348	1,424	-76	No	+$16	04-12 18:49
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	14	$107	112	217	-105	No	+$40	01-07 17:51
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	51	$98	721	728	-6	No	+$9	04-12 16:27
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	41	$97	1,696	1,796	-100	No	+$9	01-20 16:42
will luigi mangione smile during next court appearance	13	$76	509	539	-30	Yes	-$74	01-13 00:55
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	13	$72	250	150	+100	No	-$14	10-24 08:40
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	18	$58	562	600	-38	No	+$8	04-09 16:46
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 10 2026	23	$54	825	875	-50	No	+$7	04-09 19:47
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	27	$51	9,779	6,317	+3,462	No	+$4	01-10 03:10
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	9	$49	861	861	+0	open	—	10-24 11:49
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	8	$48	800	800	+0	open	—	10-26 01:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	23	$48	1,042	1,042	+0	open	—	10-29 23:04
will tisza win 8089 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	45	$47	437	483	-46	No	+$5	04-12 18:52
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	6	$45	110	110	+0	No	+$2	04-12 17:37
will tisza win 7079 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	38	$44	642	565	+77	No	+$2	04-12 18:52
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	30	$39	692	595	+97	No	+$7	04-12 17:45
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 948	18	$32	547	567	-20	No	+$2	01-08 15:23
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$28	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	10-24 03:07
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026	9	$28	350	317	+33	open	—	10-30 12:05
will israel strike gaza on january 9 2026	27	$26	6,386	761	+5,625	No	-$7	01-11 23:39
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	55	$26	1,858	1,675	+183	No	+$2	01-19 20:04
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?	5	$25	420	420	+0	open	—	10-22 01:50
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	4	$25	416	416	+0	open	—	10-11 12:55
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	7	$23	25	25	+0	Yes	-$1	04-12 18:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:43:16	Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x1f1c81…
10-30 12:05:10	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026	Yes	SELL	244	3¢	$7	0xcaa8a0…
10-29 23:04:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$5	0xce2e4b…
10-29 22:09:01	Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x594c3d…
10-29 21:47:28	Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	4¢	$4	0xc582b0…
10-29 17:17:19	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xee289b…
10-29 11:20:53	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	3¢	$2	0xbd4aef…
10-29 07:50:02	Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?	Dune 3	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0xbe6718…
10-29 06:36:43	Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?	Dune 3	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x4ae705…
10-28 19:55:05	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0xc8d1dd…
10-28 19:04:43	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xbdd27a…
10-28 16:43:25	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	66	2¢	$1	0x50dfa4…
10-28 16:43:02	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0x137338…
10-28 11:12:55	Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x253284…
10-28 06:25:19	Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xd693da…
10-28 04:11:17	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xe062a8…
10-27 19:43:21	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x1e14a8…
10-27 19:40:45	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xe46072…
10-27 18:29:54	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x8f8b31…
10-27 09:40:12	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0xc8e170…
10-27 08:46:57	Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xb6aaf1…
10-27 04:52:36	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x6e709c…
10-27 03:59:05	Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x195be0…
10-26 22:58:24	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	706	0¢	$1	0xca3ff0…
10-26 22:58:15	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe7d9c7…
10-26 22:58:06	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x89bf68…
10-26 22:58:03	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x318dfd…
10-26 22:04:36	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbea2c1…
10-26 20:55:50	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0xd83324…
10-26 20:31:11	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x64ea24…
10-26 20:24:57	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0x2ade06…
10-26 20:21:35	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0xa761cc…
10-26 19:40:14	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	66	5¢	$4	0xdfe702…
10-26 18:42:47	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x00cd69…
10-26 17:55:24	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x3f1e76…
10-26 10:24:14	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x0c3868…
10-26 08:15:53	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x1cd755…
10-26 05:53:26	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x04fa53…
10-26 04:49:20	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x0bc245…
10-26 03:46:45	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xd620f3…
10-26 01:34:17	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$14	0x539b35…
10-26 01:34:09	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	794	2¢	$17	0xc9e887…
10-26 01:30:53	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x04c463…
10-26 01:14:42	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x905d24…
10-26 00:58:47	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xbae93f…
10-26 00:58:14	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x08fd0f…
10-26 00:54:44	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	108	32¢	$35	0x26c150…
10-25 23:58:59	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	599	33¢	$198	0xb3ac98…
10-25 21:18:48	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0x77a79a…
10-25 14:20:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x9b5e8f…
10-25 13:27:59	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xe9f601…
10-25 09:28:15	Will Thinky be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xc27b63…
10-25 06:55:11	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x7d7ab6…
10-25 00:27:32	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	102	27¢	$27	0x3c1154…
10-24 17:15:30	AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0xc85511…
10-24 17:15:30	AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	3¢	$2	0x2b561f…
10-24 11:49:42	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	202	3¢	$6	0x10245b…
10-24 11:42:03	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3ebf15…
10-24 09:34:47	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	232	4¢	$9	0x224e7b…
10-24 08:40:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x943b00…
10-24 07:39:12	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x878f40…
10-24 03:07:54	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x1aaa91…
10-24 02:55:51	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x7526ba…
10-24 02:16:20	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xa19710…
10-24 01:27:26	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0x2ff554…
10-24 01:21:33	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	121	27¢	$33	0x74b95e…
10-24 01:07:59	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	29	27¢	$8	0xe2ec82…
10-23 23:57:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0xc2befe…
10-23 23:56:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	2¢	$4	0xc5c834…
10-23 23:56:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x9ec7a2…
10-23 20:25:57	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x00372a…
10-23 20:15:15	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x24ec86…
10-23 18:40:20	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	57	2¢	$1	0x387add…
10-23 18:34:56	Epic Games IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xe85e94…
10-23 18:34:30	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x0f8890…
10-23 18:31:57	Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x221509…
10-23 14:21:29	WHOOP IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	66	1¢	$1	0x1bd0c8…
10-23 10:53:56	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xa239cd…
10-23 10:53:54	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xac6dbe…
10-23 10:53:54	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0x62c119…
10-23 10:48:53	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x46da5e…
10-23 08:58:14	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x87ce2a…
10-23 08:58:14	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x55606f…
10-23 07:25:03	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x969ccf…
10-23 06:37:47	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x0db86c…
10-23 06:34:03	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x6861cb…
10-23 06:17:05	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	112	28¢	$31	0x6152fe…
10-23 06:02:02	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xf7d2d5…
10-23 05:48:36	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x6c189f…
10-23 05:35:59	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	150	28¢	$42	0x0f221a…
10-23 05:20:38	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x3956a8…
10-23 01:26:20	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x167ca3…
10-23 01:23:42	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0x213e78…
10-22 19:18:03	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb6d473…
10-22 18:51:53	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x04b8c2…
10-22 18:08:14	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x5d067d…
10-22 17:58:33	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	125	33¢	$41	0xf4aac8…
10-22 08:54:08	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x62e6b2…
10-22 08:11:02	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$3	0x03fa2d…
10-22 07:21:14	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x629dd3…